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The limiting behavior of Toeplitz type quadratic forms of stationary processes has received much attention through decades, particularly due to its importance in statistical estimation of the spectrum. In the present paper we study such…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Mikkel Slot Nielsen , Jan Pedersen

Generalized additive partial linear models (GAPLMs) are appealing for model interpretation and prediction. However, for GAPLMs, the covariates and the degree of smoothing in the nonparametric parts are often difficult to determine in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Ze Chen , Jun Liao , Wangli Xu , Yuhong Yang

We show that Gaussian process regression (GPR) allows representing multivariate functions with low-dimensional terms via kernel design. When using a kernel built with HDMR (High-dimensional model representation), one obtains a similar type…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Eita Sasaki , Manabu Ihara , Sergei Manzhos

Recent advances in causal inference have seen the development of methods which make use of the predictive power of machine learning algorithms. In this paper, we develop novel double machine learning (DML) procedures for panel data in which…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-03 Paul S. Clarke , Annalivia Polselli

Variable selection in Gaussian processes (GPs) is typically undertaken by thresholding the inverse lengthscales of automatic relevance determination kernels, but in high-dimensional datasets this approach can be unreliable. A more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-25 Hugh Dance , Brooks Paige

This paper proposes a simple and efficient estimation procedure for the model with non-ignorable missing data studied by Morikawa and Kim (2016). Their semiparametrically efficient estimator requires explicit nonparametric estimation and so…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-15 Chunrong Ai , Oliver Linton , Zheng Zhang

A self-exciting point process with a continuous-time autoregressive moving average intensity process, named CARMA(p,q)-Hawkes model, has recently been introduced. The model generalizes the Hawkes process by substituting the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-20 Lorenzo Mercuri , Andrea Perchiazzo , Edit Rroji

Results from global sensitivity analysis (GSA) often guide the understanding of complicated input-output systems. Kernel-based GSA methods have recently been proposed for their capability of treating a broad scope of complex systems. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 John Barr , Herschel Rabitz

Volterra processes appear in several applications ranging from turbulence to energy finance where they are used in the modelling of e.g. temperatures and wind and the related financial derivatives. Volterra processes are in general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-24 Giulia di Nunno , Andrea Fiacco , Erik Hove Karlsen

In this paper we address the problem of rare-event simulation for heavy-tailed L\'evy processes with infinite activities. We propose a strongly efficient importance sampling algorithm that builds upon the sample path large deviations for…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-17 Xingyu Wang , Chang-Han Rhee

Partial mean with generated regressors arises in several econometric problems, such as the distribution of potential outcomes with continuous treatments and the quantile structural function in a nonseparable triangular model. This paper…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-11-02 Ying-Ying Lee

We propose a computationally simple framework for clustering functional data based on Gaussian-process-generated random projections. In this approach, each curve is first projected onto a large collection of independent Gaussian process…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Sourav Chakrabarty , Anirvan Chakraborty , Shyamal K. De

In this paper, we address rare-event simulation for heavy-tailed L\'evy processes with infinite activities. The presence of infinite activities poses a critical challenge, making it impractical to simulate or store the precise sample path…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Xingyu Wang , Chang-Han Rhee

In this paper, we introduce a novel data-driven inverse dynamics estimator based on Gaussian Process Regression. Driven by the fact that the inverse dynamics can be described as a polynomial function on a suitable input space, we propose…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Alberto Dalla Libera , Ruggero Carli

The growing demand for structural health monitoring has driven increasing interest in high-precision motion measurement, as structural information derived from extracted motions can effectively reflect the current condition of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Hongyi Liu , Haifeng Wang

This paper provides new uniform rate results for kernel estimators of absolutely regular stationary processes that are uniform in the bandwidth and in infinite-dimensional classes of dependent variables and regressors. Our results are…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-21 Juan Carlos Escanciano

Let $X=\{X(t),t\in R_+\}$ be a real-valued symmetric L\'{e}vy process with continuous local times $\{L^x_t,(t,x)\in R_+\times R\}$ and characteristic function $Ee^{i\lambda X(t)}=e^{-t\psi(\lambda)}$. Let…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Michael B. Marcus , Jay Rosen

An efficient estimator is constructed for the quadratic covariation or integrated co-volatility matrix of a multivariate continuous martingale based on noisy and nonsynchronous observations under high-frequency asymptotics. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Peter Malec , Markus Reiß

We develop a generalized method of moments (GMM) approach for fast parameter estimation in a new class of Dirichlet latent variable models with mixed data types. Parameter estimation via GMM has been demonstrated to have computational and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-24 Shiwen Zhao , Barbara E. Engelhardt , Sayan Mukherjee , David B. Dunson

This paper presents the exact mathematical derivation of the mean and variance properties for the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) statistic applied to binomial proportion monitoring in Multiple Stream Processes (MSPs). We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Faruk Muritala , Austin Brown , Dhrubajyoti Ghosh , Sherry Ni
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