English

Coalescence in Markov chains

Probability 2026-03-19 v2

Abstract

A Markov chain XiX^i on a finite state space SS has transition matrix PP and initial state ii. We may run the chains (Xi:iS)(X^i: i\in S) in parallel, while insisting that any two such chains coalesce whenever they are simultaneously at the same state. There are S|S| trajectories which evolve separately, but not necessarily independently, prior to coalescence. What can be said about the number k(μ)k(\mu) of coalescence classes of the process, and what is the set K(P)K(P) of such numbers k(μ)k(\mu), as the coupling μ\mu of the chains ranges over couplings that are consistent with PP? We continue earlier work of the authors ('Non-coupling from the past', In and Out of Equilibrium 3\textit{In and Out of Equilibrium 3}, Springer, 2021) on these two fundamental questions, which have special importance for the 'coupling from the past' algorithm. We concentrate partly on a family of couplings termed block measures, which may be viewed as couplings of lumpable chains with coalescing lumps. Constructions of such couplings are presented, and also of non-block measure with similar properties.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2510.13572,
  title  = {Coalescence in Markov chains},
  author = {Geoffrey R. Grimmett and Mark Holmes},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2510.13572},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

Accepted version for the Journal of Theoretical Probability

R2 v1 2026-07-01T06:39:00.491Z