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Generative Bayesian Filtering (GBF) provides a powerful and flexible framework for performing posterior inference in complex nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models. Our approach extends Generative Bayesian Computation (GBC) to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-07 Edoardo Marcelli , Sean O'Hagan , Veronika Rockova

This work develops a Bayesian non-parametric approach to signal separation where the signals may vary according to latent variables. Our key contribution is to augment Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models (GPLVMs) for the case where each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-20 James Odgers , Ruby Sedgwick , Chrysoula Kappatou , Ruth Misener , Sarah Filippi

This paper presents a method for calculating the smoothed state distribution for Jump Markov Linear Systems. More specifically, the paper details a novel two-filter smoother that provides closed-form expressions for the smoothed hybrid…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-21 Mark P. Balenzuela , Adrian G. Wills , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness

We consider the problem of state estimation in dynamical systems and propose a different mechanism for handling unmodeled system uncertainties. Instead of injecting random process noise, we assign different weights to measurements so that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-08 Yaron Shulami , Daniel Sigalov

We use statistical learning methods to construct an adaptive state estimator for nonlinear stochastic systems. Optimal state estimation, in the form of a Kalman filter, requires knowledge of the system's process and measurement uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-05 Michael Busch , Jeff Moehlis

The concerns to autonomous vehicles have been becoming more intriguing in coping with the more environmentally dynamics non-linear systems under some constraints and disturbances. These vehicles connect not only to the self-instruments yet…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-12 Bambang L. Widjiantoro , Moh Kamalul Wafi , Katherin Indriawati

The purpose of this review is to present a comprehensive overview of the theory of ensemble Kalman-Bucy filtering for continuous-time, linear-Gaussian signal and observation models. We present a system of equations that describe the flow of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

State estimation incorporates the feedback in optimization based advanced process control systems and is very important for the performance of model predictive control. We describe the extended Kalman filter, the unscented Kalman filter,…

We use Gaussian stochastic weight averaging (SWAG) to assess the model-form uncertainty associated with neural-network-based function approximation relevant to fluid flows. SWAG approximates a posterior Gaussian distribution of each weight,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-17 Masaki Morimoto , Kai Fukami , Romit Maulik , Ricardo Vinuesa , Koji Fukagata

We consider the problem of selecting an optimal set of sensor precisions to estimate the states of a non-linear dynamical system using an Ensemble Kalman filter and an Unscented Kalman filter, which uses random and deterministic ensembles…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-16 Niladri Das , Raktim Bhattacharya

Digital technologies can be used to gather accurate information about the behavior of structural components for improving systems design, as well as for enabling advanced Structural Health Monitoring strategies. New avenues for achieving…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-29 Silvia Vettori , Emilio Di Lorenzo , Bart Peeters , Eleni Chatzi

We consider estimation of a deterministic unknown parameter vector in a linear model with non-Gaussian noise. In the Gaussian case, dimensionality reduction via a linear matched filter provides a simple low dimensional sufficient statistic…

Applications · Statistics 2013-11-05 Jakob Vovnoboy , Ami Wiesel

Complex systems are often described with competing models. Such divergence of interpretation on the system may stem from model fidelity, mathematical simplicity, and more generally, our limited knowledge of the underlying processes.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-21 Lun Yang , Akil Narayan , Peng Wang

Contextual optimization enhances decision quality by leveraging side information to improve predictions of uncertain parameters. However, existing approaches face significant challenges when dealing with multimodal or mixtures of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-19 YoungChul Yoon , Grani A. Hanasusanto , Yijie Wang

We consider the problem of sequential estimation of the unknowns of state-space and deep state-space models that include estimation of functions and latent processes of the models. The proposed approach relies on Gaussian and deep Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Yuhao Liu , Marzieh Ajirak , Petar Djuric

Many state estimation and control algorithms require knowledge of how probability distributions propagate through dynamical systems. However, despite hybrid dynamical systems becoming increasingly important in many fields, there has been…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Nathan J. Kong , J. Joe Payne , George Council , Aaron M. Johnson

In this letter, we propose an online scalar field estimation algorithm of unknown environments using a distributed Gaussian process (DGP) framework in wireless sensor networks (WSNs). While the kernel-based Gaussian process (GP) has been…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Jaemin Seo , Geunsik Bae , Hyondong Oh

Finite mixture such as the Gaussian mixture is a flexible and powerful probabilistic modeling tool for representing the multimodal distribution widely involved in many estimation and learning problems. The core of it is representing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Tiancheng Li , Yan Song , Enbin Song , Hongqi Fan

A hybrid particle ensemble Kalman filter is developed for problems with medium non-Gaussianity, i.e. problems where the prior is very non-Gaussian but the posterior is approximately Gaussian. Such situations arise, e.g., when nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-15 Gregor Robinson , Ian Grooms

Filters, especially wide range of Kalman Filters have shown their impacts on predicting variables of stochastic models with higher accuracy then traditional statistic methods. Updating mean and covariance each time makes Bayesian inferences…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-26 Yan Zhao
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