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For a multivariate L\'evy process satisfying the Cram\'er moment condition and having a drift vector with at least one negative component, we derive the exact asymptotics of the probability of ever hitting the positive orthant that is being…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Konstantin Borovkov , Zbigniew Palmowski

Following an article by Muller and Pflug, we study the adjustment coefficient of ruin theory in a context of temporal dependency. We provide a consistent estimator of this coefficient, and perform some simulations.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-05 H. Cossette , E. Marceau , V. Maume-Deschamps

We consider a dual risk model with constant expense rate and i.i.d. exponentially distributed gains $C_i$ ($i=1,2,\dots$) that arrive according to a renewal process with general interarrival times. We add to this classical dual risk model…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Onno Boxma , Esther Frostig , Zbigniew Palmowski

We consider an insurance company in the case when the premium rate is a bounded non-negative random function $c_\zs{t}$ and the capital of the insurance company is invested in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-08 Serguei Pergamenchtchikov , Zeitouny Omar

We consider a risk model with a counting process whose intensity is a Markovian shot-noise process, to resolve one of the disadvantages of the Cram\'er-Lundberg model, namely the constant jump intensity of the Poisson process. Due to this…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser

We investigate an insurance risk model that consists of two reserves which receive income at fixed rates. Claims are being requested at random epochs from each reserve and the interclaim times are generally distributed. The two reserves are…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-05 E. S. Badila , O. J. Boxma , J. A. C. Resing

We reconsider a classical, well-studied problem from applied probability. This is the max-sum equivalence of randomly weighted sums, and the originality is because we manage to include interdependence among the primary random variables, as…

We investigate the Levy insurance risk model with tax under Cram\'er's condition. A direct analogue of Cram\'er's estimate for the probability of ruin in this model is obtained, together with the asymptotic distribution, conditional on ruin…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Philip Griffin

We consider the problem of determining escape probabilities from an interval of a general compound renewal process with drift. This problem is reduced to the solution of a certain integral equation. In an actuarial situation where only…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-30 Javier Villarroel , Juan A. Vega , Miquel Montero

We consider a natural destruction process of an infinite recursive tree by removing each edge after an independent exponential time. The destruction up to time t is encoded by a partition $\Pi$(t) of N into blocks of connected vertices.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-08 Erich Baur , Jean Bertoin

In the extended gambler's ruin problem we can move one step forward or backward (classical gambler's ruin problem), we can stay where we are for a time unit (delayed action) or there can be absorption in the current state (game is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Theo van Uem

Let $X$ be a $n$-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, solution of the S.D.E. $$\d X_t = AX_t \d t + \d B_t$$ where $A$ is a real $n\times n$ matrix and $B$ a L\'evy process without Gaussian part. We show that when $A$ is non-singular,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-27 Thomas Simon

A high order expansion of the renewal function is provided under the assumption that the inter-renewal time distribution is light tailed with finite moment generating function g on a neighborhood of 0. This expansion relies on complex…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Clément Dombry , Landy Rabehasaina

The paper deals with the ruin problem of an insurance company investing its capital reserve in a risky asset with the price dynamics given by a conditional geometric Brownian motion whose parameters depend on a Markov process describing a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Viktor Antipov , Yuri Kabanov

In this paper, we consider the perturbed renewal risk process. Systems of integro-differential equations for the Gerber-Shiu functions at ruin caused by a claim and oscillation are established, respectively. The explicit Laplase transforms…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-03-07 Min Song

We derive an explicit representation for the transition law of a $p$-tempered $\alpha$-stable process of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck-type and use it to develop a methodology for simulation. Our results apply in both the univariate and multivariate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-20 Michael Grabchak

We analyze the distance $\mathcal{R}_T(u)$ between the first and the last passage time of $\{X(t)-ct:t\in [0,T]\}$ at level $u$ in time horizon $T\in(0,\infty]$, where $X$ is a centered Gaussian process with stationary increments and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Krzysztof Debicki , Peng Liu

In this paper we discuss a credit risk model with a pure jump L\'evy process for the asset value and an unobservable random barrier. The default time is the first time when the asset value falls below the barrier. Using the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-16 Xin Dong , Harry Zheng

In this paper, the asymptotic behavior of the entrance probability of discounted aggregate claims of a certain family of rare sets is studied, considering the finite and infinite time horizons. This multivariate risk model, driven by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis , Hui Xu

We consider the valuation problem of an (insurance) company under partial information. Therefore we use the concept of maximizing discounted future dividend payments. The firm value process is described by a diffusion model with constant…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-16 Gunther Leobacher , Michaela Szölgyenyi , Stefan Thonhauser