Related papers: Parametric inference and forecasting in continuous…
This paper introduces a family of recursively defined estimators of the parameters of a diffusion process. We use ideas of stochastic algorithms for the construction of the estimators. Asymptotic consistency of these estimators and…
The aim of this paper is to prove the existence and smoothness of stable and unstable invariant manifolds for a stochastic delayed partial differential equation of parabolic type. The stochastic delayed partial differential equation is…
We present a novel method to estimate the stability of the Marchenko equation for finite data-sets. We show that we can derive a recursion relationship for the Fourier expansion coefficients of the kernel which is solved by the Marchenko…
We investigate an example of noise-induced stabilization in the plane that was also considered in (Gawedzki, Herzog, Wehr 2010) and (Birrell, Herzog, Wehr 2011). We show that despite the deterministic system not being globally stable, the…
Many statistical models have likelihoods which are intractable: it is impossible or too expensive to compute the likelihood exactly. In such settings, a common approach is to replace the likelihood with an approximation, and proceed with…
Predicting extreme events is important in many applications in risk analysis. The extreme-value theory suggests modelling extremes by max-stable distributions. The Bayesian approach provides a natural framework for statistical prediction.…
It is well known that estimating bilinear models is quite challenging. Many different ideas have been proposed to solve this problem. However, there is not a simple way to do inference even for its simple cases. This paper studies the…
We study time-uniform statistical inference for parameters in stochastic approximation (SA), which encompasses a bunch of applications in optimization and machine learning. To that end, we analyze the almost-sure convergence rates of the…
This study addresses the computational challenges of forecasting volatility in high-dimensional commodity markets. Building on the Network log-ARCH framework, we introduce a novel class of network topologies from GARCH-informed correlation…
This work presents an approach to synthesize a Lyapunov-like function to ensure incrementally input-to-state stability ($\delta$-ISS) property for an unknown discrete-time system. To deal with challenges posed by unknown system dynamics, we…
We consider the problem of asymptotic convergence to invariant sets in interconnected nonlinear dynamic systems. Standard approaches often require that the invariant sets be uniformly attracting. e.g. stable in the Lyapunov sense. This,…
Motivated by studying asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in stochastic volatility (SV) models, in this paper we investigate likelihood estimation in state space models. We first prove, under some regularity…
It is shown that the asymptotic spectra of finite-time Lyapunov exponents of a variety of fully chaotic dynamical systems can be understood in terms of a statistical analysis. Using random matrix theory we derive numerical and in particular…
In the article$^a$, the authors introduced a time-varying Lyapunov function for the stability analysis of nonlinear systems whose motion is governed by standard Newton-Euler equations. The authors established asymptotic stability with the…
In this paper we study short-time behavior of the at-the-money implied volatility for Inverse European options with fixed strike price. The asset price is assumed to follow a general stochastic volatility process. Using techniques of the…
We prove the asymptotic stability of the equilibrium solution of a class of vector Li\'enard equations by means of LaSalle invariance principle. The key hypothesis consists in assuming that the intersections of the manifolds in $\{\dot V =…
In uncertainty quantification, critical parameters of mathematical models are substituted by random variables. We consider dynamical systems composed of ordinary differential equations. The unknown solution is expanded into an orthogonal…
We present a new volatility model, simple to implement, that includes a leverage effect whose return-volatility correlation function fits to empirical observations. This model is able to capture both the "retarded effect" induced by the…
We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…
Employing model predictive control to systems with unbounded, stochastic disturbances poses the challenge of guaranteeing safety, i.e., repeated feasibility and stability of the closed-loop system. Especially, there are no strict repeated…