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We investigate the Poisson regression method for Markov and semi-Markov jump processes from a nonparametric angle, allowing the lengths of the time and duration intervals in the partition to vary with the number of observations. Imposing no…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Martin Bladt , Rasmus Frigaard Lemvig

We study the short-time asymptotics of conditional expectations of smooth and non-smooth functions of a (discontinuous) Ito semimartingale; we compute the leading term in the asymptotics in terms of the local characteristics of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-08 Amel Bentata , Rama Cont

Let $X=\{X_n: n\in\mathbb{N}\}$ be a long memory linear process in which the coefficients are regularly varying and innovations are independent and identically distributed and belong to the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable law…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-22 Hui Liu , Yudan Xiong , Fangjun Xu

We investigate asymptotic behaviour of averaging operators for actions of simple rank-one Lie groups. It was previously known that these averaging operators converge almost everywhere, and we establish a more precise asymptotic formula that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-05-23 Alexander Gorodnik , Felipe A. Ramirez

In bandit algorithms, the randomly time-varying adaptive experimental design makes it difficult to apply traditional limit theorems to off-policy evaluation of the treatment effect. Moreover, the normal approximation by the central limit…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Yechan Park , Nakahiro Yoshida

In this paper, local linear estimators are adapted for the unknown infinitesimal coefficients associated with continuous-time asset return model with jumps, which can correct the bias automatically due to their simple bias representation.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Yuping Song , Ying Chen , Zhouwei Wang

We prove a sequence of limiting results about weakly dependent stationary and regularly varying stochastic processes in discrete time. After deducing the limiting distribution for individual clusters of extremes, we present a new type of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Bojan Basrak , Hrvoje Planinic , Philippe Soulier

In this paper, asymptotic expansions of the distributions and densities of powered extremes for Maxwell samples are considered. The results show that the convergence speeds of normalized partial maxima relies on the powered index.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Jianwen Huang , Xinling Liu , Jianjun Wang , Zhongquan Tan , Jingyao Hou , Hao Pu

We consider integer-valued random walks with independent but not identically distributed increments, and extend to this context several classical estimates, including a local limit theorem, precise small-ball estimates (both conditional on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Sébastien Ott , Yvan Velenik

We establish central limit theorems for the Sample Average Approximation (SAA) method in discrete-time, finite-horizon stochastic optimal control. Our analysis is based on an abstract limit theorem for stochastic backward recursions, which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Johannes Milz , Alexander Shapiro

We propose a new estimation scheme for estimation of the volatility parameters of a semimartingale with jumps based on a jump-detection filter. Our filter uses all of data to analyze the relative size of increments and to discriminate jumps…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-16 Haruhiko Inatsugu , Nakahiro Yoshida

A functional limit theorem for the partial maxima of a long memory stable sequence produces a limiting process that can be described as a $\beta$-power time change in the classical Fr\'echet extremal process, for $\beta$ in a subinterval of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Céline Lacaux , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We consider the stochastic ranking process with space-time dependent unbounded jump rates for the particles. We prove that the joint empirical distribution of jump rate and scaled position converges almost surely to a deterministic…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-02 Tetsuya Hattori

We develop asymptotic approximations that can be applied to sequential estimation and inference problems, adaptive randomized controlled trials, and related settings. In batched adaptive settings where the decision at one stage can affect…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-25 Keisuke Hirano , Jack R. Porter

In this paper we estimate the rest of the approximation of a stationary process by a martingale in terms of the projections of partial sums. Then, based on this estimate, we obtain almost sure approximation of partial sums by a martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-05 Florence Merlevède , Costel Peligrad , Magda Peligrad

We determine the asymptotic behavior of the realized power variations, or more generally of sums of a given test function evaluated at the successive increments of a L\'{e}vy process. One can completely elucidate the first order behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean Jacod

We present sufficient conditions, in terms of the jumping kernels, for two large classes of conservative Markov processes of pure-jump type to be purely discontinuous martingales with finite second moment. As an application, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Yuichi Shiozawa , Jian Wang

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the Gaussian quasi maximum likelihood estimator of a stationary GARCH process with heavy-tailed innovations. This means that the innovations are regularly varying with index…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Thomas Mikosch , Daniel Straumann

The aim of this paper is to study the asymptotic expansion in total variation in the Central Limit Theorem when the law of the basic random variable is locally lower-bounded by the Lebesgue measure (or equivalently, has an absolutely…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-18 Vlad Bally , Lucia Caramellino

In this paper we provide an asymptotic analysis of generalised bipower measures of the variation of price processes in financial economics. These measures encompass the usual quadratic variation, power variation and bipower variations which…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen , Svend E. Graversen , Jean Jacod , Neil Shephard
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