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Computation of extreme quantiles and tail-based risk measures using standard Monte Carlo simulation can be inefficient. A method to speed up computations is provided by importance sampling. We show that importance sampling algorithms,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-21 Henrik Hult , Jens Svensson

A major challenge facing existing sequential Monte-Carlo methods for parameter estimation in physics stems from the inability of existing approaches to robustly deal with experiments that have different mechanisms that yield the results…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-09-13 Christopher Granade , Nathan Wiebe

We propose a new Monte Carlo method for efficiently sampling trajectories with fixed initial and final conditions in a system with discrete degrees of freedom. The method can be applied to any stochastic process with local interactions,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-03-30 Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak , Francesco Zamponi

Monte Carlo simulation with {\it a-priori} unknown weights have attracted recent attention and progress has been made in understanding (i) the technical feasibility of such simulations and (ii) classes of systems for which such simulations…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2011-04-15 Bernd A. Berg

We propose a global optimization algorithm based on the Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) sampling framework. In this framework, the objective function is normalized to be a probabilistic density function (pdf), based on which a sequence of…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-15 Bin Liu

Adaptive Monte Carlo methods are very efficient techniques designed to tune simulation estimators on-line. In this work, we present an alternative to stochastic approximation to tune the optimal change of measure in the context of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-23 Benjamin Jourdain , Jérôme Lelong

Random batch algorithms are constructed for quantum Monte Carlo simulations. The main objective is to alleviate the computational cost associated with the calculations of two-body interactions, including the pairwise interactions in the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-09-01 Shi Jin , Xiantao Li

Monte Carlo simulations are widely employed to measure the physical properties of glass-forming liquids in thermal equilibrium. Combined with local Monte Carlo moves, the Metropolis algorithm can also be used to simulate the relaxation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-23 Ludovic Berthier , Federico Ghimenti Frédéric van Wijland

We present a case-study on the utility of graphics cards to perform massively parallel simulation of advanced Monte Carlo methods. Graphics cards, containing multiple Graphics Processing Units (GPUs), are self-contained parallel…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-05 Anthony Lee , Christopher Yau , Michael B. Giles , Arnaud Doucet , Christopher C. Holmes

Simulation methods have become important tools for quantifying partisan and racial bias in redistricting plans. We generalize the Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm of McCartan and Imai (2023), one of the commonly used approaches.…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-24 Philip O'Sullivan , Kosuke Imai , Cory McCartan

Continuous-time quantum Monte Carlo refers to a class of algorithms designed to sample the thermal distribution of a quantum Hamiltonian through exact expansions of the Boltzmann exponential in terms of stochastic trajectories which are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-17 Luke Causer , Konstantinos Sfairopoulos , Jamie F. Mair , Juan P. Garrahan

In this paper we investigate how the complexity of chaotic phase spaces affect the efficiency of importance sampling Monte Carlo simulations. We focus on a flat-histogram simulation of the distribution of finite-time Lyapunov exponent in a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-22 Jorge C. Leitão , Eduardo G. Altmann , J. M. Viana Parente Lopes

Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers are a class of stochastic algorithms for Monte Carlo integral estimation w.r.t. probability distributions, which combine elements of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and importance sampling/resampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

Quantum mechanics for many-body systems may be reduced to the evaluation of integrals in 3N dimensions using Monte-Carlo, providing the Quantum Monte Carlo ab initio methods. Here we limit ourselves to expectation values for trial…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-11-22 John Robert Trail , Ryo Maezono

In the study of phase transitions a very few models are accessible to exact solution. In the most cases analytical simplifications have to be done or some numerical technique has to be used to get insight about their critical properties.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-24 B. V. Costa , L. A. S. Mól , J. C. S. Rocha

Population annealing is a promising recent approach for Monte Carlo simulations in statistical physics, in particular for the simulation of systems with complex free-energy landscapes. It is a hybrid method, combining importance sampling…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-09-14 Lev Yu. Barash , Martin Weigel , Michal Borovský , Wolfhard Janke , Lev N. Shchur

We propose a new framework for how to use sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms for inference in probabilistic graphical models (PGM). Via a sequential decomposition of the PGM we find a sequence of auxiliary distributions defined on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-07 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

1. Temporal trends in species distributions are necessary for monitoring changes in biodiversity, which aids policymakers and conservationists in making informed decisions. Dynamic species distribution models are often fitted to ecological…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-15 Kwaku Peprah Adjei , Rob Cooke , Nick Isaac , Robert B. O'Hara

In this article, we present an event-driven algorithm that generalizes the recent hard-sphere event-chain Monte Carlo method without introducing discretizations in time or in space. A factorization of the Metropolis filter and the concept…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-02-10 Manon Michel , Sebastian C. Kapfer , Werner Krauth

The nested sampling algorithm has been shown to be a general method for calculating the pressure-temperature-composition phase diagrams of materials. While the previous implementation used single-particle Monte Carlo moves, these are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-11-17 Robert J. N. Baldock , Noam Bernstein , K. Michael Salerno , Lívia B. Pártay , Gábor Csányi