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By using a probabilistic technique based on the exponential change of measure we find a precise tail asymptotic behavior of some perpetuities with distributions close to the Dickman distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Alexander Iksanov , Oleh Iksanov

We consider a discrete-time two-dimensional quasi-birth-and-death process (2d-QBD process for short) $\{(\boldsymbol{X}_n,J_n)\}$ on $\mathbb{Z}_+^2\times S_0$, where $\boldsymbol{X}_n=(X_{1,n},X_{2,n})$ is the level state, $J_n$ the phase…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-23 Toshihisa Ozawa

Chatteerjee and Diaconis have recently shown the asymptotic normality for the joint distribution of the number of descents and inverse descents in a random permutation. A noteworthy point of their results is that the asymptotic variance of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Luis Fredes , Bernard Bercu , Michel Bonnefont , Adrien Richou

In this article we consider transient random walks on free products of graphs. We prove that the asymptotic range of these random walks exists and is strictly positive. In particular, we show that the range varies real-analytically in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-05 Lorenz A. Gilch

Despite the fact that an intraday market price distribution is not normal, the random walk model of price behaviour is as important for the understanding of basic principles of the market as the pendulum model is a starting point of many…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-14 Oleh Danyliv , Bruce Bland , Alexandre Argenson

In this paper we consider the problem of computing tail probabilities of the distribution of a random sum of positive random variables. We assume that the individual variables follow a reproducible natural exponential family (NEF)…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-09 Shaul Bar-Lev , Ad Ridder

Let $\xi_1, \xi_2,\ldots$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables with zero mean, finite second moment and regularly varying right distribution tail. Motivated by a stop-loss insurance model, we consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Aaron Chong , Konstantin Borovkov

The recent empirical work of Amaya et al. (2015) has pointed out that the realized skewness, which is the sample skewness of intraday high-frequency returns of a financial asset, serves as forecasting future returns in the cross-section.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-22 Yuta Koike , Zhi Liu

Asymptotic expansion of a variation with anticipative weights is derived by the theory of asymptotic expansion for Skorohod integrals having a mixed normal limit. The expansion formula is expressed with the quasi-torsion, quasi-tangent and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Nakahiro Yoshida

We consider the probability that a weighted sum of $n$ i.i.d. random variables $X_j$, $j = 1, . . ., n$, with stretched exponential tails is larger than its expectation and determine the rate of its decay, under suitable conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Nina Gantert , Kavita Ramanan , Franz Rembart

We consider a two dimensional skip-free reflecting random walk on a nonnegative integer quadrant. We are interested in the tail asymptotics of its stationary distribution, provided its existence is assumed. We derive exact tail asymptotics…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-17 Masahiro Kobayashi , Masakiyo Miyazawa

The random flights are (continuous time) random walkswith finite velocity. Often, these models describe the stochastic motions arising in biology. In this paper we study the large time asymptotic behavior of random flights. We prove the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-30 Alessandro De Gregorio , Claudio Macci

In this paper we derive the tail asymptotics of the product of two dependent Weibull-type risks, which is of interest in various statistical and applied probability problems. Our results extend some recent findings of Schlueter and Fischer…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-12 E. Hashorva , Z. Weng

In this paper we develop a symbolic technique to obtain asymptotic expressions for ruin probabilities and discounted penalty functions in renewal insurance risk models when the premium income depends on the present surplus of the insurance…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-15 Hansjörg Albrecher , Corina Constantinescu , Zbigniew Palmowski , Georg Regensburger , Markus Rosenkranz

In the context of communication networks, the framework of stochastic event graphs allows a modeling of control mechanisms induced by the communication protocol and an analysis of its performances. We concentrate on the logarithmic tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marc Lelarge

We investigate the asymptotic behaviour of the implied volatility in the Bachelier setting, extending the large-strike results established for the Black-Scholes framework. Exploiting the theory of regular variation, we derive explicit…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-24 Roberto Baviera , Michele Domenico Massaria

Let $\left\{ Z_{n},n=0,1,2,...\right\} $ be a critical branching process in random environment and let $\left\{ S_{n},n=0,1,2,...\right\} $ be its associated random walk. It is known that if the increments of this random walk belong…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

This contribution establishes exact tail asymptotics of $\sup_{(s,t)\in\mathbf{E}}$ $X(s,t)$ for a large class of nonhomogeneous Gaussian random fields $X$ on a bounded convex set $\mathbf{E}\subset\mathbb{R}^2$, with variance function that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

We consider the long time asymptotic behavior of a large system of $N$ linear differential equations with random coefficients. We allow for general elliptic correlation structures among the coefficients, thus we substantially generalize our…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-18 László Erdős , Torben Krüger , David Renfrew

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of Green functions associated to partially homogeneous random walks in the quadrant $Z_+^2$. There are four possible distributions for the jumps of these processes, depending on the location…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Irina Ignatiouk-Robert
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