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We present a new calibration scheme based on a non-linear version of Kalman filter that aims at estimating the physical terms appearing in the Radio Interferometry Measurement Equation (RIME). We enrich the filter's structure with a tunable…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-19 Cyril Tasse

Optimal decision-making under partial observability requires reasoning about the uncertainty of the environment's hidden state. However, most reinforcement learning architectures handle partial observability with sequence models that have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Carlos E. Luis , Alessandro G. Bottero , Julia Vinogradska , Felix Berkenkamp , Jan Peters

In this paper we analyze the convergence of a family of robust Kalman filters. For each filter of this family the model uncertainty is tuned according to the so called tolerance parameter. Assuming that the corresponding state-space model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-16 Mattia Zorzi

This paper introduces a unified approach for state estimation and control of nonlinear dynamic systems, employing the State-Dependent Riccati Equation (SDRE) framework. The proposed approach naturally extends classical linear quadratic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-03 Azra Redzovic , Adnan Tahirovic

Chaos is ubiquitous in physical systems. The associated sensitivity to initial conditions is a significant obstacle in forecasting the weather and other geophysical fluid flows. Data assimilation is the process whereby the uncertainty in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-11-03 Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Jonathan Demaeyer , Colin Grudzien , Patrick Raanes , Stephane Vannitsem

We consider optimal signalling and control of discrete-time nonlinear partially observable stochastic systems in state space form. In the first part of the paper, we characterize the operational {\it control-coding capacity}, $C_{FB}$ in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Charalambos D. Charalambous , Stelios Louka

Very often when studying non-equilibrium systems one is interested in analysing dynamical behaviour that occurs with very low probability, so called rare events. In practice, since rare events are by definition atypical, they are often…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-06 Dominic C. Rose , Jamie F. Mair , Juan P. Garrahan

Random matrix theory (RMT) successfully predicts universal statistical properties of complicated wave scattering systems in the semiclassical limit, while the random coupling model offers a complete statistical model with a simple additive…

This paper derives a \emph{distributed} Kalman filter to estimate a sparsely connected, large-scale, $n-$dimensional, dynamical system monitored by a network of $N$ sensors. Local Kalman filters are implemented on the ($n_l-$dimensional,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-12-19 Usman A. Khan , Jose M. F. Moura

This paper studies binary logistic regression for rare events data, or imbalanced data, where the number of events (observations in one class, often called cases) is significantly smaller than the number of nonevents (observations in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-02 HaiYing Wang

Differential Riccati equations (DREs) are semilinear matrix- or operator-valued differential equations with quadratic non-linearities. They arise in many different areas, and are particularly important in optimal control of linear quadratic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-28 Eskil Hansen , Tony Stillfjord , Teodor Åberg

This paper focuses on inverse problems to identify parameters by incorporating information from measurements. These generally ill-posed problems are formulated here in a probabilistic setting based on Bayes's theorem because it leads to a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-20 Jaroslav Vondřejc , Hermann G. Matthies

This paper addresses the stabilization of dynamical systems in the infinite horizon optimal control setting using nonlinear feedback control based on State-Dependent Riccati Equations (SDREs). While effective, the practical implementation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-12 Luca Saluzzi , Maria Strazzullo

This work establishes a quenched (trajectory-wise) linear response formula for random intermittent dynamical systems, consisting of Liverani-Saussol-Vaienti maps with varying parameters. This result complements recent annealed (averaged)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Davor Dragicevic , Cecilia Gonzalez-Tokman , Julien Sedro

We study a new technique for the asymptotic analysis of heavy-tailed systems conditioned on large deviations events. We illustrate our approach in the context of ruin events of multidimensional regularly varying random walks. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Jose Blanchet , Jingchen Liu

We study probabilities of various rare events for the limiting point process that appears at the random matrix hard edge. We also show a transition from hard edge to bulk behavior. Asymptotic events studied include a central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Diane Holcomb

The Ensemble Kalman methodology in an inverse problems setting can be viewed as an iterative scheme, which is a weakly tamed discretization scheme for a certain stochastic differential equation (SDE). Assuming a suitable approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Dirk Blömker , Claudia Schillings , Philipp Wacker

This paper explores the observability and estimation capability of dynamical systems using predominantly relative measurements of the system's state-space variables, with minimal to no reliance on absolute measurements of these variables.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-29 Ioannis Raptis

This work presents a notion of strong detectability for linear time varying systems affected by unknown inputs. It is shown that this notion is equivalent to detectability of an auxiliary system without unknown inputs. This allows a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-24 Markus Tranninger , Richard Seeber , Juan G. Rueda-Escobedo , Martin Horn

The classical state-space approach to optimal estimation of stochastic processes is efficient when the driving noises are generated by martingales. In particular, the weight function of the optimal linear filter, which solves a complicated…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-13 D. Afterman , P. Chigansky , M. Kleptsyna , D. Marushkevych