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A simple, but ``classical``, stochastic model for epidemic spread in a finite, but large, population is studied. The progress of the epidemic can be divided into three different phases that requires different tools to analyse. Initially the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-29 Åke Svensson

A natural phenomenon occurring in a living system is an outcome of the dynamics of the specific biological network underlying the phenomenon. The collective dynamics have both deterministic and stochastic components. The stochastic nature…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-01 Indrani Bose

Evolution is a dynamic process. The two classical forces of evolution are mutation and selection. Assuming small mutation rates, evolution can be predicted based solely on the fitness differences between phenotypes. Predicting an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-23 Benedikt Bauer , Chaitanya S. Gokhale

Habitat loss is one of the biggest threats facing plant species nowadays. We formulate a simple mathematical model of seed dispersal on reduced habitats to discuss survival of the species in relation to the habitat size and seeds production…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Cristian F. Coletti , Nevena Marić , Pablo M. Rodriguez

Evolution is the process of optimal adaptation of biological populations to their living environments. This is expressed via the concept of fitness, defined as relative reproductive success. However, it has been pointed out that this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-17 Luís MA Bettencourt , Brandon J Grandison , Jordan T Kemp

The "Kill the Winner" hypothesis is an attempt to address the problem of diversity in biology. It argues that host-specific predators control the population of each prey, preventing a winner from emerging and thus maintaining the…

Biological Physics · Physics 2018-01-03 Chi Xue , Nigel Goldenfeld

We discuss stochastic dynamics of populations of individuals playing games. Our models possess two evolutionarily stable strategies: an efficient one, where a population is in a state with the maximal payoff (fitness) and a risk-dominant…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Jacek Miekisz

Laboratory experiments with bacterial colonies, under well-controlled conditions often lead to evolutionary diversification, where at least two ecotypes emerge from an initially monomorphic population. Empirical evidence suggests that such…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-06 Roberto Corral López , Samir Suweis , Sandro Azaele , Miguel A. Muñoz

We investigate two stochastic models of a growing population subject to selection and mutation. In our models each individual carries a fitness which determines its mean offspring number. Many of these offspring inherit their parent's…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-12 Su-Chan Park , Joachim Krug , Léo Touzo , Peter Mörters

Migration between different habitats is ubiquitous among biological populations. In this Letter, we study a simple quasispecies model for evolution in two different habitats, with different fitness landscapes, coupled through one-way…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-12-23 Bartlomiej Waclaw , Rosalind J. Allen , Martin R. Evans

In subdivided populations, migration acts together with selection and genetic drift and determines their evolution. Building up on a recently proposed method, which hinges on the emergence of a time scale separation between local and global…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-24 Pierangelo Lombardo , Andrea Gambassi , Luca Dall'Asta

We study a model of stochastic evolutionary game dynamics in which the probabilities that agents choose suboptimal actions are dependent on payoff consequences. We prove a sample path large deviation principle, characterizing the rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-10 William H. Sandholm , Mathias Staudigl

We introduce and analyse an individual-based evolutionary model, in which a population of genetically diverse organisms compete with each other for limited resources. Through theoretical analysis and stochastic simulations, we show that the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-02 Tim Rogers , Alan J. McKane , Axel G. Rossberg

We consider a branching random walk in a random space-time environment of disasters where each particle is killed when meeting a disaster. This extends the model of the "random walk in a disastrous random environment" introduced by [15]. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Nina Gantert , Stefan Junk

Community assembly is studied using individual-based multispecies models. The models have stochastic population dynamics with mutation, migration, and extinction of species. Mutants appear as a result of mutation of the resident species,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-05-18 Yohsuke Murase , Takashi Shimada , Nobuyasu Ito , Per Arne Rikvold

The environment in which a population evolves can have a crucial impact on selection. We study evolutionary dynamics in finite populations of fixed size in a changing environment. The population dynamics are driven by birth and death…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-01 Peter Ashcroft , Philipp M Altrock , Tobias Galla

We consider a stochastic model, describing the growth of two competing infections on $\mathbb{R}^d$. The growth takes place by way of spherical outbursts in the infected region, an outburst in the type 1 (2) infected region causing all…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-24 Maria Deijfen , Olle Häggström

We analyze the long-term stability of a stochastic model designed to illustrate the adaptation of a population to variation in its environment. A piecewise-deterministic process modeling adaptation is coupled to a Feller logistic diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Aurélien Velleret

In evolutionary game dynamics, reproductive success increases with the performance in an evolutionary game. If strategy $A$ performs better than strategy $B$, strategy $A$ will spread in the population. Under stochastic dynamics, a single…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-03-06 Philipp M. Altrock , Arne Traulsen

Textual analysis of typical microbial genomes reveals that they have the statistical characteristics of a DNA sequence of a much shorter length. This peculiar property supports an evolutionary model in which a genome evolves by random…

Biological Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 L. C. Hsieh , L. F. Luo , F. M. Ji , H. C. Lee
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