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Statistical inference for extreme values of random events is difficult in practice due to low sample sizes and inaccurate models for the studied rare events. If prior knowledge for extreme values is available, Bayesian statistics can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Tobias Kallehauge

Mutual information is widely used, in a descriptive way, to measure the stochastic dependence of categorical random variables. In order to address questions such as the reliability of the descriptive value, one must consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Marcus Hutter , Marco Zaffalon

We explore asymptotically optimal bounds for deviations of distributions of independent Bernoulli random variables from the Poisson limit in terms of the Shannon relative entropy and R\'enyi/Tsallis relative distances (including Pearson's…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-15 S. G. Bobkov , G. P. Chistyakov , F. Götze

We prove Chernoff style exponential concentration bounds for classical quantum soft covering generalising previous works which gave bounds only in expectation. Our first result is an exponential concentration bound for fully smooth…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-08 Pranab Sen

We formulate an info-clustering paradigm based on a multivariate information measure, called multivariate mutual information, that naturally extends Shannon's mutual information between two random variables to the multivariate case…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-12-13 Chung Chan , Ali Al-Bashabsheh , Qiaoqiao Zhou , Tarik Kaced , Tie Liu

Approximation theory plays a central role in numerical analysis, undergoing continuous evolution through a spectrum of methodologies. Notably, Lebesgue, Weierstrass, Fourier, and Chebyshev approximations stand out among these methods.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-30 S Akansha

The Information Bottleneck (IB) is a conceptual method for extracting the most compact, yet informative, representation of a set of variables, with respect to the target. It generalizes the notion of minimal sufficient statistics from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-08 Amichai Painsky , Naftali Tishby

This chapter collects several probabilistic tools that proved to be useful in the analysis of randomized search heuristics. This includes classic material like Markov, Chebyshev and Chernoff inequalities, but also lesser known topics like…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Benjamin Doerr

This article expands the framework of Bayesian inference and provides direct probabilistic methods for approaching inference tasks that are typically handled with information theory. We treat Bayesian probability updating as a random…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-11-20 Kevin Vanslette

We propose a number of concepts and properties related to `weighted' statistical inference where the observed data are classified in accordance with a `value' of a sample string. The motivation comes from the concepts of weighted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-31 Mark Kelbert , Yuri Suhov

Given finite-dimensional random vectors $Y$, $X$, and $Z$ that form a Markov chain in that order (i.e., $Y \to X \to Z$), we derive upper bounds on the excess minimum risk using generalized information divergence measures. Here, $Y$ is a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Ananya Omanwar , Fady Alajaji , Tamás Linder

The hierarchical and recursive expressive capability of rooted trees is applicable to represent statistical models in various areas, such as data compression, image processing, and machine learning. On the other hand, such hierarchical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Yuta Nakahara , Shota Saito , Akira Kamatsuka , Toshiyasu Matsushima

In this paper, we derive a Bayesian model order selection rule by using the exponentially embedded family method, termed Bayesian EEF. Unlike many other Bayesian model selection methods, the Bayesian EEF can use vague proper priors and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-24 Zhenghan Zhu , Steven Kay

This work discusses how to derive upper bounds for the expected generalisation error of supervised learning algorithms by means of the chaining technique. By developing a general theoretical framework, we establish a duality between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-01 Eugenio Clerico , Amitis Shidani , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

The results received in works [Centsov N.N. [N.N. Chentsov], Statistical decision rules and optimal inference, 1982 Amer. Math. Soc. (Translated from Russian); Morozova, E. A., Chentsov, N. N. Natural geometry of families of probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-10-10 V. V. Ryazanov

This paper considers the entropy of the sum of (possibly dependent and non-identically distributed) Bernoulli random variables. Upper bounds on the error that follows from an approximation of this entropy by the entropy of a Poisson random…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Igal Sason

We utilize operational methods to generalize the Chernoff inequality and prove a new result that relates the moment bound to strictly absolute monotonic functions. We show that the Chernoff bound is part of a continuum of probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Roy S. Freedman

A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Rose Baker

We use the language of uninformative Bayesian prior choice to study the selection of appropriately simple effective models. We advocate for the prior which maximizes the mutual information between parameters and predictions, learning as…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-02-16 Henry H. Mattingly , Mark K. Transtrum , Michael C. Abbott , Benjamin B. Machta

We consider the problem of predicting as well as the best linear combination of d given functions in least squares regression under L^\infty constraints on the linear combination. When the input distribution is known, there already exists…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-14 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni