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In the classical Polya urn problem, one begins with $d$ bins, each containing one ball. Additional balls arrive one at a time, and the probability that an arriving ball is placed in a given bin is proportional to $m^\gamma$, where $m$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-01 Jeremy Chen

A new version of a strong law of large numbers for a ``good'' pairwise independent sequence of random variables (r.v.'s) with a small part of ``bad'' dependent r.v.'s is proposed. The main goal is to relax the assumption on the existence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-10 I. V. Kozlov , A. Yu. Veretennikov

The ensemble of antagonistic matrices is introduced and studied. In antagonistic matrices the entries $\mathcal A_{i,j}$ and $\mathcal A_{j,i}$ are real and have opposite signs, or are both zero, and the diagonal is zero. This…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-08-25 Giovanni M. Cicuta , Luca Guido Molinari

For fixed weights w_1,...,w_n, and for d>0, we let B denote a collection of d*n balls, with d balls of weight w_i for each i=1,...,n. We consider the problem of assigning the balls to n bins with capacities C_1,...,C_n, in such a way that…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-09-06 Claudiu Raicu

We consider in this paper an urn and ball problem with replacement, where balls are with different colors and are drawn uniformly from a unique urn. The numbers of balls with a given color are i.i.d. random variables with a heavy tailed…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2009-06-20 Christine Fricker , Fabrice Guillemin , Philippe Robert

A joint mix is a random vector with a constant component-wise sum. The dependence structure of a joint mix minimizes some common objectives such as the variance of the component-wise sum, and it is regarded as a concept of extremal negative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-04 Takaaki Koike , Liyuan Lin , Ruodu Wang

We consider testing marginal independence versus conditional independence in a trivariate Gaussian setting. The two models are non-nested and their intersection is a union of two marginal independences. We consider two sequences of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-23 F. Richard Guo , Thomas S. Richardson

A {\em maximal inequality} seeks to estimate $\mathbb{E}\max_i X_i$ in terms of properties of the $X_i$. When the latter are independent, the union bound (in its various guises) can yield tight upper bounds. If, however, the $X_i$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Aryeh Kontorovich

An infinite urn scheme is defined by a probability mass function $(p_j)_{j\geq1}$ over positive integers. A random allocation consists of a sample of $N$ independent drawings according to this probability distribution where $N$ may be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Anna Ben-Hamou , Stéphane Boucheron , Mesrob I. Ohannessian

The paper provides a simple test for deciding, from a given causal diagram, whether two sets of variables have the same bias-reducing potential under adjustment. The test requires that one of the following two conditions holds: either (1)…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-19 Judea Pearl , Azaria Paz

In the context of computational social choice, we study voting methods that assign a set of winners to each profile of voter preferences. A voting method satisfies the property of positive involvement (PI) if for any election in which a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Wesley H. Holliday , Eric Pacuit

The main purpose of this paper is to obtain strong laws of large numbers for arrays or weighted sums of random variables under a scenario of dependence. Namely, for triangular arrays $\{X_{n,k}, \, 1 \leqslant k \leqslant n, \, n \geqslant…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-03 João Lita da Silva

In this paper we provide a theoretical analysis of counterfactual invariance. We present a variety of existing definitions, study how they relate to each other and what their graphical implications are. We then turn to the current major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Jake Fawkes , Robin J. Evans

The sequence of so-called signature moments describes the laws of many stochastic processes in analogy with how the sequence of moments describes the laws of vector-valued random variables. However, even for vector-valued random variables,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-04 Patric Bonnier , Harald Oberhauser

We compare two approaches to embedding joint distributions of random variables recorded under different conditions (such as spins of entangled particles for different settings) into the framework of classical, Kolmogorovian probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala

We consider a class of self-interacting random walks in deterministic or random environments, known as excited random walks or cookie walks, on the d-dimensional integer lattice. The main purpose of this paper is two-fold: to give a survey…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-15 Elena Kosygina , Martin P. W. Zerner

Given a graph $G$, we consider the model where $G$ is given a random orientation by giving each edge a random direction. It is proven that for $a,b,s\in V(G)$, the events $\{s\to a\}$ and $\{s\to b\}$ are positively correlated. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-24 Svante Linusson

The notion of stochastic precedence between two random variables emerges as a relevant concept in several fields of applied probability. When one consider a vector of random variables $X_1,...,X_n$, this notion has a preeminent role in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Emilio De Santis , Yaakov Malinovsky , Fabio Spizzichino

Conditional independence testing is a key problem required by many machine learning and statistics tools. In particular, it is one way of evaluating the usefulness of some features on a supervised prediction problem. We propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-02 Marco Henrique de Almeida Inácio , Rafael Izbicki , Rafael Bassi Stern

We introduce a modification of the generalized P\'olya urn model containing two urns and we study the number of balls $B_j(n)$ of a given color $j\in\{1,\ldots,J\}$, $J\in\mathbb{N}$ added to the urns after $n$ draws. We provide sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Konrad Kolesko , Ecaterina Sava-Huss
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