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In many applications, for example when computing statistics of fast subsystems in a multiscale setting, we wish to find the stationary distributions of systems of continuous time Markov chains. Here we present a class of models that appears…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-20 David F. Anderson , Simon L. Cotter

We present a general framework for Bayesian estimation of incompletely observed multivariate diffusion processes. Observations are assumed to be discrete in time, noisy and incomplete. We assume the drift and diffusion coefficient depend on…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-04 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

The polygonal distributions are a class of distributions that can be defined via the mixture of triangular distributions over the unit interval. The class includes the uniform and trapezoidal distributions, and is an alternative to the beta…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-18 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan

We investigate dynamics near Turing patterns in reaction-diffusion systems posed on the real line. Linear analysis predicts diffusive decay of small perturbations. We construct a "normal form" coordinate system near such Turing patterns…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-10-29 Arnd Scheel , Qiliang Wu

This paper provides a semiparametric model of estimating states of the volatility defined as the squared diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. Without assuming any functional form of the volatility function, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-18 I. Shoji

Parametric estimation for diffusion processes is considered for high frequency observations over a fixed time interval. The processes solve stochastic differential equations with an unknown parameter in the diffusion coefficient. We find…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-03 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

Mathematical models of motility are often based on random-walk descriptions of discrete individuals that can move according to certain rules. It is usually the case that large masses concentrated in small regions of space have a great…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-23 Carles Falcó

The paper addresses the problem of passivation of a class of nonlinear systems where the dynamics are unknown. For this purpose, we use the highly flexible, data-driven Gaussian process regression for the identification of the unknown…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

In this work, we consider the numerical recovery of a spatially dependent diffusion coefficient in a subdiffusion model from distributed observations. The subdiffusion model involves a Caputo fractional derivative of order $\alpha\in(0,1)$…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Bangti Jin , Zhi Zhou

We present a Bayesian non-parametric way of inferring stochastic differential equations for both regression tasks and continuous-time dynamical modelling. The work has high emphasis on the stochastic part of the differential equation, also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Martin Jørgensen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Hugh Salimbeni

This paper studies distributed resilient consensus problem for a class of uncertain nonlinear multiagent systems susceptible to deception attacks. The attacks invade both sensor and actuator channels of each agent. A specific class of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-10 Mengze Yu , Wei Wang , Jiaqi Yan

Diffusion Models (DMs) are powerful generative models that add Gaussian noise to the data and learn to remove it. We wanted to determine which noise distribution (Gaussian or non-Gaussian) led to better generated data in DMs. Since DMs do…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Alexia Jolicoeur-Martineau , Kilian Fatras , Ke Li , Tal Kachman

If the prior probability distributions of all possible hypothetical true means and all possible observed means of a continuous variable are conditional on the universal set of all numbers (i.e., before the nature of a study is known and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Huw Llewelyn

In this work, I derive the time-dependent probability density function of classical observables using the Hamiltonian mechanics approach, extending the notion of fluctuation theorems for any observables. In particular, the time-dependent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-13 Pierre Nazé

A two-dimensional Gauss-Kuzmin theorem for $N$-continued fraction expansions is shown. More exactly, we obtain a Gauss-Kuzmin theorem related to the natural extension of the measure-dynamical system corresponding to these expansions. Then,…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-07 Gabriela Ileana Sebe , Dan Lascu

We study the effect of randomly distributed diffusivities and speeds in two models for active particle dynamics with active and passive fluctuations. We demonstrate how non-Gaussian displacement distributions emerge in these models in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-01 Elisabeth Lemaitre , Igor M. Sokolov , Ralf Metzler , Aleksei V. Chechkin

We formulate a simple additivity principle allowing to calculate the whole distribution of current fluctuations through a large one dimensional system in contact with two reservoirs at unequal densities from the knowledge of its first two…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 T. Bodineau , B. Derrida

Statistical physics approaches can be used to derive accurate predictions for the performance of inference methods learning from potentially noisy data, as quantified by the learning curve defined as the average error versus number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-07 Matthew J. Urry , Peter Sollich

Gaussian couplings of partial sum processes are derived for the high-dimensional regime $d=o(n^{1/3})$. The coupling is derived for sums of independent random vectors and subsequently extended to nonstationary time series. Our inequalities…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Fabian Mies , Ansgar Steland

Refraction of a Longuet-Higgins Gaussian sea by random ocean currents creates persistent local variations in average energy and wave action. These variations take the form of lumps or streaks, and they explicitly survive dispersion over…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-01-06 E. J. Heller , L. Kaplan , A. Dahlen
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