Coalescence in Markov chains
Abstract
A Markov chain on a finite state space has transition matrix and initial state . We may run the chains in parallel, while insisting that any two such chains coalesce whenever they are simultaneously at the same state. There are trajectories which evolve separately, but not necessarily independently, prior to coalescence. What can be said about the number of coalescence classes of the process, and what is the set of such numbers , as the coupling of the chains ranges over couplings that are consistent with ? We continue earlier work of the authors ('Non-coupling from the past', , Springer, 2021) on these two fundamental questions, which have special importance for the 'coupling from the past' algorithm. We concentrate partly on a family of couplings termed block measures, which may be viewed as couplings of lumpable chains with coalescing lumps. Constructions of such couplings are presented, and also of non-block measure with similar properties.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2510.13572,
title = {Coalescence in Markov chains},
author = {Geoffrey R. Grimmett and Mark Holmes},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2510.13572},
year = {2026}
}
Comments
Accepted version for the Journal of Theoretical Probability