Related papers: On non-stationary threshold autoregressive models
We consider an infinite-dimensional stochastic clustering model on $\mathbb{R}$. In discrete time, each point of a unit-intensity simple point process moves halfway toward either of its left or right neighbors, chosen uniformly at random.…
In this paper the asymptotic behavior of an unstable integer-valued autoregressive model of order p (INAR(p)) is described. Under a natural assumption it is proved that the sequence of appropriately scaled random step functions formed from…
Previous analysis on forecasting theory either assume knowing the true parameters or assume the stationarity of the series. Not much are known on the forecasting theory for nonstationary process with estimated parameters. This paper…
We propose new nonparametric accordance R\'enyi-$\alpha$ and $\alpha$-Tsallis divergence estimators for continuous distributions. We discuss this approach with a view to the selection model (on al\'etoire and autoregressive AR (1)). We…
Functional autoregressive (FAR) models provide a fundamental framework for analyzing temporally dependent functional data. However, the infinite-dimensional nature of the underlying Hilbert space introduces intrinsic ill-posedness, as the…
We consider a simple regression model where a regressor is composed of order statistics and a noise is Markov-modulated. We introduce an empirical bridge of regression residuals and prove its weak convergence to a centered Gaussian process.
We prove a limit theorem on the convergence of the distributions of the scaled last exit time over a slowly moving nonlinear boundary for a class of Gaussian stationary processes. The limit is a double exponential (Gumbel) distribution.
In this paper, we give a AR$(1)$ type of characterization covering all multivariate strictly stationary processes indexed by the set of integers. Consequently, we derive continuous time algebraic Riccati equations for the parameter matrix…
We define and analyse a least-squares finite element method for a first-order reformulation of the obstacle problem. Moreover, we derive variational inequalities that are based on similar but non-symmetric bilinear forms. A priori error…
We consider a resampling scheme for parameters estimates in nonlinear regression models. We provide an estimation procedure which recycles, via random weighting, the relevant parameters estimates to construct consistent estimates of the…
We investigate joint temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of N independent copies of strictly stationary INteger-valued AutoRegressive processes of order 1 (INAR(1)) with random coefficient $\alpha\in(0,1)$ and with idiosyncratic…
This paper investigates the optimality analysis of the recursive least-squares (RLS) algorithm for autoregressive systems with exogenous inputs (ARX systems). A key challenge in analyzing is managing the potential unboundedness of the…
A novel first-order moving-average model for analyzing time series observed at irregularly spaced intervals is introduced. Two definitions are presented, which are equivalent under Gaussianity. The first one relies on normally distributed…
In this paper we discuss how the notion of subgeometric ergodicity in Markov chain theory can be exploited to study stationarity and ergodicity of nonlinear time series models. Subgeometric ergodicity means that the transition probability…
Recently, the well known Liu estimator (Liu, 1993) is attracted researcher's attention in regression parameter estimation for an ill conditioned linear model. It is also argued that imposing sub-space hypothesis restriction on parameters…
We study the asymptotic behaviour of least squares estimators in regression models for long-range dependent random fields observed on spheres. The least squares estimator can be given as a weighted functional of long-range dependent random…
The random coefficient integer-valued autoregressive process was introduced by Zheng, Basawa, and Datta. In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of this model (in particular, weak limits of extreme values and the growth rate of…
Real count data time series often show the phenomenon of the underdispersion and overdispersion. In this paper, we develop two extensions of the first-order integer-valued autoregressive process with Poisson innovations, based on binomial…
The non-linear autoregressive (NLAR) model plays an important role in modeling and predicting time series. One-step ahead prediction is straightforward using the NLAR model, but the multi-step ahead prediction is cumbersome. For instance,…
The paper deals with the nonparametric estimation problem at a given fixed point for an autoregressive model with unknown distributed noise. Kernel estimate modifications are proposed. Asymptotic minimax and efficiency properties for…