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In this article we propose a novel approach to reduce the computational complexity of various approximation methods for pricing discrete time American options. Given a sequence of continuation values estimates corresponding to different…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-30 Denis Belomestny , Fabian Dickmann , Tigran Nagapetyan

A labelled Markov decision process is a labelled Markov chain with nondeterminism, i.e., together with a strategy a labelled MDP induces a labelled Markov chain. The model is related to interval Markov chains. Motivated by applications of…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-25 Stefan Kiefer , Qiyi Tang

We study a variable length Markov chain model associated with a group of stationary processes that share the same context tree but each process has potentially different conditional probabilities. We propose a new model selection and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-01 Alexandre Belloni , Roberto I. Oliveira

We continue a series of papers where prices of the barrier options written on the underlying, which dynamics follows some one factor stochastic model with time-dependent coefficients and the barrier, are obtained in semi-closed form, see…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-13 Peter Carr , Andrey Itkin , Dmitry Muravey

We present a convex-concave reformulation of the reversible Markov chain estimation problem and outline an efficient numerical scheme for the solution of the resulting problem based on a primal-dual interior point method for monotone…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-03-08 Benjamin Trendelkamp-Schroer , Hao Wu , Frank Noe

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

This article treats both discrete time and continuous time stopping problems for general Markov processes on the real line with general linear costs. Using an auxiliary function of maximum representation type, conditions are given to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-28 Sören Christensen , Tobias Sohr

In this paper, we consider risk-sensitive discounted control problem for continuous-time jump Markov processes taking values in general state space. The transition rates of underlying continuous-time jump Markov processes and the cost rates…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-27 Chandan Pal , Subrata Golui

Performing numerical integration when the integrand itself cannot be evaluated point-wise is a challenging task that arises in statistical analysis, notably in Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihood functions. Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-17 Lawrence Middleton , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Pierre E. Jacob

In the Markov decision process model, policies are usually evaluated by expected cumulative rewards. As this decision criterion is not always suitable, we propose in this paper an algorithm for computing a policy optimal for the quantile…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-02 Hugo Gilbert , Paul Weng , Yan Xu

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

In this paper, a rapid and high accurate numerical method for pricing discrete single and double barrier knock-out call options is presented. According to the well-known Black-Scholes framework, the price of option in each monitoring date…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-05 Amirhossein Sobhani , Mariyan Milev

We propose a fast algorithm for the probabilistic solution of boundary value problems (BVPs), which are ordinary differential equations subject to boundary conditions. In contrast to previous work, we introduce a Gauss--Markov prior and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-16 Nicholas Krämer , Philipp Hennig

This work addresses the problem of pricing American basket options in a multivariate setting, which includes among others, the Bachelier and the Black-Scholes models. In high dimensions, nonlinear partial differential equation methods for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-05 Christian Bayer , Juho Häppölä , Raúl Tempone

This paper is dedicated to the investigation of a new numerical method to approximate the optimal stopping problem for a discrete-time continuous state space Markov chain under partial observations. It is based on a two-step discretization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour , Christophe Nivot

A multiplicative relative value iteration algorithm for solving the dynamic programming equation for the risk-sensitive control problem is studied for discrete time controlled Markov chains with a compact Polish state space, and controlled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Ari Arapostathis , Vivek S. Borkar

In the following paper we provide a review and development of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods for option pricing. SMC are a class of Monte Carlo-based algorithms, that are designed to approximate expectations w.r.t a sequence of…

Computation · Statistics 2010-05-27 Ajay Jasra , Pierre Del Moral

We consider the problem of controlling a Markov decision process (MDP) with a large state space, so as to minimize average cost. Since it is intractable to compete with the optimal policy for large scale problems, we pursue the more modest…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-02-28 Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori , Peter L. Bartlett , Alan Malek

The Pairwise Markov Chain (PMC) is a probabilistic graphical model extending the well-known Hidden Markov Model. This model, although highly effective for many tasks, has been scarcely utilized for continuous value prediction. This is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-12 Elie Azeraf

We develop a martingale approximation approach to studying the limiting behavior of quadratic forms of Markov chains. We use the technique to examine the asymptotic behavior of lag-window estimators in time series and we apply the results…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Yves F. Atchade , Matias D. Cattaneo
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