Related papers: Extremal shot noises, heavy tails and max-stable r…
We study the stationary probability distribution of a system driven by shot noise. We find that, both in the overdamped and underdamped regime, the coordinate distribution displays power-law singularities in its central part. For…
The extremal index is a quantity introduced in extreme value theory to measure the presence of clusters of exceedances. In the dynamical systems framework, it provides important information about the dynamics of the underlying systems. In…
When passing from the univariate to the multivariate setting, modelling extremes becomes much more intricate. In this introductory exposition, classical multivariate extreme value theory is presented from the point of view of multivariate…
Typically, in the dynamical theory of extremal events, the function that gauges the intensity of a phenomenon is assumed to be convex and maximal, or singular, at a single, or at most a finite collection of points in phase--space. In this…
The following random recurrency: $$ W_{n+1} = U_{n+1} ( W_n + \Lambda_{n+1} ) $$ where $W_{-1}=0.$ is known to be associated with the shot noise : $$ W_{t} = \sum_{0<t_k<t} \Lambda_{k} e^{-(t-t_k)} $$ where the $t_k$ are the dates of a…
This paper focuses on the maximal distribution on sublinear expectation space and introduces a new type of random fields with the maximally distributed finite-dimensional distribution. The corresponding spatial maximally distributed white…
Let $\{X(\mathbf{t}):\mathbf{t}=(t_1, t_2, \ldots, t_d)\in[0,\infty)^d\}$ be a centered stationary Gaussian field with almost surely continuous sample paths, unit variance and correlation function $r$ satisfying conditions $r(\mathbf{t})<1$…
In this paper, we discuss the emergence of extreme events in a parametrically driven non-polynomial mechanical system with a velocity-dependent potential. We confirm the occurrence of extreme events from the probability distribution…
We consider the asymptotic consistency of maximum likelihood parameter estimation for dynamical systems observed with noise. Under suitable conditions on the dynamical systems and the observations, we show that maximum likelihood parameter…
We study the behavior of shot noise in resonant tunneling junctions far from equilibrium. Quantum-coherent elastic charge transport can be characterized by a transmission function, that is the probability for an incoming electron at a given…
We consider the random connection model in which an edge between two Poisson points at distance $r$ is present with probability $g(r)$. We conduct an extreme value analysis on this model, namely by investigating the longest edge with at…
We prove limit theorems of an entirely new type for certain long memory regularly varying stationary infinitely divisible random processes. These theorems involve multiple phase transitions governed by how long the memory is. Apart from one…
We study the extreme value statistics of the zero-average Gaussian free field (GFF) on random $r$-regular graphs and the Gaussian free field on $r$-regular trees. For random $r$-regular graphs of diverging size, for every fixed $r\ge3$, we…
We present a theoretical framework for characterizing incremental stability of nonlinear stochastic systems perturbed by compound Poisson shot noise and finite-measure L\'{e}vy noise. For each noise type, we compare trajectories of the…
Let $\{X_{\mathbf{n}} : \mathbf{n}\in\mathbb{Z}^d\}$ be a weakly dependent stationary field with maxima $M_{A} := \sup\{X_{\mathbf{i}} : \mathbf{i}\in A\}$ for finite $A\subset\mathbb{Z}^d$ and $M_{\mathbf{n}} := \sup\{X_{\mathbf{i}} :…
We study the distribution of the maximum $M$ of a random walk whose increments have a distribution with negative mean and belonging, for some $\gamma>0$, to a subclass of the class $\mathcal{S}_\gamma$--see, for example, Chover, Ney, and…
Recently, the notion of implicit extreme value distributions has been established, which is based on a given loss function $f \ge 0$. From an application point of view, one is rather interested in extreme loss events that occur relative to…
The extreme value index is a fundamental parameter in univariate Extreme Value Theory (EVT). It captures the tail behavior of a distribution and is central in the extrapolation beyond observed data. Among other semi-parametric methods (such…
Probability distributions and densities are derived for the excess and deficiency of the intensity or instantaneous energy (quasi-static power) associated with a $p$-dimensional random vector field. Explicit expressions for the exact…
Motivated by the psychological literature on the "peak-end rule" for remembered experience, we perform an analysis within a random walk framework of a discrete choice model where agents' future choices depend on the peak memory of their…