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Motivated by the construction of the It\^o stochastic integral, we consider a step function method to discretize and simulate volatility modulated L\'evy semistationary processes. Moreover, we assess the accuracy of the method with a…

Applications · Statistics 2014-07-11 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

We introduce L\'evy-driven causal CARMA random fields on $\mathbb{R}^d$, extending the class of CARMA processes. The definition is based on a system of stochastic partial differential equations which generalize the classical state-space…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-24 Viet Son Pham

Interest in multioutput kernel methods is increasing, whether under the guise of multitask learning, multisensor networks or structured output data. From the Gaussian process perspective a multioutput Mercer kernel is a covariance function…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-12-18 Mauricio A. Álvarez , David Luengo , Michalis K. Titsias , Neil D. Lawrence

Time series of counts occurring in various applications are often overdispersed, meaning their variance is much larger than the mean. This paper proposes a novel variable selection approach for processing such data. Our approach consists in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-04 Marina Gomtsyan

We propose a novel and efficient iterative two-stage variable selection approach for multivariate sparse GLARMA models, which can be used for modelling multivariate discrete-valued time series. Our approach consists in iteratively combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-01 M. Gomtsyan , C. Lévy-Leduc , S. Ouadah , L. Sansonnet , C. Bailly , L. Rajjou

A latent force model is a Gaussian process with a covariance function inspired by a differential operator. Such covariance function is obtained by performing convolution integrals between Green's functions associated to the differential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-20 Cristian Guarnizo , Mauricio A. Álvarez

In many real-world applications we are interested in approximating costly functions that are analytically unknown, e.g. complex computer codes. An emulator provides a fast approximation of such functions relying on a limited number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-02 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow , Daniel Williamson

We illustrate relationships between classical kernel-based dimensionality reduction techniques and eigendecompositions of empirical estimates of reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) operators associated with dynamical systems. In…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Stefan Klus , Brooke E. Husic , Mattes Mollenhauer , Frank Noé

High-dimensional classification and feature selection tasks are ubiquitous with the recent advancement in data acquisition technology. In several application areas such as biology, genomics and proteomics, the data are often functional in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-30 W Yu , S Wade , H D Bondell , L Azizi

We report an exact likelihood computation for Linear Gaussian Markov processes that is more scalable than existing algorithms for complex models and sparsely sampled signals. Better scaling is achieved through elimination of repeated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-21 Stijn de Waele

We consider the sampling problem for functional PCA (fPCA), where the simplest example is the case of taking time samples of the underlying functional components. More generally, we model the sampling operation as a continuous linear map…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-14 Arash A. Amini , Martin J. Wainwright

Variational Quantum Algorithms (VQAs) aim at solving classical or quantum optimization problems by optimizing parametrized trial states on a quantum device, based on the outcomes of noisy projective measurements. The associated optimization…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-12-19 Luca Arceci , Viacheslav Kuzmin , Rick Van Bijnen

Generative models which use explicit density modeling (e.g., variational autoencoders, flow-based generative models) involve finding a mapping from a known distribution, e.g. Gaussian, to the unknown input distribution. This often requires…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Zhichun Huang , Rudrasis Chakraborty , Vikas Singh

Gaussian processes (GPs) are ubiquitous tools for modeling and predicting continuous processes in physical and engineering sciences. This is partly due to the fact that one may employ a Gaussian process as an interpolator while facilitating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 D. Andrew Brown , Peter Kiessler , John Nicholson

We propose a novel estimation framework for path-dependent functionals of Levy processes from discretely observed data. Traditional approaches rely on Monte Carlo simulation of full paths, which requires complete model specification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Yasutaka Shimizu , Hiroshi Shiraishi

Moment restrictions and their conditional counterparts emerge in many areas of machine learning and statistics ranging from causal inference to reinforcement learning. Estimators for these tasks, generally called methods of moments, include…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Heiner Kremer , Yassine Nemmour , Bernhard Schölkopf , Jia-Jie Zhu

Many common clustering methods cannot be used for clustering multivariate longitudinal data in cases where variables exhibit high autocorrelations. In this article, a copula kernel mixture model (CKMM) is proposed for clustering data of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Xi Zhang , Orla A. Murphy , Paul D. McNicholas

Numerous approaches are proposed in the literature for non-stationarity marginal extreme value inference, including different model parameterisations with respect to covariate, and different inference schemes. The objective of this article…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-16 Matthew Jones , David Randell , Kevin Ewans , Philip Jonathan

Since the middle of the 90's, multifractional processes have been introduced for overcoming some limitations of the classical Fractional Brownian Motion model. In their context, the Hurst parameter becomes a Holder continuous function H(?)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Antoine Ayache , Julien Hamonier

In the study of stochastic systems, the committor function describes the probability that a system starting from an initial configuration $x$ will reach a set $B$ before a set $A$. This paper introduces an efficient and interpretable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-13 D. Aristoff , M. Johnson , G. Simpson , R. J. Webber
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