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Accurate evaluation of forecasting models is essential for ensuring reliable predictions. Current practices for evaluating and comparing forecasting models focus on summarising performance into a single score, using metrics such as SMAPE.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Roque , Carlos Soares

Many problems in climate science require the identification of signals obscured by both the "noise" of internal climate variability and differences across models. Following previous work, we train an artificial neural network (ANN) to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-24 Elizabeth A. Barnes , Benjamin Toms , James W. Hurrell , Imme Ebert-Uphoff , Chuck Anderson , David Anderson

Due to imprecision and uncertainties in predicting real world problems, artificial neural network (ANN) techniques have become increasingly useful for modeling and optimization. This paper presents an artificial neural network approach for…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Hasan M. H. Owda , Babatunji Omoniwa , Ahmad R. Shahid , Sheikh Ziauddin

This article applies a long short-term memory recurrent neural network to mortality rate forecasting. The model can be trained jointly on the mortality rate history of different countries, ages, and sexes. The RNN-based method seems to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-18 Gábor Petneházi , József Gáll

Randomized artificial neural networks such as extreme learning machines provide an attractive and efficient method for supervised learning under limited computing ressources and green machine learning. This especially applies when equipping…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-02 Ansgar Steland , Bart E. Pieters

Neuro-fuzzy systems have attracted growing interest of researchers in various scientific and engineering areas due to the increasing need of intelligent systems. This paper evaluates the use of two popular soft computing techniques and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ajith Abraham , Baikunth Nath

Insurers usually turn to generalized linear models for modeling claim frequency and severity data. Due to their success in other fields, machine learning techniques are gaining popularity within the actuarial toolbox. Our paper contributes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Freek Holvoet , Katrien Antonio , Roel Henckaerts

The use of machine learning methods to tackle challenging physical layer signal processing tasks has attracted significant attention. In this work, we focus on the use of neural networks (NNs) to perform pilot-assisted channel estimation in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-26 Michel van Lier , Alexios Balatsoukas-Stimming , Henk Corporaaal , Zoran Zivkovic

Long-term rainfall prediction is a challenging task especially in the modern world where we are facing the major environmental problem of global warming. In general, climate and rainfall are highly non-linear phenomena in nature exhibiting…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ajith Abraham , Dan Steinberg

Classifiers trained using conventional empirical risk minimization or maximum likelihood methods are known to suffer dramatic performance degradations when tested over examples adversarially selected based on knowledge of the classifier's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-01 Alireza Bagheri , Osvaldo Simeone , Bipin Rajendran

There exist several data-driven approaches that enable us model time series data including traditional regression-based modeling approaches (i.e., ARIMA). Recently, deep learning techniques have been introduced and explored in the context…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-20 Saroj Gopali , Faranak Abri , Sima Siami-Namini , Akbar Siami Namin

Modern weather forecast models perform uncertainty quantification using ensemble prediction systems, which collect nonparametric statistics based on multiple perturbed simulations. To provide accurate estimation, dozens of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Peter Grönquist , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Luca Lavarini , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

Time series data is being used everywhere, from sales records to patients' health evolution metrics. The ability to deal with this data has become a necessity, and time series analysis and forecasting are used for the same. Every Machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Rameshwar Garg , Shriya Barpanda , Girish Rao Salanke N S , Ramya S

Weather forecasting benefits us in various ways from farmers in cultivation and harvesting their crops to airlines to schedule their flights. Weather forecasting is a challenging task due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere. Therefore…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Eranga De Saa , Lochandaka Ranathunga

Our objective is to estimate the unknown compositional input from its output response through an unknown system after estimating the inverse of the original system with a training set. The proposed methods using artificial neural networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-27 Se Un Park

Cyber-physical systems often consist of entities that interact with each other over time. Meanwhile, as part of the continued digitization of industrial processes, various sensor technologies are deployed that enable us to record…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-03 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Darius-Valer Micu , Gabriel-Marcel Muresan , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are essential tools in machine learning that have drawn increasing attention in neuroscience. Besides offering powerful techniques for data analysis, ANNs provide a new approach for neuroscientists to build…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-25 Guangyu Robert Yang , Xiao-Jing Wang

Minimizing response times is crucial for emergency medical services to reduce patients' waiting times and to increase their survival rates. Many models exist to optimize operational tasks such as ambulance allocation and dispatching.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Maximiliane Rautenstrauß , Maximilian Schiffer

Recent advances in probabilistic modelling have led to a large number of simulation-based inference algorithms which do not require numerical evaluation of likelihoods. However, a public benchmark with appropriate performance metrics for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-12 Jan-Matthis Lueckmann , Jan Boelts , David S. Greenberg , Pedro J. Gonçalves , Jakob H. Macke

One of the most common and universal problems in science is to investigate a function. The prediction can be made by an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) or a mathematical model. Both approaches have their advantages and disadvantages.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Szymon Buchaniec , Marek Gnatowski , Grzegorz Brus
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