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The Poisson-gamma state space (PGSS) models have been utilized in the analysis of non-negative integer-valued time series to sequentially obtain closed form filtering and predictive densities. In this study, we show the underlying mechanics…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Kaoru Irie , Tevfik Aktekin

A model for diffusion on a cubic lattice with a random distribution of traps is developed. The traps are redistributed at certain time intervals. Such models are useful for describing systems showing dynamic disorder, such as ion-conducting…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 S. Mandal , R. Dasgupta

We study the non-stationary Feller process with time varying coefficients. We obtain the exact probability distribution exemplified by its characteristic function and cumulants. In some particular cases we exactly invert the distribution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-02-17 Jaume Masoliver

We present an approximate calculation for the distribution of the maximum of a smooth stationary temporal signal X(t). As an application, we compute the persistence exponent associated to the probability that the process remains below a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Clément Sire

We propose a new class of generative diffusion models, called functional diffusion. In contrast to previous work, functional diffusion works on samples that are represented by functions with a continuous domain. Functional diffusion can be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Biao Zhang , Peter Wonka

.Stochastic models based on random diffusivities, such as the diffusing-diffusivity approach, are popular concepts for the description of non-Gaussian diffusion in heterogeneous media. Studies of these models typically focus on the moments…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-26 V. Sposini , D. S. Grebenkov , R. Metzler , G. Oshanin , F. Seno

We propose flexible Gaussian representations for conditional cumulative distribution functions and give a concave likelihood criterion for their estimation. Optimal representations satisfy the monotonicity property of conditional cumulative…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-22 Richard Spady , Sami Stouli

On the grounds of both widely known experimental and numerical data of the strain-rate tensor statistical properties in the fully developed incompressible turbulent flow and the integral transformations deduced in the article, some…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-11-24 A. V. Kopyev , K. P. Zybin

The increased demand for online prediction and the growing availability of large data sets drives the need for computationally efficient models. While exact Gaussian process regression shows various favorable theoretical properties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-02 Armin Lederer , Alejandro Jose Ordonez Conejo , Korbinian Maier , Wenxin Xiao , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

In this work we present the explicit calculation of Probability Distribution Function for a model system of granular gas within the framework of Tsallis Non-Extensive Statistical Mechanics, using the stochastic approach by Beck [C. Beck,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 F. Sattin

Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

The partial differential equation of Gaussian diffusion is generalized by using the time-fractional derivative of distributed order between 0 and 1, in both the Riemann-Liouville (R-L) and the Caputo (C) sense. For a general distribution of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-05-27 Francesco Mainardi , Antonio Mura , Gianni Pagnini , Rudolf Gorenflo

In sustained growth with random dynamics stationary distributions can exist without detailed balance. This suggests thermodynamical behavior in fast growing complex systems. In order to model such phenomena we apply both a discrete and a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-22 Tamás Biró , Zoltán Néda

Diffusive motion in an externally driven potential is considered. It is shown that the distribution of work required to drive the system from an initial equilibrium state to another is Gaussian for slow but finite driving. Our result is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Thomas Speck , Udo Seifert

We derive an exact expression for the probability density function of the cascade size (total progeny) in a continuous state branching process when the generations are Gamma distributed. The distribution has application in the modelling of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-16 James Burridge

In previous work Majda and McLaughlin computed explicit expressions for the $2N$th moments of a passive scalar advected by a linear shear flow in the form of an integral over ${\bf R}^N$. In this paper we first compute the asymptotics of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. C. Bronski , R. M. McLaughlin

We employ the macroscopic fluctuation theory to study fluctuations of integrated current in one-dimensional lattice gases with a step-like initial density profile. We analytically determine the variance of the current fluctuations for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-05 P. L. Krapivsky , Baruch Meerson

We study a stochastic many-body system maintained in an non-equilibrium steady state. Probability distribution functional of the time-integrated current and density is shown to attain a large-deviation form in the long-time asymptotics. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-12-21 Vladimir Y. Chernyak , Michael Chertkov , Sergey V. Malinin , Razvan Teodorescu

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution of a continuous-time perpetuity and the underlying factors which govern the cash flow rate, in an ergodic Markov model. Two approaches are used to obtain the distribution. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-18 Constantinos Kardaras , Scott Robertson

A distributional route to Gaussianity, associated with the concept of Conservative Mixing Transformations in ensembles of random vector-valued variables, is proposed. This route is completely different from the additive mechanism…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-11 Massimiliano Giona , Chiara Pezzotti , Giuseppe Procopio