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Important information on the structure of complex systems, consisting of more than one component, can be obtained by measuring to which extent the individual components exchange information among each other. Such knowledge is needed to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Daniele Marinazzo , Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

Recent approaches to causal inference have focused on causal effects defined as contrasts between the distribution of counterfactual outcomes under hypothetical interventions on the nodes of a graphical model. In this article we develop…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-26 Iván Díaz

We introduce a rigorous mathematical framework for Granger causality in extremes, designed to identify causal links from extreme events in time series. Granger causality plays a pivotal role in uncovering directional relationships among…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-21 Juraj Bodik , Olivier C. Pasche

This paper develops a framework for identification, estimation, and inference on the causal mechanisms driving endogenous social network formation. Identification is challenging because of unobserved confounders and reverse causality;…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-21 Maximilian Kasy , Elizabeth Linos , Sanaz Mobasseri

In recent years, there have been intense research efforts to develop efficient methods for probabilistic inference in probabilistic influence diagrams or belief networks. Many people have concluded that the best methods are those based on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Ross D. Shachter , Stig K. Andersen , Kim-Leng Poh

Given the constant rise in quantity and quality of data obtained from neural systems on many scales ranging from molecular to systems', information-theoretic analyses became increasingly necessary during the past few decades in the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-10-08 Felix Effenberger

Chain graphs combine directed and undirected graphs and their underlying mathematics combines properties of the two. This paper gives a simplified definition of chain graphs based on a hierarchical combination of Bayesian (directed) and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Wray L. Buntine

Information theory, though originally developed for communications engineering, provides mathematical tools with broad applications across science. These tools characterize the fundamental limits of data compression and transmission in the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Henry Pinkard , Laura Waller

Causal inference seeks to identify cause-and-effect interactions in coupled systems. A recently proposed method by Liang detects causal relations by quantifying the direction and magnitude of information flow between time series. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-03-20 Dionissios T. Hristopulos

In recent years, Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have made significant advances in processing structured data. However, most of them primarily adopted a model-centric approach, which simplifies graphs by converting them into undirected formats…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Henan Sun , Xunkai Li , Daohan Su , Junyi Han , Rong-Hua Li , Guoren Wang

In this paper, we provide a novel approach to capture causal interaction in a dynamical system from time-series data. In \cite{sinha_IT_CDC2016}, we have shown that the existing measures of information transfer, namely directed information,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-26 Subhrajit Sinha , Umesh Vaidya

This paper is motivated by studies in neuroscience experiments to understand interactions between nodes in a brain network using different types of data modalities that capture different distinct facets of brain activity. To assess…

The notion of complex-valued information entropy measure is presented. It applies in particular to directed networks (digraphs). The corresponding statistical physics notions are outlined. The studied network, serving as a case study, in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-16 Giulia Rotundo , Marcel Ausloos

Bayesian networks can be used to extract explanations about the observed state of a subset of variables. In this paper, we explicate the desiderata of an explanation and confront them with the concept of explanation proposed by existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Ulf Nielsen , Jean-Philippe Pellet , André Elisseeff

Introduced more than a half century ago, Granger causality has become a popular tool for analyzing time series data in many application domains, from economics and finance to genomics and neuroscience. Despite this popularity, the validity…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-10 Ali Shojaie , Emily B. Fox

Physicists are starting to work in areas where noisy signal analysis is required. In these fields, such as Economics, Neuroscience, and Physics, the notion of causality should be interpreted as a statistical measure. We introduce to the lay…

This paper studies causal inference with observational data from a single large network. We consider a nonparametric model with interference in both potential outcomes and selection into treatment. Specifically, both stages may be the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-30 Michael P. Leung , Pantelis Loupos

We analyze by means of Granger causality the effect of synergy and redundancy in the inference (from time series data) of the information flow between subsystems of a complex network. Whilst we show that fully conditioned Granger causality…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-19 Sebastiano Stramaglia , Jesus M. Cortes , Daniele Marinazzo

Predicting how the brain can be driven to specific states by means of internal or external control requires a fundamental understanding of the relationship between neural connectivity and activity. Network control theory is a powerful tool…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-12 Teresa M. Karrer , Jason Z. Kim , Jennifer Stiso , Ari E. Kahn , Fabio Pasqualetti , Ute Habel , Danielle S. Bassett

Granger causality is a fundamental technique for causal inference in time series data, commonly used in the social and biological sciences. Typical operationalizations of Granger causality make a strong assumption that every time point of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-23 Chainarong Amornbunchornvej , Elena Zheleva , Tanya Y. Berger-Wolf
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