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A tight upper bound is given on the distribution of the maximum of a supermartingale. Specifically, it is shown that if $Y$ is a semimartingale with initial value zero and quadratic variation process $[Y,Y]$ such that $Y + [Y,Y]$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-15 Bruce Hajek

The optimal function $f$ satisfying $$ \mathbb{E} |\sum_{1}^n X_i | \ge f(\mathrbb{E}|X_1|,...,\mathbb{E}|X_n|) $$ for every martingale $(X_1,X_1+X_2, ...,\sum_{i=1}^n X_i)$ is shown to be given by $$ f(a) = \max \Big\{a_k-\sum_{i=1}^{k-1}…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-16 Lutz Mattner , Uwe Rösler

In this paper we present a Doob type maximal inequality for stochastic processes satisfying the conditional increment control condition. If we assume, in addition, that the margins of the process have uniform exponential tail decay, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Xuan Liu , Guangyu Xi

We construct a class of nonnegative martingale processes that oscillate indefinitely with high probability. For these processes, we state a uniform rate of the number of oscillations and show that this rate is asymptotically close to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-18 Jan Leike , Marcus Hutter

We consider controlled martingales with bounded steps where the controller is allowed at each step to choose the distribution of the next step, and where the goal is to hit a fixed ball at the origin at time $n$. We show that the algebraic…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Scott N. Armstrong , Ofer Zeitouni

Directed and undirected graphical models, also called Bayesian networks and Markov random fields, respectively, are important statistical tools in a wide variety of fields, ranging from computational biology to probabilistic artificial…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Sergi Elizalde , Kevin Woods

A theory of martingales for censoring is developed. The Doob-Meyer martingale is shown to be inadequate in general, and a repaired martingale is proposed with a non-predictable centering term. Associated martingale transforms, variation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Benjamin R. Baer , Robert L. Strawderman

The well-known Bennett-Hoeffding bound for sums of independent random variables is refined, by taking into account truncated third moments, and at that also improved by using, instead of the class of all increasing exponential functions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Iosif Pinelis

Freedman's inequality is a supermartingale counterpart to Bennett's inequality. This result shows that the tail probabilities of a supermartingale is controlled by the quadratic characteristic and a uniform upper bound for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-03 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

Suppose $X$ is a uniformly distributed $n$-dimensional binary vector and $Y$ is obtained by passing $X$ through a binary symmetric channel with crossover probability $\alpha$. A recent conjecture by Courtade and Kumar postulates that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-02 Or Ordentlich , Ofer Shayevitz , Omri Weinstein

We study deterministic and stochastic primal-dual sub-gradient algorithms for distributed optimization of a separable objective function with global inequality constraints. In both algorithms, the norm of the Lagrangian multipliers are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Masoud Badiei Khuzani , Na Li

We adapt a number-theoretic technique of Yu to prove a purely analytic theorem: if f(x) is in L^1 and L^2, is nonnegative, and is supported on an interval of length I, then the supremum of the convolution f*f is at least 0.631 \| f \|_1^2 /…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Greg Martin , Kevin O'Bryant

Let $(X_i, \mathcal{F}_i)_{i\geq1}$ be a martingale difference sequence in a smooth Banach space. Let $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i, n\geq 1,$ be the partial sums of $(X_i, \mathcal{F}_i)_{i\geq 1}$. We give upper bounds on the quantity…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-13 Xiequan Fan , Davide Giraudo

Given a bounded sequence $\{X^{n}\}_{n}$ of semimartingales on a time interval $[0,T]$, we find a sequence of convex combinations $\{Y^{n}\}_{n}$ and a limiting semimartingale $Y$ such that $\{Y^{n}\}_{n}$ converges to $Y$ in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Vasily Melnikov

We prove that if $\Sigma_{\mathbf A}(\mathbb N)$ is an irreducible Markov shift space over $\mathbb N$ and $f:\Sigma_{\mathbf A}(\mathbb N) \rightarrow \mathbb R$ is coercive with bounded variation then there exists a maximizing probability…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Rodrigo Bissacot , Ricardo Freire

Consider the sum $Y=B+B(H)$ of a Brownian motion $B$ and an independent fractional Brownian motion $B(H)$ with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. Even though $B(H)$ is not a semimartingale, it was shown in [\textit{Bernoulli} \textbf{7} (2001)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Carsten H. Chong , Thomas Delerue , Fabian Mies

Let ($X,Y)$ be a random vector with distribution function $F(x,y),$ and $(X_{1},Y_{1}),(X_{2},Y_{2}),...,(X_{n},Y_{n})$ are independent copies of ($X,Y).$ Let $X_{i:n}$ be the $i$th order statistics constructed from the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-08 Ismihan Bairamov

A necessary maximum principle is proved for optimal controls of stochastic systems driven by multidimensional Teugel's martingales. The multidimensional Teugel's martingales are constructed by orthogonalizing the multidimensional L\'{e}vy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-05-30 Jianzhong Lin

We develop a general framework for extracting highly uniform bounds on local stability for stochastic processes in terms of information on fluctuations or crossings. This includes a large class of martingales: As a corollary of our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-05 Morenikeji Neri , Thomas Powell

Let $X$ be a random variable with distribution function $F,$ and $X_{1},X_{2},...,X_{n}$ are independent copies of $X.$ Consider the order statistics $X_{i:n},$ $i=1,2,...,n$ and denote $F_{i:n}(x)=P\{X_{i:n}\leq x\}.$ Using majorization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-02 Ismihan Bairamov
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