English

On the rate of convergence in the martingale central limit theorem

Probability 2013-03-22 v2 Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

Consider a discrete-time martingale, and let V2V^2 be its normalized quadratic variation. As V2V^2 approaches 1, and provided that some Lindeberg condition is satisfied, the distribution of the rescaled martingale approaches the Gaussian distribution. For any p1p\geq 1, (Ann. Probab. 16 (1988) 275-299) gave a bound on the rate of convergence in this central limit theorem that is the sum of two terms, say Ap+BpA_p+B_p, where up to a constant, Ap=V21pp/(2p+1)A_p={\|V^2-1\|}_p^{p/(2p+1)}. Here we discuss the optimality of this term, focusing on the restricted class of martingales with bounded increments. In this context, (Ann. Probab. 10 (1982) 672-688) sketched a strategy to prove optimality for p=1p=1. Here we extend this strategy to any p1p\geq 1, thereby justifying the optimality of the term ApA_p. As a necessary step, we also provide a new bound on the rate of convergence in the central limit theorem for martingales with bounded increments that improves on the term BpB_p, generalizing another result of (Ann. Probab. 10 (1982) 672-688).

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1103.5050,
  title  = {On the rate of convergence in the martingale central limit theorem},
  author = {Jean-Christophe Mourrat},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1103.5050},
  year   = {2013}
}

Comments

Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.3150/12-BEJ417 the Bernoulli (http://isi.cbs.nl/bernoulli/) by the International Statistical Institute/Bernoulli Society (http://isi.cbs.nl/BS/bshome.htm)