Related papers: On non-stationary threshold autoregressive models

Spatial autoregressive model, introduced by Clif and Ord in 1970s has been widely applied in many areas of science and econometrics such as regional economics, public finance, political sciences, agricultural economics, environmental…

We prove a Berry-Esseen theorem, a local central limit theorem and (local) large and (global) moderate deviations principles for i.i.d. (uniformly) random non-uniformly expanding or hyperbolic maps with exponential first return times. Using…

In this paper, we investigate a nonparametric approach to provide a recursive estimator of the transition density of a non-stationary piecewise-deterministic Markov process, from only one observation of the path within a long time. In this…

We propose a novel approach to elicit the weight of a potentially non-stationary regressor in the consistent and oracle-efficient estimation of autoregressive models using the adaptive Lasso. The enhanced weight builds on a statistic that…

A statistical inference for random coefficient first-order autoregressive model $[RCAR(1)]$ was investigated by P.M. ROBINSON (1978) in which the coefficients varying over individuals. In this paper we attempt to generalize this result to…

This paper investigates the estimation problem in a regression-type model. To be able to deal with potential high dimensions, we provide a procedure called LOL, for Learning Out of Leaders with no optimization step. LOL is an auto-driven…

Generalizations and extensions of a first order autoregressive model of Lawrance and Lewis (1981) are considered and characterized here.

Concerning bivariate least squares linear regression, the classical results obtained for extreme structural models in earlier attempts are reviewed using a new formalism in terms of deviation (matrix) traces which, for homoscedastic data,…

Motivated by Tucker tensor decomposition, this paper imposes low-rank structures to the column and row spaces of coefficient matrices in a multivariate infinite-order vector autoregression (VAR), which leads to a supervised factor model…

We consider linear time-invariant networks with unknown topology where only a manifest subset of the nodes can be directly actuated and measured while the state of the remaining latent nodes and their number are unknown. Our goal is to…

We prove a new and general concentration inequality for the excess risk in least-squares regression with random design and heteroscedastic noise. No specific structure is required on the model, except the existence of a suitable function…

In this note, a general approach to the study of non-stationary Markov chains with catastrophes and the corresponding queuing models is considered, as well as to obtain estimates of the limiting regime itself. As an illustration, an example…

Using a proper model to characterize a time series is crucial in making accurate predictions. In this work we use time-varying autoregressive process (TVAR) to describe non-stationary time series and model it as a mixture of multiple stable…

In this article, we study the statistical and asymptotic properties of break-point estimators in nonstationary autoregressive and predictive regression models for testing the presence of a single structural break at an unknown location in…

The paper examines the problem of representing the dynamics of low order autoregressive (AR) models with time varying (TV) coefficients. The existing literature computes the forecasts of the series from a recursion relation. Instead, we…

Using the martingale approach we find sufficient conditions for exponential boundedness of first passage times over a level for ergodic first order autoregressive sequences (AR(1)). Further, we prove a martingale identity to be used in…

Conditions are obtained for a Gaussian vector autoregressive time series of order $k$, VAR($k$), to have univariate margins that are autoregressive of order $k$ or lower-dimensional margins that are also VAR($k$). This can lead to…

The estimation of parameters in a linear model is considered under the hypothesis that the noise, with finite second order statistics, can be represented in a given deterministic basis by random coefficients. An extended underdetermined…

In this paper, a posteriori error estimates of functional type for a stationary diffusion problem with nonsymmetric coefficients are derived. The estimate is guaranteed and does not depend on any particular numerical method. An algorithm…

We discuss joint temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of $N$ independent copies of strictly stationary INteger-valued AutoRegressive processes of order 1 (INAR(1)) with random coefficient $\alpha\in(0,1)$ and with idiosyncratic Poisson…