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We introduce a new method to price American options based on Chebyshev interpolation. In each step of a dynamic programming time-stepping we approximate the value function with Chebyshev polynomials. The key advantage of this approach is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-15 Kathrin Glau , Mirco Mahlstedt , Christian Pötz

Markov chain Monte Carlo is an inherently serial algorithm. Although likelihood calculations for individual steps can sometimes be parallelized, the serial evolution of the process is widely viewed as incompatible with parallelization,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-31 Douglas N. VanDerwerken , Scott C. Schmidler

We introduce a general algorithm for the computation of the scale functions of a spectrally negative L\'evy process $X$, based on a natural weak approximation of $X$ via upwards skip-free continuous-time Markov chains with stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Aleksandar Mijatović , Matija Vidmar , Saul Jacka

We investigate the design of pricing policies that enhance driver adherence to route guidance, ensuring effective routing control. The major novelty lies in that we adopt a Markov chain to model drivers' compliance rates conditioned on both…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-21 Yu Tang , Kaan Ozbay , Li Jin

Employing probabilistic techniques we compute best possible upper and lower bounds on the price of an option on one or two assets with continuous piecewise linear payoff function based on prices of simple call options of possibly distinct…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Dimitris Bertsimas , Natasha Bushueva

We develop a forward-reverse EM (FREM) algorithm for estimating parameters that determine the dynamics of a discrete time Markov chain evolving through a certain measurable state space. As a key tool for the construction of the FREM method…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-29 Christian Bayer , Hilmar Mai , John Schoenmakers

This paper describes a data reduction technique in case of a markov chain of specified order. Instead of observing all the transitions in a markov chain we record only a few of them and treat the remaining part as missing. The decision…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 Atanu Kumar Ghosh , Arnab Chakraborty

We study pricing and hedging under parameter uncertainty for a class of Markov processes which we call generalized affine processes and which includes the Black-Scholes model as well as the constant elasticity of variance (CEV) model as…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-30 Eva Lütkebohmert , Thorsten Schmidt , Julian Sester

This paper considers a simulation-based estimator for a general class of Markovian processes and explores some strong consistency properties of the estimator. The estimation problem is defined over a continuum of invariant distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Manuel S. Santos

The Monte Carlo pathwise sensitivities approach is well established for smooth payoff functions. In this work, we present a new Monte Carlo algorithm that is able to calculate the pathwise sensitivities for discontinuous payoff functions.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-03 Thomas Gerstner , Bastian Harrach , Daniel Roth

We present a new algorithm for the statistical model checking of Markov chains with respect to unbounded temporal properties, such as reachability and full linear temporal logic. The main idea is that we monitor each simulation run on the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-03-04 Przemysław Daca , Thomas A. Henzinger , Jan Křetínský , Tatjana Petrov

American options are studied in a general discrete market in the presence of proportional transaction costs, modelled as bid-ask spreads. Pricing algorithms and constructions of hedging strategies, stopping times and martingale…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Alet Roux , Tomasz Zastawniak

We propose sequential Monte Carlo based algorithms for maximum likelihood estimation of the static parameters in hidden Markov models with an intractable likelihood using ideas from approximate Bayesian computation. The static parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2013-11-19 Sinan Yildirim , Sumeetpal Singh , Thomas Dean , Ajay Jasra

We use one-step conditional risk mappings to formulate a risk averse version of a total cost problem on a controlled Markov process in discrete time infinite horizon. The nonnegative one step costs are assumed to be lower semi-continuous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Kerem Ugurlu

In this paper, we study a Markov chain-based stochastic gradient algorithm in general Hilbert spaces, aiming at approximating the optimal solution of a quadratic loss function. We establish probabilistic upper bounds on its convergence. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Priyanka Roy , Susanne Saminger-Platz

We establish several closed pricing formula for various path-independent payoffs, under an exponential L\'evy model driven by the Variance Gamma process. These formulas take the form of quickly convergent series and are obtained via tools…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-03 Jean-Philippe Aguilar

We present a novel algorithm to solve a non-linear system of equations, whose solution can be interpreted as a tight lower bound on the vector of expected hitting times of a Markov chain whose transition probabilities are only partially…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Thomas Krak

In some options markets (e.g. commodities), options are listed with only a single maturity for each underlying. In others, (e.g. equities, currencies), options are listed with multiple maturities. In this paper, we provide an algorithm for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-03 Peter Carr , Sergey Nadtochiy

Given a spectrally negative L\'evy process and independent Poisson observation times, we consider a periodic barrier strategy that pushes the process down to a certain level whenever it is above it. We also consider the versions with…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-11 José-Luis Pérez , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

In the framework of Black-Scholes-Merton model of financial derivatives, a path integral approach to option pricing is presented. A general formula to price European path dependent options on multidimensional assets is obtained and…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 G. Bormetti , G. Montagna , N. Moreni , O. Nicrosini