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We introduce and explore a new class of stationary time series models for variance matrices based on a constructive definition exploiting inverse Wishart distribution theory. The main class of models explored is a novel class of stationary,…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-27 Emily B. Fox , Mike West

We provide new limit theory for functionals of a general class of processes lying at the boundary between stationarity and nonstationarity -- what we term weakly nonstationary processes (WNPs). This includes, as leading examples, fractional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-17 James A. Duffy , Ioannis Kasparis

Non-standard distributional approximations have received considerable attention in recent years. They often provide more accurate approximations in small samples, and theoretical improvements in some cases. This paper shows that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Whitney K. Newey

The limit Gaussian distribution of multivariate weighted functionals of nonlinear transformations of Gaussian stationary processes, having multiple singular spectra, is derived, under very general conditions on the weight function. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Alexander V. Ivanov , Nikolai Leonenko , María D. Ruiz-Medina , Irina N. Savich

When a finite order vector autoregressive model is fitted to VAR($\infty$) data the asymptotic distribution of statistics obtained via smooth functions of least-squares estimates requires care. L\"utkepohl and Poskitt (1991) provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-29 Giovanni Ballarin

Autoregressive (AR) models have become a popular tool for unsupervised learning, achieving state-of-the-art log likelihood estimates. We investigate the use of AR models as density estimators in two settings -- as a learning signal for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-18 Murtaza Dalal , Alexander C. Li , Rohan Taori

In this contribution we introduce weakly locally stationary time series through the local approximation of the non-stationary covariance structure by a stationary one. This allows us to define autoregression coefficients in a non-stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-16 François Roueff , Andres Sanchez-Perez

The first motivation of this paper is to study stationarity and ergodic properties for a general class of time series models defined conditional on an exogenous covariates process. The dynamic of these models is given by an autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Paul Doukhan , Michael H. Neumann , Lionel Truquet

In this article, we study the limit distribution of the least square estimator, properly normalized, from a regression model in which observations are assumed to be finite ($\alpha N$) and sampled under two different random times. Based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-17 Tania Roa , Soledad Torres , Ciprian tudor

In this paper the asymptotic distribution of estimators is derived in a general regression setting where rank restrictions on a submatrix of the coefficient matrix are imposed and the regressors can include stationary or I(1) processes.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-08 Dietmar Bauer

We are interested in the implications of a linearly autocorrelated driven noise on the asymptotic behavior of the usual least squares estimator in a stable autoregressive process. We show that the least squares estimator is not consistent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Frédéric Proïa

We consider stationary autoregressive processes with coefficients restricted to an ellipsoid, which includes autoregressive processes with absolutely summable coefficients. We provide consistency results under different norms for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-09 Alessio Sancetta

Extending the ideas of [7], this paper aims at providing a kernel based non-parametric estimation of a new class of time varying AR(1) processes (Xt), with local stationarity and periodic features (with a known period T), inducing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Jean-Marc Bardet , Paul Doukhan

We study the distributions of the LASSO, SCAD, and thresholding estimators, in finite samples and in the large-sample limit. The asymptotic distributions are derived for both the case where the estimators are tuned to perform consistent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-07 Benedikt M. Potscher , Hannes Leeb

In this article we study the asymptotic behaviour of the least square estimator in a linear regression model based on random observation instances. We provide mild assumptions on the moments and dependence structure on the randomly spaced…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Karine Bertin , Soledad Torres , Lauri Viitasaari

This paper studies the distributed adaptiveestimation problems for stochastic large regression modelswith an infinite number of parameters. By constructing a re-cursive local cost function, we propose a novel distributedrecursive least…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-29 Die Gan , Siyu Xie , Zhixin Liu , Xuebo Zhang

This paper presents a model of asymmetric bifurcating autoregressive process with random coefficients. We couple this model with a Galton Watson tree to take into account possibly missing observations. We propose least-squares estimators…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Benoîte de Saporta , Anne Gégout-Petit , Laurence Marsalle

We discuss invariance principles for autoregressive tempered fractionally integrated moving averages in $\alpha$-stable $(1< \alpha \le 2)$ i.i.d. innovations and related tempered linear processes with vanishing tempering parameter $\lambda…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Farzad Sabzikar , Donatas Surgailis

Consider the weakly asymmetric simple exclusion processes on the one-dimensional torus. We study the non-equilibrium fluctuation of a class of additive functionals, and show that its scaling limit is a Gaussian process. The proof is mainly…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Luiz Renato Fontes , Tiecheng Xu

Stationary processes have been extensively studied in the literature. Their applications include modeling and forecasting numerous real life phenomena such as natural disasters, sales and market movements. When stationary processes are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-10 Marko Voutilainen , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen
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