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For a given centered Gaussian process with stationary increments $\{X(t), t\geq 0\}$ and $c>0$, let $$ W_\gamma(t)=X(t)-ct-\gamma\inf_{0\leq s\leq t}\left(X(s)-cs\right), \quad t\geq 0$$ denote the $\gamma$-reflected process, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-08 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Peng Liu

If a given aggregate process $S$ is a compound mixed renewal process under a probability measure $P$, we provide a characterization of all probability measures $Q$ on the domain of $P$ such that $Q$ and $P$ are progressively equivalent and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Nikolaos D. Macheras

Let $X=(X_t)$ be a one-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with an initial density function $f$ supported on the positive real-line that is a regularly varying function with exponent $-(1+\eta)$, with $\eta\in (0,1)$. We prove the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Manuel Lladser , Jaime San Martin

In this paper, we investigate Parisian ruin for a L\'evy surplus process with an adaptive premium rate, namely a refracted L\'evy process. More general Parisian boundary-crossing problems with a deterministic implementation delay are also…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Mohamed Amine Lkabous , Irmina Czarna , Jean-François Renaud

This paper defines a new class of fractional differential operators alongside a family of random variables whose density functions solve fractional differential equations equipped with these operators. These equations can be further used to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Corina D. Constantinescu , Jorge M. Ramirez , Wei R. Zhu

In the setting of a L\'evy insurance risk process, we present some results regarding the Parisian ruin problem which concerns the occurrence of an excursion below zero of duration bigger than a given threshold $r$. First, we give the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Ronne Loeffen , Zbigniew Palmowski , Budhi Surya

We consider an insurance company whose surplus is represented by the classical Cramer-Lundberg process. The company can invest its surplus in a risk free asset and in a risky asset, governed by the Black-Scholes equation. There is a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-20 Tatiana Belkina , Christian Hipp , Shangzhen Luo , Michael Taksar

In this work, we consider extensions of the dual risk model with proportional gains by introducing a dependence structure between gain sizes and gain interrarrival times. Among others, we further consider the case where the proportional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Ioannis Dimitriou

We derive a necessary and sufficient condition for stochastic processes to have almost periodic finite dimensional distributions; in particular, we obtain characterizations for infinitely divisible processes to be almost periodic in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-18 David Berger , Farid Mohamed

We develop sharp large deviation asymptotics for the probability of ruin in a Markov-dependent stochastic economic environment and study the extremes for some related Markovian processes which arise in financial and insurance mathematics,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-01 Jeffrey F. Collamore

We develop a class of non-life reserving models using a stable-1/2 random bridge to simulate the accumulation of paid claims, allowing for an essentially arbitrary choice of a priori distribution for the ultimate loss. Taking an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Edward Hoyle , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

In this paper we investigate the Parisian ruin probability for an integrated Gaussian process. Under certain assumptions, we find the Parisian ruin probability and the classical ruin probability are on the log-scale asymptotically the same.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-04 Xiaofan Peng , Li Luo

Extinction times in resampling processes are fundamental yet often intractable, as previous formulas scale as $2^M$ with the number of states $M$ present in the initial probability distribution. We solve this by treating multinomial updates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-25 Matteo Benati , Alessandro Londei , Denise Lanzieri , Vittorio Loreto

In this paper we study the Omega risk model with surplus-dependent tax payments in a time-homogeneous diffusion setting. The new model incorporates practical features from both the Omega risk model(Albrecher and Gerber and Shiu (2011)) and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-01 Zhenyu Cui

Active Ornstein-Uhlenbeck particles (AOUPs) are overdamped particles in an interaction potential subject to external Ornstein-Uhlenbeck noises. They can be transformed into a system of underdamped particles under additional velocity…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2019-08-14 L. L. Bonilla

Diffusion in a linear potential in the presence of position-dependent killing is used to mimic a default process. Different assumptions regarding transport coefficients, initial conditions, and elasticity of the killing measure lead to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Yuri A. Katz

Given a Gaussian risk process $R(t)=u+c(t)-X(t),t\ge 0$, the cumulative Parisian ruin probability on a finite time interval $[0,T]$ with respect to $L \geq 0$ is defined as the probability that the sojourn time that the risk process $R$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Svyatoslav M. Novikov

This paper aims to derive accurate asymptotic estimates for the exit time probabilities of scalar Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) bridges. The exit time probabilities are expressed as an asymptotic series in powers of a small parameter that…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Feng Zhao , Yang Li , Jianlong Wang , Xianbin Liu , Dongping Jin

We present a theoretical framework that enables investigating rare transitions in a general model of an active particle in an external potential, with the thermal Active Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Particle (AOUP) appearing as a special case. Using…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-20 Vito Seinen , Peter G. Bolhuis , Daan Crommelin , Sara Jabbari Farouji , Michel Mandjes

This paper studies subordinate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes, i.e., OU diffusions time changed by L\'{e}vy subordinators. We construct their sample path decomposition, show that they possess mean-reverting jumps, study their equivalent…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-18 Lingfei Li , Vadim Linetsky
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