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This paper studies multiplicative inflation: the complementary scaling of the state covariance in the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF). Firstly, error sources in the EnKF are catalogued and discussed in relation to inflation; nonlinearity is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-03-27 Patrick N. Raanes , Marc Bocquet , Alberto Carrassi

Simultaneous Input and State Estimation (SISE) enables the reconstruction of unknown inputs and internal states in dynamical systems, with applications in fault detection, robotics, and control. While various methods exist for linear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-08 Rodrigo A. González , Angel L. Cedeño

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) offer a principled framework for learning and inference in nonlinear dynamical systems with uncertainty quantification. However, existing GPSSMs are limited by the use of multiple independent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-11 Zhidi Lin , Ying Li , Feng Yin , Juan Maroñas , Alexandre H. Thiéry

State estimation when only a partial model of a considered system is available remains a major challenge in many engineering fields. This work proposes a joint, square-root unscented Kalman filter to estimate states and model uncertainties…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-11 Ricarda-Samantha Götte , Julia Timmermann

We develop a new approach for estimating the expected values of nonlinear functions applied to multivariate random variables with arbitrary distributions. Rather than assuming a particular distribution, we assume that we are only given the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-25 Deanna Easley , Tyrus Berry

This paper proposes a novel and efficient key conditional quotient filter (KCQF) for the estimation of state in the nonlinear system which can be either Gaussian or non-Gaussian, and either Markovian or non-Markovian. The core idea of the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Yuelin Zhao , Feng Wu , Li Zhu

Compressed Estimation approaches, such as the Generalised Compressed Kalman Filter (GCKF), reduce the computational cost and complexity of high dimensional and high frequency data assimilation problems; usually without sacrificing…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-21 Karan Narula , Jose Guivant

This paper deals with state estimation of nonlinear stochastic dynamic models. In particular, the stochastic integration rule, which provides asymptotically unbiased estimates of the moments of nonlinearly transformed Gaussian random…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-15 Jindrich Dunik , Jakub Matousek , Ondrej Straka , Erik Blasch , John Hiles , Ruixin Niu

We propose a nonparametric density estimator based on the Gaussian process (GP) and derive three novel closed form learning algorithms based on Fisher divergence (FD) score matching. The density estimator is formed by multiplying a base…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 John Paisley , Wei Zhang , Brian Barr

A stochastic filter uses a series of measurements over time to produce estimates of unknown variables based on a dynamic model. For a quantum system, such an algorithm is provided by a quantum filter, which is also known as a stochastic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-07-25 Muhammad F. Emzir , Matthew J. Woolley , Ian R. Petersen

In this paper we revisit a non-linear filter for {\em non-Gaussian} noises that was introduced in [1]. Goggin proved that transforming the observations by the score function and then applying the Kalman Filter (KF) to the transformed…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Imon Banerjee , Itai Gurvich

The Kalman filter (KF) is used in a variety of applications for computing the posterior distribution of latent states in a state space model. The model requires a linear relationship between states and observations. Extensions to the Kalman…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-31 Michael C. Burkhart , David M. Brandman , Carlos E. Vargas-Irwin , Matthew T. Harrison

State estimation in control and systems engineering traditionally requires extensive manual system identification or data-collection effort. However, transformer-based foundation models in other domains have reduced data requirements by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-05 Tobin Holtmann , David Stenger , Andres Posada-Moreno , Friedrich Solowjow , Sebastian Trimpe

We propose a new extension of Kalman filtering for continuous-discrete systems with nonlinear state-space models that we name as the level set Kalman filter (LSKF). The LSKF assumes the probability distribution can be approximated as a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-14 Ningyuan Wang , Daniel B. Forger

State estimation in non-linear models is performed by tracking the posterior distribution recursively. A plethora of algorithms have been proposed for this task. Among them, the Gaussian particle filter uses a weighted set of particles to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-05 Karthik Comandur , Yunpeng Li , Santosh Nannuru

This work studies the state estimation problem of a stochastic nonlinear system with unknown sensor measurement losses. If the estimator knows the sensor measurement losses of a linear Gaussian system, the minimum variance estimate is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-05-11 Jiaqi Zhang , Keyou You , Lihua Xie

Particle flow Gaussian particle flow (PFGPF) uses an invertible particle flow to generate a proposal density. It approximates the predictive and posterior distributions as Gaussian densities. In this paper, we use bank of PFGPF filters to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-23 Karthik Comandur , Yunpeng Li , Santosh Nannuru

This paper considers the distributed filtering problem for a class of stochastic uncertain systems under quantized data flowing over switching sensor networks. Employing the biased noisy observations of the local sensor and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-08 Xingkang He , Wenchao Xue , Xiaocheng Zhang , Haitao Fang

This paper tackles the intricate task of jointly estimating state and parameters in data assimilation for stochastic dynamical systems that are affected by noise and observed only partially. While the concept of ``optimal filtering'' serves…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Feng Bao , Guannan Zhang , Zezhong Zhang

Sequential Bayesian Filtering aims to estimate the current state distribution of a Hidden Markov Model, given the past observations. The problem is well-known to be intractable for most application domains, except in notable cases such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-16 Théophile Cantelobre , Carlo Ciliberto , Benjamin Guedj , Alessandro Rudi