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We prove limit theorems of an entirely new type for certain long memory regularly varying stationary infinitely divisible random processes. These theorems involve multiple phase transitions governed by how long the memory is. Apart from one…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Gennady Samorodnitsky , Yizao Wang

We establish limit theorems involving weak convergence of multiple generations of critical and supercritical branching processes. These results arise naturally when dealing with the joint asymptotic behavior of functionals defined in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-25 James Kuelbs , Anand N. Vidyashankar

For normalized sums $Z_n$ of i.i.d. random variables, we explore necessary and sufficient conditions which guarantee the normal approximation with respect to the R\'enyi divergence of infinite order. In terms of densities $p_n$ of $Z_n$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Sergey G. Bobkov , Friedrich Götze

We consider stochastic processes arising from dynamical systems by evaluating an observable function along the orbits of the system. The novelty is that we will consider observables achieving a global maximum value (possible infinite) at…

Any limiting point process for the time normalized exceedances of high levels by a stationary sequence is necessarily compound Poisson under appropriate long range dependence conditions. Typically exceedances appear in clusters. The…

Applications · Statistics 2009-03-03 Christian Y. Robert

We consider an infinite-dimensional stochastic clustering model on $\mathbb{R}$. In discrete time, each point of a unit-intensity simple point process moves halfway toward either of its left or right neighbors, chosen uniformly at random.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Partha S. Dey , S. Rasoul Etesami , Aditya S. Gopalan

The one-dimensional contact process is analyzed by a cluster approximation. In this approach, the hierarchy of rate equations for the densities of finite length empty intervals are truncated under the assumption that adjacent intervals are…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

We prove the central limit theorem (CLT) for a sequence of independent zero-mean random variables $\xi_j$, perturbed by predictable multiplicative factors $\lambda_j$ with values in intervals $[\underline\lambda_j,\overline\lambda_j]$. It…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-31 Dmitry B. Rokhlin

The extremes of a stationary time series typically occur in clusters. A primary measure for this phenomenon is the extremal index, representing the reciprocal of the expected cluster size. Both a disjoint and a sliding blocks estimator for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-14 Betina Berghaus , Axel Bücher

We provide a framework for empirical process theory of locally stationary processes using the functional dependence measure. Our results extend known results for stationary Markov chains and mixing sequences by another common possibility to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

Let $(X_i,i\geq 1)$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with values in $[0,1]$, and $f$ be a function such that $`E(f(X_1)^2)<+\infty$. We show a functional central limit theorem for the process $t\mapsto \sum_{i=1}^n f(X_i)1_{X_i\leq…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Jean-François Marckert , David Renault

In this paper, we investigate temporal clusters of extremes defined as subsequent exceedances of high thresholds in a stationary time series. Two meaningful features of these clusters are the probability distribution of the cluster size and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Marco Oesting , Alexander Schnurr

A $U$-statistic of a Poisson point process is defined as the sum $\sum f(x_1,\ldots,x_k)$ over all (possibly infinitely many) $k$-tuples of distinct points of the point process. Using the Malliavin calculus, the Wiener-It\^{o} chaos…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-13 Matthias Reitzner , Matthias Schulte

Randomized block factorial experiments are widely used in industrial engineering, clinical trials, and social science. Researchers often use a linear model and analysis of covariance to analyze experimental results; however, limited studies…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-04 Hanzhong Liu , Jiyang Ren , Yuehan Yang

We study the convergence in distribution norms in the Central Limit Theorem for non identical distributed random variables that is $$ \varepsilon_{n}(f):={\mathbb{E}}\Big(f\Big(\frac 1{\sqrt…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-16 Vlad Bally , Lucia Caramellino , Guillaume Poly

We study the statistics of the maximum and minimum of a set of $N$ random variables whose dynamical and statistical properties fall within the scope of infinite ergodic theory. These non-stationary yet recurrent systems are described, in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-09 Talia Baravi , Eli Barkai

We prove functional limit theorems for dynamical systems in the presence of clusters of large values which, when summed and suitably normalised, get collapsed in a jump of the limiting process observed at the same time point. To keep track…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

We derive a central limit theorem for the probability distribution of the sum of many critically correlated random variables. The theorem characterizes a variety of different processes sharing the same asymptotic form of anomalous scaling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Fulvio Baldovin , Attilio L. Stella

Multivariate distributions are explored using the joint distributions of marginal sample quantiles. Limit theory for the mean of a function of order statistics is presented. The results include a multivariate central limit theorem and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-25 G. Jogesh Babu , Zhidong Bai , Kwok Pui Choi , Vasudevan Mangalam

We study statistical and computational limits of clustering when the means of the centres are sparse and their dimension is possibly much larger than the sample size. Our theoretical analysis focuses on the model $X_i = z_i \theta +…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-23 Matthias Löffler , Alexander S. Wein , Afonso S. Bandeira