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In this paper we present an algorithm to fit data via exponentials when the error is measured using the max-norm. We prove the necesssary results to show that the algorithm will converge to the best approximation no matter the dataset.

We study the problem of approximately recovering a probability distribution given noisy measurements of its Chebyshev polynomial moments. This problem arises broadly across algorithms, statistics, and machine learning. By leveraging a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Cameron Musco , Christopher Musco , Lucas Rosenblatt , Apoorv Vikram Singh

New Vapnik and Chervonenkis type concentration inequalities are derived for the empirical distribution of an independent random sample. Focus is on the maximal deviation over classes of Borel sets within a low probability region. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-26 Stéphane Lhaut , Anne Sabourin , Johan Segers

We give some results relating asymptotic characterisations of maximum entropy probability measures to characterisations of Bayes optimal classifiers. Our main theorems show that maximum entropy is a universally Bayes optimal decision rule…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Dalton A R Sakthivadivel

Prediction is a central task of statistics and machine learning, yet many inferential settings provide only partial information, typically in the form of moment constraints or estimating equations. We develop a finite, fully Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Nicholas G. Polson , Daniel Zantedeschi

We consider natural and general exponential families $(Q_m)_{m\in M}$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$ parametrized by the means. We study the submodels $(Q_{\theta m_1+(1-\theta)m_2})_{\theta\in[0,1]}$ parametrized by a segment in the means domain,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-07 Piotr Graczyk , Salha Mamane

In this paper, we consider Bayesian point estimation and predictive density estimation in the binomial case. After presenting preliminary results on these problems, we compare the risk functions of the Bayes estimators based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Yasuyuki Hamura

We consider the problem of learning Bayesian network classifiers that maximize the marginover a set of classification variables. We find that this problem is harder for Bayesian networks than for undirected graphical models like maximum…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Yuhong Guo , Dana Wilkinson , Dale Schuurmans

The problem of graphical model selection is to correctly estimate the graph structure of a Markov random field given samples from the underlying distribution. We analyze the information-theoretic limitations of the problem of graph…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-05-19 Narayana Santhanam , Martin J. Wainwright

Information geometry provides a geometric approach to families of statistical models. The key geometric structures are the Fisher quadratic form and the Amari-Chentsov tensor. In statistics, the notion of sufficient statistic expresses the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Nihat Ay , Jürgen Jost , Hông Vân Lê , Lorenz Schwachhöfer

Mixture-of-Experts models are commonly used when there exist distinct clusters with different relationships between the independent and dependent variables. Fitting such models for large datasets, however, is computationally virtually…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Yanxi Liu , John Stufken , Min Yang

In this dissertation, I derive a new method to estimate the Vapnik-Chervonenkis Dimension (VCD) for the class of linear functions. This method is inspired by the technique developed by Vapnik et al. Vapnik et al. (1994). My contribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-22 Merlin Mpoudeu

We introduce a novel strategy to address the issue of demand estimation in single-item single-period stochastic inventory optimisation problems. Our strategy analytically combines confidence interval analysis and inventory optimisation. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Roberto Rossi , Steven Prestwich , S. Armagan Tarim , Brahim Hnich

Exponential random graph models are extremely difficult models to handle from a statistical viewpoint, since their normalising constant, which depends on model parameters, is available only in very trivial cases. We show how inference can…

Applications · Statistics 2010-09-30 Alberto Caimo , Nial Friel

We consider the problem of estimating the probability of error in multi-hypothesis testing when MAP criterion is used. This probability, which is also known as the Bayes risk is an important measure in many communication and information…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-16 Nandakishore Santhi , Alexander Vardy

An active hypothesis testing problem is formulated. In this problem, the agent can perform a fixed number of experiments and then decide on one of the hypotheses. The agent is also allowed to declare its experiments inconclusive if needed.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Dhruva Kartik , Ashutosh Nayyar , Urbashi Mitra

Feature selection is one of the most fundamental problems in machine learning. An extensive body of work on information-theoretic feature selection exists which is based on maximizing mutual information between subsets of features and class…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-10 Shuyang Gao , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters in a pairwise graphical model in which the distribution of each node, conditioned on the others, may have a different parametric form. In particular, we assume that each node's…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-05 Shizhe Chen , Daniela Witten , Ali Shojaie

Worst-case bounds on the expected shortfall risk given only limited information on the distribution of the random variables has been studied extensively in the literature. In this paper, we develop a new worst-case bound on the expected…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-12 Anulekha Dhara , Bikramjit Das , Karthik Natarajan

We consider the classical problem of learning, with arbitrary accuracy, the natural parameters of a $k$-parameter truncated \textit{minimal} exponential family from i.i.d. samples in a computationally and statistically efficient manner. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Abhin Shah , Devavrat Shah , Gregory W. Wornell
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