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Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are more suitable for learning non-linear dependencies in dynamical systems from observed time series data. In practice all the external variables driving such systems are not known a priori, especially in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Mhlasakululeka Mvubu , Emmanuel Kabuga , Christian Plitz , Bubacarr Bah , Ronnie Becker , Hans Georg Zimmermann

ARFIMA is a time series forecasting model, which is an improved ARMA model, the ARFIMA model proposed in this article is demonstrated and deduced in detail. combined with network traffic of CERNET backbone and the ARFIMA model,the result…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2013-02-27 Dingding Zhou , Songling Chen , Shi Dong

Finding model parameters from data is an essential task in science and engineering, from weather and climate forecasts to plasma control. Previous works have employed neural networks to greatly accelerate finding solutions to inverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-16 Philipp Holl , Nils Thuerey

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have become remarkably successful in data prediction, and have even been used to predict future actions based on limited input. This raises the question: do these systems actually "understand" the event similar…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Hoe Sung Ryu , Uijong Ju , Christian Wallraven

The explosion of Time Series (TS) data, driven by advancements in technology, necessitates sophisticated analytical methods. Modern management systems increasingly rely on analyzing this data, highlighting the importance of effcient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Seyedeh Azadeh Fallah Mortezanejad , Ruochen Wang

Convolutional neural networks (CNN) have become a powerful tool for detecting patterns in image data. Recent papers report promising results in the domain of disease detection using brain MRI data. Despite the high accuracy obtained from…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-19 Arjun Haridas Pallath , Martin Dyrba

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

Autonomous driving (AD) and advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) increasingly utilize deep neural networks (DNNs) for improved perception or planning. Nevertheless, DNNs are quite brittle when the data distribution during inference…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-10 Fabian Woitschek , Georg Schneider

Forecasting can estimate the statement of events according to the historical data and it is considerably important in many disciplines. At present, time series models have been utilized to solve forecasting problems in various domains. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-03-10 S. Chen , X. Lan , Y. Hu , Q. Liu , Y. Deng

A new modification of the Neural Additive Model (NAM) called SurvNAM and its modifications are proposed to explain predictions of the black-box machine learning survival model. The method is based on applying the original NAM to solving the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Lev V. Utkin , Egor D. Satyukov , Andrei V. Konstantinov

Real-time traffic flow prediction can not only provide travelers with reliable traffic information so that it can save people's time, but also assist the traffic management agency to manage traffic system. It can greatly improve the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-17 Zeren Tan , Ruimin Li

Traditional deep neural nets (NNs) have shown the state-of-the-art performance in the task of classification in various applications. However, NNs have not considered any types of uncertainty associated with the class probabilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Xujiang Zhao , Yuzhe Ou , Lance Kaplan , Feng Chen , Jin-Hee Cho

This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

Machine learning algorithms, especially Neural Networks (NNs), are a valuable tool used to approximate non-linear relationships, like the AC-Optimal Power Flow (AC-OPF), with considerable accuracy -- and achieving a speedup of several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Rahul Nellikkath , Spyros Chatzivasileiadis

Artificial neural networks have proven to be extremely useful models that have allowed for multiple recent breakthroughs in the field of Artificial Intelligence and many others. However, they are typically regarded as black boxes, given how…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Manuel de Sousa Ribeiro , João Leite

A variety of real-world processes (over networks) produce sequences of data whose complex temporal dynamics need to be studied. More especially, the event timestamps can carry important information about the underlying network dynamics,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-27 Shuai Xiao , Junchi Yan , Mehrdad Farajtabar , Le Song , Xiaokang Yang , Hongyuan Zha

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have gained significant popularity in the last decade for solving narrow AI problems in domains such as healthcare, transportation, and defense. As ANNs become more ubiquitous, it is imperative to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Tommy Li , Cory Merkel

In recent years, there have been a surge in applications of neural networks (NNs) in physical sciences. Although various algorithmic advances have been proposed, there are, thus far, limited number of studies that assess the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-12-17 Kai Fukami , Romit Maulik , Nesar Ramachandra , Koji Fukagata , Kunihiko Taira

We study the use of feedforward neural networks (FNN) to develop models of nonlinear dynamical systems from data. Emphasis is placed on predictions at long times, with limited data availability. Inspired by global stability analysis, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-16 Shaowu Pan , Karthik Duraisamy