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Exposure to air pollution is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Recent technological advancements permit the collection of time-resolved personal exposure data. Such data are often incomplete with missing observations and…

Asymptotic properties of Markov Processes, such as steady state probabilities or hazard rate for absorbing states can be efficiently calculated by means of linear algebra even for large-scale problems. This paper discusses the methods for…

Performance · Computer Science 2017-05-17 Vitali Volovoi

In this article, relying on Foster-Lyapunov drift conditions, we establish subexponential upper and lower bounds on the rate of convergence in the $\mathrm{L}^p$-Wasserstein distance for a class of irreducible and aperiodic Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-28 Ari Arapostathis , Guodong Pang , Nikola Sandrić

We consider the Sequential Probability Ratio Test applied to Hidden Markov Models. Given two Hidden Markov Models and a sequence of observations generated by one of them, the Sequential Probability Ratio Test attempts to decide which model…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Oscar Darwin , Stefan Kiefer

We study nonstationary dynamical systems formed by sequential concatenation of nonuniformly expanding maps with a uniformly expanding first return map. Assuming a polynomially decaying upper bound on the tails of first return times that is…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-22 A. Korepanov , J. Leppänen

The statistical behaviour of a product of independent, identically distributed random matrices in $\text{SL}(2,{\mathbb R})$ is encoded in the generalised Lyapunov exponent $\Lambda$; this is a function whose value at the complex number $2…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-11-04 Alain Comtet , Christophe Texier , Yves Tourigny

The concept of Lyapunov exponent has long occupied a central place in the theory of Anderson localisation; its interest in this particular context is that it provides a reasonable measure of the localisation length. The Lyapunov exponent…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-08-20 Alain Comtet , Christophe Texier , Yves Tourigny

We present a theoretical analysis of Maximum a Posteriori (MAP) sequence estimation for binary symmetric hidden Markov processes. We reduce the MAP estimation to the energy minimization of an appropriately defined Ising spin model, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-06-11 Armen Allahverdyan , Aram Galstyan

We present a new algorithm for computing the Lyapunov exponents spectrum based on a matrix differential equation. The approach belongs to the so called continuous type, where the rate of expansion of perturbations is obtained for all times,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-06-21 Tomasz Stachowiak , Marek Szydlowski

We consider decision problems on finite sets of hypotheses represented by pairwise different shift-invariant states on a quantum spin chain. The decision in favor of one of the hypotheses is based on outputs of generalized measurements…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-18 Michael Nussbaum , Arleta Szkola

In this brief paper we find computable exponential convergence rates for a large class of stochastically ordered Markov processes. We extend the result of Lund, Meyn, and Tweedie (1996), who found exponential convergence rates for…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-19 Julia Gaudio , Saurabh Amin , Patrick Jaillet

This works investigates the Lyapunov-Oseledets spectrum of transfer operator cocycles associated to one-dimensional random paired tent maps depending on a parameter $\epsilon$, quantifying the strength of the \emph{leakage} between two…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Cecilia González-Tokman , Anthony Quas

It is shown that due to memory effects the complex behaviour of components in a stochastic system can be transmitted to macroscopic evolution of the system as a whole. Within the Markov approximation widely using in ordinary statistical…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-30 A. A. Stanislavsky

In this paper, we study the problem of state observation of nonlinear systems over an erasure channel. The notion of mean square exponential stability is used to analyze the stability property of observer error dynamics. The main results of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-20 Amit Diwadkar , Umesh Vaidya

In this paper, we consider the filtering and smoothing recursions in nonparametric finite state space hidden Markov models (HMMs) when the parameters of the model are unknown and replaced by estimators. We provide an explicit and time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-24 Yohann De Castro , Elisabeth Gassiat , Sylvain Le Corff

The theory of products of random matrices and Lyapunov exponents have been widely studied and applied in the fields of biology, dynamical systems, economics, engineering and statistical physics. We consider the product of an i.i.d. sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Audrey Benson , Hunter Gould , Phanuel Mariano , Grace Newcombe , Joshua Vaidman

Two types of errors can occur when discriminating pairs of quantum states. Asymmetric state discrimination involves minimizing the probability of one type of error, subject to a constraint on the other. We give explicit expressions bounding…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-11-23 Jason L. Pereira , Leonardo Banchi , Stefano Pirandola

In continual learning scenarios, catastrophic forgetting of previously learned tasks is a critical issue, making it essential to effectively measure such forgetting. Recently, there has been growing interest in focusing on representation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Joonkyu Kim , Yejin Kim , Jy-yong Sohn

We show that the posterior distribution of parameters in a hidden Markov model with parametric emission distributions and discrete and known state space is asymptotically normal. The main novelty of our proof is that it is based on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Chunlei Wang , Sanvesh Srivastava

Extending classical probabilistic reasoning using the quantum mechanical view of probability has been of recent interest, particularly in the development of hidden quantum Markov models (HQMMs) to model stochastic processes. However, there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Sandesh Adhikary , Siddarth Srinivasan , Geoff Gordon , Byron Boots
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