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Related papers: Stochastic models of population extinction

200 papers

We study the interplay of population growth and evolutionary dynamics using a stochastic model based on birth and death events. In contrast to the common assumption of an independent population size, evolution can be strongly affected by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-05 Jonas Cremer , Anna Melbinger , Erwin Frey

We study the stochastic evolution of four species in cyclic competition in a well mixed environment. In systems composed of a finite number $N$ of particles these simple interaction rules result in a rich variety of extinction scenarios,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-09 C. H. Durney , S. O. Case , M. Pleimling , R. K. P. Zia

Strong positive feedback is considered a necessary condition to observe abrupt shifts of ecosystems. A few previous studies have shown that demographic noise -- arising from the probabilistic and discrete nature of birth and death processes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-22 Sabiha Majumder , Ayan Das , Appilineni Kushal , Sumithra Sankaran , Vishwesha Guttal

Populations interact non-linearly and are influenced by environmental fluctuations. In order to have realistic mathematical models, one needs to take into account that the environmental fluctuations are inherently stochastic. Often,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Alexandru Hening , Siddharth Sabharwal

The scarcity of water characterising drylands forces vegetation to adopt appropriate survival strategies. Some of these generate water-vegetation feedback mechanisms that can lead to spatial self-organisation of vegetation, as it has been…

Biological Physics · Physics 2013-08-30 John Realpe-Gomez , Mara Baudena , Tobias Galla , Alan J. McKane , Max Rietkerk

Introducing the effect of extinction into the so-called replicator equations in mathematical biology, we construct a general model of ecosystems. The present model shows mass extinction by its own extinction dynamics when the system…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 Kei Tokita , Ayumu Yasutomi

We introduce and analyse an individual-based evolutionary model, in which a population of genetically diverse organisms compete with each other for limited resources. Through theoretical analysis and stochastic simulations, we show that the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-02 Tim Rogers , Alan J. McKane , Axel G. Rossberg

Time evolution of number of species (genera, families, and others), population of them, and size distribution of present ones and life times are studied in terms of a new model, where population of each genetic taxon increases by a (random)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Caglar Tuncay

The behavior of interacting populations typically displays irregular temporal and spatial patterns that are difficult to reconcile with an underlying deterministic dynamics. A classical example is the heterogeneous distribution of plankton…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 M. H. Vainstein , J. M. Rubi , J. M. G. Vilar

When a collection of phenotypically diverse organisms compete with each other for limited resources, with competition being strongest amongst the most similar, the population can evolve into tightly localised clusters. This process can be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-05-16 Tim Rogers , Alan J. McKane , Axel G. Rossberg

How diversity is maintained in natural ecosystems is a long-standing question in Theoretical Ecology. By studying a system that combines ecological dynamics, heterogeneous interactions and spatial structure, we uncover a new mechanism for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-21 Giulia Garcia Lorenzana , Ada Altieri , Giulio Biroli

Infinitely many distinct trait values may arise in populations bearing quantitative traits, and modeling their population dynamics is thus a formidable task. While classical models assume fixed or infinite population size, models in which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-08 Ananda Shikhara Bhat

Ecosystems frequently display the coexistence of diverse species under resource competition, typically resulting in skewed distributions of rarity and abundance. A potential driver of such coexistence is environmental fluctuations that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-07 Davide Zanchetta , Deepak Gupta , Sofia Moschin , Samir Suweis , Amos Maritan , Sandro Azaele

We examine the switching dynamics of a stochastic population subjected to a deterministically time-varying environment. Our approach is demonstrated in the realm of ecology on a problem of population establishment. Here, by assuming a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-02-19 Tom Israeli , Michael Assaf

We propose a model of multispecies populations surviving on distributed resources. System dynamics are investigated under changes in abiotic factors such as the climate, as parameterized through environmental temperature. In particular, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-25 I. Sudakov , S. A. Vakulenko , D. Kirievskaya , K. M. Golden

We analyze a general theory for coexistence and extinction of ecological communities that are influenced by stochastic temporal environmental fluctuations. The results apply to discrete time (stochastic difference equations), continuous…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Alexandru Hening , Dang H. Nguyen , Peter Chesson

We analyze the influence of long-range correlated (colored) external noise on extinction phase transitions in growth and spreading processes. Uncorrelated environmental noise (i.e., temporal disorder) was recently shown to give rise to an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-15 Alexander H. O. Wada , Matthew Small , Thomas Vojta

The question of whether a population will persist or go extinct is of key interest throughout ecology and biology. Various mathematical techniques allow us to generate knowledge regarding individual behaviour, which can be analysed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-28 Stuart T. Johnston , Matthew J. Simpson , Edmund J. Crampin

A number of authors have in recent years proposed that the processes of macroevolution may give rise to self-organized critical phenomena which could have a significant effect on the dynamics of ecosystems. In particular it has been…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 M. E. J. Newman

We look at the interaction of dispersal and environmental stochasticity in $n$-patch models. We are able to prove persistence and extinction results even in the setting when the dispersal rates are stochastic. As applications we look at…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-26 Alexandru Hening , Siddharth Sabharwal