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Generic non-Markovian quantum processes have infinitely long memory, implying an exact description that grows exponentially in complexity with observation time. Here, we present a finite memory ansatz that approximates (or recovers) the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-10-13 Philip Taranto , Felix A. Pollock , Kavan Modi

Hidden semi-Markov models (HSMMs) are latent variable models which allow latent state persistence and can be viewed as a generalization of the popular hidden Markov models (HMMs). In this paper, we introduce a novel spectral algorithm to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-01 Igor Melnyk , Arindam Banerjee

In the problem of asymptotic binary i.i.d. state discrimination, the optimal asymptotics of the type I and the type II error probabilities is in general an exponential decrease to zero as a function of the number of samples; the set of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-01-18 Gergely Bunth , Gábor Maróti , Milán Mosonyi , Zoltán Zimborás

Cross-sectional observations from a dynamical system can be modeled via steady-state distributions of Markov processes. The major challenge is then to determine whether the process parameters can be identified and estimated from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Cecilie Olesen Recke , Niels Richard Hansen

In this paper, the forgetting of the initial distribution for a non-ergodic Hidden Markov Models (HMM) is studied. A new set of conditions is proposed to establish the forgetting property of the filter, which significantly extends all the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-14 Elisabeth Gassiat , Benoit Landelle , Eric Moulines

In a quantum (inhomogeneous) Markov process $\rho_1:=\Gamma_1(\rho)$, $\rho_2:=\Gamma_1(\rho_1)$, ..., where $\Gamma_i$ are CPTP maps and $\rho$ is the initial state, the the state of the system is either oscillatory or convergent to a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-12-17 Keiji Matsumoto

A hidden Markov model with trends is a hidden Markov model whose emission distributions are translated by a trend that depends on the current hidden state and on the current time. Contrary to standard hidden Markov models, such processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Luc Lehéricy , Augustin Touron

We consider the smoothing probabilities of hidden Markov model (HMM). We show that under fairly general conditions for HMM, the exponential forgetting still holds, and the smoothing probabilities can be well approximated with the ones of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-05-11 J. Lember

We focus on a data sequence produced by repetitive quantum measurement on an internal hidden quantum system, and call it a hidden Markovian process. Using a quantum version of the Perron-Frobenius theorem, we derive novel upper and lower…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-10-08 Masahito Hayashi , Yuuya Yoshida

Motivated by the analysis of accelerometer data, we introduce a specific finite mixture of hidden Markov models with particular characteristics that adapt well to the specific nature of this type of data. Our model allows for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-25 Marie du Roy de Chaumaray , Matthieu Marbac , Fabien Navarro

We consider the problem of estimating the number of hidden states (the order) of a nonparametric hidden Markov model (HMM). We propose two different methods and prove their almost sure consistency without any prior assumption, be it on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-19 Luc Lehéricy

A hidden Markov model (HMM) is said to have path-mergeable states if for any two states i,j there exists a word w and state k such that it is possible to transition from both i and j to k while emitting w. We show that for a finite HMM with…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-06 Nicholas F. Travers

This paper considers hidden Markov models where the observations are given as the sum of a latent state which lies in a general state space and some independent noise with unknown distribution. It is shown that these fully nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-30 Elisabeth Gassiat , Sylvain Le Corff , Luc Lehéricy

We study the problem of deinterleaving a set of finite-memory (Markov) processes over disjoint finite alphabets, which have been randomly interleaved by a finite-memory switch. The deinterleaver has access to a sample of the resulting…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-08-29 Gadiel Seroussi , Wojciech Szpankowski , Marcelo J. Weinberger

Hidden Markov Models, HMM's, are mathematical models of Markov processes with state that is hidden, but from which information can leak. They are typically represented as 3-way joint-probability distributions. We use HMM's as denotations of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Annabelle McIver , Carroll Morgan , Tahiry Rabehaja

The objective of this article is to study the asymptotic behavior of a new particle filtering approach in the context of hidden Markov models (HMMs). In particular, we develop an algorithm where the latent-state sequence is segmented into…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Hock Peng Chan , Chiang Wee Heng , Ajay Jasra

The entropy of a binary symmetric Hidden Markov Process is calculated as an expansion in the noise parameter epsilon. We map the problem onto a one-dimensional Ising model in a large field of random signs and calculate the expansion…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-11-11 O. Zuk , I. Kanter , E. Domany

Let $X_1,X_2, \ldots $ be a sequence of $i.i.d$ real (complex) $d \times d $ invertible random matrices with common distribution $\mu$ and $\sigma_1(n), \sigma_2(n), \ldots , \sigma_d(n)$ be the singular values, $\lambda_1(n), \lambda_2(n),…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-27 Nanda Kishore Reddy

The problem of channel coding with the erasure option is revisited for discrete memoryless channels. The interplay between the code rate, the undetected and total error probabilities is characterized. Using the information spectrum method,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-10-22 Masahito Hayashi , Vincent Y. F. Tan

We consider the filtering of continuous-time finite-state hidden Markov models, where the rate and observation matrices depend on unknown time-dependent parameters, for which no prior or stochastic model is available. We quantify and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-17 Andrew L. Allan