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The Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm is a very powerful and versatile iterative method to estimate the probability of rare events, based on an interacting particle systems. In an other article, in a so-called idealized setting, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Ludovic Goudenège , Loic Tudela

In this work we derive limit theorems for trawl processes. First,we study the asymptotic behaviour of the partial sums of the discretized trawl process $(X_{i\Delta_{n}})_{i=0}^{\lfloor nt\rfloor-1}$, under the assumption that as…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-17 Mikko S. Pakkanen , Riccardo Passeggeri , Orimar Sauri , Almut E. D. Veraart

We investigate the asymptotic behaviour of networks of interacting non-linear Hawkes processes modeling a homogeneous population of neurons in the large population limit. In particular, we prove a functional central limit theorem for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Sophie Heesen , Wilhelm Stannat

We study the central limit theorem in the non-normal domain of attraction to symmetric $\alpha$-stable laws for $0<\alpha\leq2$. We show that for i.i.d. random variables $X_i$, the convergence rate in $L^\infty$ of both the densities and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Christoph Börgers , Claude Greengard

We study random compositions of transformations having certain uniform fiberwise properties and prove bounds which in combination with other results yield a quenched central limit theorem equipped with a convergence rate, also in the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Olli Hella , Mikko Stenlund

Let $X=\{X_n: n\in\mathbb{N}\}$ be a linear process in which the coefficients are of the form $a_i=i^{-1}\ell(i)$ with $\ell$ being a slowly varying function at the infinity and the innovations are independent and identically distributed…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Fangjun Xu

This note extends some results of Nishiyama [Ann. Probab. 28 (2000) 685--712]. A maximal inequality for stochastic integrals with respect to integer-valued random measures which may have infinitely many jumps on compact time intervals is…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Yoichi Nishiyama

This paper develops systematically the stochastic calculus via regularization in the case of jump processes. In particular one continues the analysis of real-valued c\`adl\`ag weak Dirichlet processes with respect to a given filtration.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Elena Bandini , Francesco Russo

In this paper, martingales related to simple random walks and their maximum process are investigated. First, a sufficient condition under which a function with three arguments, time, the random walk, and its maximum process becomes a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-11 Takahiko Fujita , Shotaro Yagishita , Naohiro Yoshida

In this paper, we present a realized range-based multipower variation theory, which can be used to estimate return variation and draw jump-robust inference about the diffusive volatility component, when a high-frequency record of asset…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-24 Kim Christensen , Mark Podolskij

In this paper, we consider a modified version of a well-known submartingale condition fortheweak convergence of probabilitymeasures, adapted to the semi-Markov case. In this setting, it is convenient to work with an embedded Markov chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Vitaliy Golomoziy

We consider $p$-variations in some membrane potential data --viewed as a function of the step size in case where $p$ is fixed, or viewed as a function of $p$ in case where the step size is fixed-- and compare their shape with results in…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-26 Reinhard Hoepfner

Consider a discrete-time martingale, and let $V^2$ be its normalized quadratic variation. As $V^2$ approaches 1, and provided that some Lindeberg condition is satisfied, the distribution of the rescaled martingale approaches the Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-22 Jean-Christophe Mourrat

We study the asymptotic behaviour of additive functionals of random walks in random scenery. We establish bounds for the moments of the local time of the Kesten and Spitzer process.These bounds combined with a previous moment convergence…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Françoise Pene

Given a random walk $(S_n)$ with typical step distributed according to some fixed law and a fixed parameter $p \in (0,1)$, the associated positively step-reinforced random walk is a discrete-time process which performs at each step, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Marco Bertenghi , Alejandro Rosales-Ortiz

We prove that the restriction of the vertex-reinforced jump process to a subset of the vertex set is a mixture of vertex-reinforced jump processes. A similar statement holds for the non-linear hyperbolic supersymmetric sigma model. This is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Margherita Disertori , Franz Merkl , Silke W. W. Rolles

Motivated by entropic optimal transport, time reversal of Markov jump processes in $\mathbb{R}^n$ is investigated. Relying on an abstract integration by parts formula for the carr\'e du champ of a Markov process recently obtained by…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Giovanni Conforti , Christian Léonard

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) offer a powerful stochastic modeling framework that combines deterministic trajectories with random perturbations at random times. Estimating their local characteristics (particularly the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Romain Azaïs , Solune Denis

A rescaled Markov chain converges uniformly in probability to the solution of an ordinary differential equation, under carefully specified assumptions. The presentation is much simpler than those in the outside literature. The result may be…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. W. R. Darling

We give conditions under which the normalized marginal distribution of a semimartingale converges to a Gaussian limit law as time tends to zero. In particular, our result is applicable to solutions of stochastic differential equations with…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-22 Stefan Gerhold , Max Kleinert , Piet Porkert , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov