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The paper proposes a class of financial market models which are based on inhomogeneous telegraph processes and jump diffusions with alternating volatilities. It is assumed that the jumps occur when the tendencies and volatilities are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-04 Nikita Ratanov

In this paper, we study the pricing of contracts in fixed income markets under volatility uncertainty in the sense of Knightian uncertainty or model uncertainty. The starting point is an arbitrage-free bond market under volatility…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-09 Julian Hölzermann

Modelling joint dynamics of liquid vanilla options is crucial for arbitrage-free pricing of illiquid derivatives and managing risks of option trade books. This paper develops a nonparametric model for the European options book respecting…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-24 Samuel N. Cohen , Christoph Reisinger , Sheng Wang

Abstract This paper proposes a novel approach to Bermudan swaption hedging by applying the deep hedging framework to address limitations of traditional arbitrage-free methods. Conventional methods assume ideal conditions, such as zero…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-18 Kenjiro Oya

We propose and axiomatize preferences on a product state space in light of uncertainty regarding the dependency of different payoff-relevant factors. Dependence structures allow to decompose probabilities and allow to pin down behavior…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-28 Gerrit Bauch , Lorenz Hartmann

Value adjustment of uncollateralized trades is determined within a risk-neutral pricing framework. When hedging such trades, investors cannot freely trade protection on their own name, thus facing an incomplete market. This fact is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-23 Lorenzo Cornalba

A risk-neutral valuation framework is developed for pricing and hedging in-play football bets based on modelling scores by independent Poisson processes with constant intensities. The Fundamental Theorems of Asset Pricing are applied to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-12 Sebastian del Bano Rollin , Zsolt Bihari , Tomaso Aste

We consider a general local-stochastic volatility model and an investor with exponential utility. For a European-style contingent claim, whose payoff may depend on either a traded or non-traded asset, we derive an explicit approximation for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-04 Matthew Lorig

We derive a consistent differential representation for the dynamics of a self-financing portfolio for different hedging strategies. In the basis of the derivation there is the so called "retarded action principle", which represents the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-23 Dmitry Lesnik

This paper develops a model-free sequential test for conditional independence. The proposed test allows researchers to analyze an incoming i.i.d. data stream with any arbitrary dependency structure, and safely conclude whether a feature is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-21 Shalev Shaer , Gal Maman , Yaniv Romano

In the classical model of stock prices which is assumed to be Geometric Brownian motion, the drift and the volatility of the prices are held constant. However, in reality, the volatility does vary. In quantitative finance, the Heston model…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Arunangshu Biswas , Anindya Goswami , Ludger Overbeck

We present a multivariate stochastic volatility model with leverage, which is flexible enough to recapture the individual dynamics as well as the interdependencies between several assets while still being highly analytically tractable.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-23 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Oliver Pfaffel , Robert Stelzer

We study indifference pricing of exotic derivatives by using hedging strategies that take static positions in quoted derivatives but trade the underlying and cash dynamically over time. We use real quotes that come with bid-ask spreads and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-05 Teemu Pennanen , Udomsak Rakwongwan

With model uncertainty characterized by a convex, possibly non-dominated set of probability measures, the agent minimizes the cost of hedging a path dependent contingent claim with given expected success ratio, in a discrete-time,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-29 Erhan Bayraktar , Gu Wang

We price European options in a class of models in which the volatility of the underlying risky asset depends on the short rate of interest. Our study results in an explicit pricing formula that depends on knowledge of a characteristic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Tim Leung , Matthew Lorig

Discretely sampled variance and volatility swaps trade actively in OTC markets. To price these swaps, the continuously sampled approximation is often used to simplify the computations. The purpose of this paper is to study the conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-08 Robert Jarrow , Younes Kchia , Martin Larsson , Philip Protter

Prediction markets rely on liquidity to convert trades into informative prices, yet existing mechanisms fix liquidity ex ante. This restriction enforces a static trade-off between price responsiveness and worst-case loss despite inherently…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Enrique Nueve , Bao Nguyen , Rafael Frongillo , Bo Waggoner

In this paper we introduce a new approach to model-free path-dependent option pricing. We first introduce a general duality result for linear optimisation problems over signed measures introduced in [3] and show how the the problem of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-16 Raphael Hauser , Sergey Shahverdyan

We consider option pricing using a discrete-time Markov switching stochastic volatility with co-jump model, which can model volatility clustering and varying mean-reversion speeds of volatility. For pricing European options, we develop a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-29 Michael C. Fu , Bingqing Li , Rongwen Wu , Tianqi Zhang

Closed form formulas for swaption prices in HJM model are derived. These formulas are used for nonparametric fit of deterministic forward volatility. It is demonstrated that this formula and non-parametric fit works very well and can be…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-11 V. M. Belyaev