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We prove a conditional decoupling inequality for the model of random interlacements in dimension $d\geq 3$: the conditional law of random interlacements on a box (or a ball) $A_1$ given the (not very "bad") configuration on a "distant" set…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Caio Alves , Serguei Popov

Corresponding to $n$ independent non-negative random variables $X_1,...,X_n$, are values $M_1,...,M_n$, where each $M_i$ is the expected value of the maximum of $n$ independent copies of $X_i$. We obtain an upper bound to the expected value…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-06 Kais Hamza , Peter Jagers , Aidan Sudbury , Daniel Tokarev

We consider a class of $d$-dimensional stochastic differential equations that model a non-colliding random particle system. We provide a sufficient condition, which does not depend on the dimension $d$, for the existence of negative moments…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Minh Thang Do , Hoang Long Ngo

We study a mathematical model of voting contest with $m$ voters and $n$ candidates, with each voter ranking the candidates in order of preference, without ties. A Condorcet winner is a candidate who gets more than $m/2$ votes in pairwise…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Boris Pittel

This is a review devoted to the complementarity-contextuality interplay with connection to the Bell inequalities. Starting discussion with complementarity, we point out to contextuality as its seed. {\it Bohr-contextuality} is dependence of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-11-28 Andrei Khrennikov

In the field of pattern mining, a negative sequential pattern is specified by means of a sequence consisting of events to occur and of other events, called negative events, to be absent. For instance, containment of the pattern $\langle a\…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-02-24 Thomas Guyet , Philippe Besnard

Given a set of several inputs into a system (e.g., independent variables characterizing stimuli) and a set of several stochastically non-independent outputs (e.g., random variables describing different aspects of responses), how can one…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-08-30 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala

We present a multivariate one-sided sensitivity analysis for matched observational studies, appropriate when the researcher has specified that a given causal mechanism should manifest itself in effects on multiple outcome variables in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-03 Peter L. Cohen , Matt A. Olson , Colin B. Fogarty

Coloring games are combinatorial games where the players alternate painting uncolored vertices of a graph one of $k > 0$ colors. Each different ruleset specifies that game's coloring constraints. This paper investigates six impartial…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-02-28 Gabriel Beaulieu , Kyle Burke , Eric Duchêne

For a bivariate random vector (X,Y), symmetry conditions are presented that yield stochastic orderings among |X|, |Y|, |max(X,Y)|, and | min(X, Y)|. Partial extensions of these results for multivariate random vectors (X1,...,Xn) are also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-22 Yindeng Jiang , Michael D. Perlman

We present some new analytical expressions for the so-called Parrondo effect, where simple coin-flipping games with negative expected value are combined into a winning game. Parrondo games are state-dependent. By identifying the game state…

Classical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Lars Rasmusson , Magnus Boman

We analyse a mathematical model of seeding for sports contests with round-robin qualifying tournaments. The standard seeding system based on coefficients measuring the historical performance of the teams is shown to be unfair as it might…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-14 László Csató

In this article we demonstrate how algorithmic probability theory is applied to situations that involve uncertainty. When people are unsure of their model of reality, then the outcome they observe will cause them to update their beliefs. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-05-26 Phil Maguire , Philippe Moser , Rebecca Maguire , Mark Keane

This work investigates the intersection property of conditional independence. It states that for random variables $A,B,C$ and $X$ we have that $X$ independent of $A$ given $B,C$ and $X$ independent of $B$ given $A,C$ implies $X$ independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-18 Jonas Peters

The paper is concerned with the classical occupancy scheme with infinitely many boxes, in which $n$ balls are thrown independently into boxes $1,2,...$, with probability $p_j$ of hitting the box $j$, where $p_1\geq p_2\geq...>0$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-26 A. D. Barbour , A. V. Gnedin

Let $\boldsymbol{\xi}=(\xi_1,\ldots,\xi_m)$ be a negatively associated mean zero random vector with components that obey the bound $|\xi_i| \le B, i=1,\ldots,m$, and whose sum $W = \sum_{i=1}^m \xi_i$ has variance 1, the bound \[…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Nathakhun Wiroonsri

Testing for causation, defined as the preceding impact of the past values of one variable on the current value of another one when all other pertinent information is accounted for, is increasingly utilized in empirical research of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-06-22 Abdulnasser Hatemi-J

Symmetry plays a central role in the sciences, machine learning, and statistics. While statistical tests for the presence of distributional invariance with respect to groups have a long history, tests for conditional symmetry in the form of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Kenny Chiu , Alex Sharp , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy

We construct an independent increments Gaussian process associated to a class of multicolor urn models. The construction uses random variables from the urn model which are different from the random variables for which central limit theorems…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Gopal K Basak , Amites Dasgupta

We consider the design of experiments to evaluate treatments that are administered by self-interested agents, each seeking to achieve the highest evaluation and win the experiment. For example, in an advertising experiment, a company wishes…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-18 Panos Toulis , David C. Parkes , Elery Pfeffer , James Zou