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We investigate the use of path signatures in a machine learning context for hedging exotic derivatives under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models. In a deep learning setting, we use signatures as features in feedforward neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-12 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Louis-Amand Gérard

We design three continuous--time models in finite horizon of a commodity price, whose dynamics can be affected by the actions of a representative risk--neutral producer and a representative risk--neutral trader. Depending on the model, the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-04 René Aïd , Giorgia Callegaro , Luciano Campi

This article is the second one in a series on the use of scaling invariance in finance. In the first article (cond-mat/9906048), we introduced a new formalism for the pricing of derivative securities, which focusses on tradable objects…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jiri Hoogland , Dimitri Neumann

In the recent years, banks have sold structured products such as worst-of options, Everest and Himalayas, resulting in a short correlation exposure. They have hence become interested in offsetting part of this exposure, namely buying back…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-02 Antoine Jacquier , Saad Slaoui

The collateral choice option allows a collateral-posting party the opportunity to change the type of security in which the collateral is deposited. Due to non-zero collateral basis spreads, this optionality significantly impacts asset…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-17 Griselda Deelstra , Lech A. Grzelak , Felix L. Wolf

Double no-touch options, contracts which pay out a fixed amount provided an underlying asset remains within a given interval, are commonly traded, particularly in FX markets. In this work, we establish model-free bounds on the price of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-07 Alexander M. G. Cox , Jan Obloj

We extend a linear version of the liquidity risk model of Cetin et al. (2004) to allow for price impacts. We show that the impact of a market order on prices depends on the size of the transaction and the level of liquidity. We obtain a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-10 Alexandre F. Roch

Gradient-based methods for optimisation of objectives in stochastic settings with unknown or intractable dynamics require estimators of derivatives. We derive an objective that, under automatic differentiation, produces low-variance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-25 Gregory Farquhar , Shimon Whiteson , Jakob Foerster

Financial options are contracts that specify the right to buy or sell an underlying asset at a strike price by an expiration date. Standard exchanges offer options of predetermined strike values and trade options of different strikes…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Xintong Wang , David M. Pennock , Nikhil R. Devanur , David M. Rothschild , Biaoshuai Tao , Michael P. Wellman

This paper examines how shocks to currency volatilities predict exchange rates. Using option-implied volatilities, we construct a dynamic, directed network of volatility connections. Currencies that transmit more volatility shocks, which…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-12 Mykola Babiak , Jozef Barunik

Local Stochastic Volatility (LSV) models have been used for pricing and hedging derivatives positions for over twenty years. An enormous body of literature covers analytical and numerical techniques for calibrating the model to market data.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-20 Alexander Lipton , Adil Reghai

If a financial asset's price movement impacts a firm's product demand, the firm can respond to the impact by adjusting its operational decisions. For example, in the automotive industry, car makers decrease the selling prices of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-22 Liao Wang , Jin Yao , Xiaowei Zhang

Model risk measures consequences of choosing a model in a class of possible alternatives. We find analytical and simulated bounds for payoff functions on classes of plausible alternatives of a given discrete model. We measure the impact of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-20 Roberto Fontana , Patrizia Semeraro

We present a non-probabilistic, pathwise approach to continuous-time finance based on causal functional calculus. We introduce a definition of self-financing, free from any integration concept and show that the value of a self-financing…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-05 Henry Chiu , Rama Cont

We consider the problem of finding model-independent bounds on the price of an Asian option, when the call prices at the maturity date of the option are known. Our methods differ from most approaches to model-independent pricing in that we…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-21 Alexander M. G. Cox , Sigrid Källblad

In this paper we study the pricing and hedging of structured products in energy markets, such as swing and virtual gas storage, using the exponential utility indifference pricing approach in a general incomplete multivariate market model…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-23 Giorgia Callegaro , Luciano Campi , Valeria Giusto , Tiziano Vargiolu

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) is calculated from SPX options and derivatives of VIX are also traded in market, which leads to the so-called ``consistent modeling" problem. This paper proposes a time-changed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-24 Liexin Cheng , Xue Cheng , Xianhua Peng

Time variation and persistence are crucial properties of volatility that are often studied separately in energy volatility forecasting models. Here, we propose a novel approach that allows shocks with heterogeneous persistence to vary…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-09 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

We study the problem of optimal pricing and hedging of a European option written on an illiquid asset $Z$ using a set of proxies: a liquid asset $S$, and $N$ liquid European options $P_i$, each written on a liquid asset $Y_i, i=1,N$. We…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-18 I. Halperin , A. Itkin

This paper studies the optimal VIX futures trading problems under a regime-switching model. We consider the VIX as mean reversion dynamics with dependence on the regime that switches among a finite number of states. For the trading…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-15 Jiao Li