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We present a stochastic predictive controller for discrete time linear time invariant systems under incomplete state information. Our approach is based on a suitable choice of control policies, stability constraints, and employment of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-27 Prabhat Kumar Mishra , Debasish Chatterjee , Daniel E. Quevedo

We study the asymptotic consistency properties of $\alpha$-R\'enyi approximate posteriors, a class of variational Bayesian methods that approximate an intractable Bayesian posterior with a member of a tractable family of distributions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Prateek Jaiswal , Vinayak A. Rao , Harsha Honnappa

In many statistical signal processing applications, the estimation of nuisance parameters and parameters of interest is strongly linked to the resulting performance. Generally, these applications deal with complex data. This paper focuses…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-24 Melanie Mahot , Philippe Forster , Frederic Pascal , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez

Ordinary Differential Equations are a simple but powerful framework for modeling complex systems. Parameter estimation from times series can be done by Nonlinear Least Squares (or other classical approaches), but this can give…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Quentin Clairon , Nicolas Brunel

Despite the recent development of methods dealing with partially observed epidemic dynamics (unobserved model coordinates, discrete and noisy outbreak data), limitations remain in practice, mainly related to the quantity of augmented data…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-26 Romain Narci , Maud Delattre , Catherine Larédo , Elisabeta Vergu

We present here for the first time a unifying perspective for the lack of equipartition in non-linear ordered systems and the low temperature phase-space fragmentation in disordered systems. We demonstrate that they are just two…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-08 Giacomo Gradenigo , Fabrizio Antenucci , Luca Leuzzi

A random vector ${\bf X}$ is weakly stable iff for all $a,b \in \mathbb{R}$ there exists a random variable $\Theta$ such that $a{\bf X} + b {\bf X}' \stackrel{d}{=} {\bf X} \Theta$, where $X'$ is an independent copy of $X$ and $\Theta$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-16 B. H. Jasiulis-Gołdyn , J. K. Misiewicz

Studying the stability of the Kalman filter whose measurements are randomly lost has been an active research topic for over a decade. In this paper we extend the existing results to a far more general setting in which the measurement…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-19 Damián Marelli , Tianju Sui , Eduardo Rohr , Minyue Fu

Motivated by the maneuvering target tracking with sensors such as radar and sonar, this paper considers the joint and recursive estimation of the dynamic state and the time-varying process noise covariance in nonlinear state space models.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-09 Hua Lan , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Qiang Cheng

A classical fact of the theory of almost periodic functions is the existence of their asymptotic distributions. In probabilistic terms, this means that if $f$ is a Besicovitch almost periodic function and $V$ is a random variable uniformly…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Alexander Iksanov , Zakhar Kabluchko , Alexander Marynych

This work concerns the nonlinear filtering problem of multiscale McKean-Vlasov stochastic systems where the whole systems depend on distributions of fast components. First of all, we prove that the slow component of the original system…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-27 Huijie Qiao , Wanlin Wei

We study long time behavior of a discrete time weakly interacting particle system, and the corresponding nonlinear Markov process in $\mathbb{R}^d$, described in terms of a general stochastic evolution equation. In a setting where the state…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-16 Amarjit Budhiraja , Abhishek Pal Majumder

The contraction properties of the Extended Kalman Filter, viewed as a deterministic observer for nonlinear systems, are analyzed. This yields new conditions under which exponential convergence of the state error can be guaranteed. As…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-12-04 Silvere Bonnabel , Jean-Jacques Slotine

This paper describes some new results on recursive l_1-minimizing by Kalman filtering. We consider the l_1-norm as an explicit constraint, formulated as a nonlinear observation of the state to be estimated. Interpretiing a sparse vector to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-08-21 Otmar Loffeld , Dunja Alexandra Hage , Miguel Heredia Conde , Ling Wang

This thesis investigates critical phenomena and equilibrium states in various stochastic models through three interconnected studies. In the first chapter, we analyze the Activated Random Walk model on a one-dimensional ring in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Célio Terra

The problem of detecting a few anomalous processes among a large number of data streams is considered. At each time, aggregated observations can be taken from a chosen subset of the processes, where the chosen subset conforms to a given…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Chao Wang , Kobi Cohen , Qing Zhao

We consider two nonlinear state estimation problems in a setting where an extended Kalman filter receives measurements from two sets of sensors via two channels (2C). In the stochastic-2C problem, the channels drop measurements…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-20 Vicu-Mihalis Maer , Zsofia Lendek , Stefan Pirje , Domagoj Tolic , Antun Djuras , Vicko Prkacin , Ivana Palunko , Lucian Busoniu

Estimating the likelihood, timing, and nature of events is a major goal of modeling stochastic dynamical systems. When the event is rare in comparison with the timescales of simulation and/or measurement needed to resolve the elemental…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-06-14 John Strahan , Justin Finkel , Aaron R. Dinner , Jonathan Weare

In this paper we examine the numerical approximation of the limiting invariant measure associated with Feynman-Kac formulae. These are expressed in a discrete time formulation and are associated with a Markov chain and a potential function.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Elsiddig Awadelkarim , Michel Caffarel , Pierre Del Moral , Ajay Jasra

We propose a computationally efficient algorithm that achieves anytime regret of order $\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{t})$, with explicit dependence on the system dimensions and on the solution of the Discrete Algebraic Riccati Equation (DARE). Our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Jafar Abbaszadeh Chekan , Cedric Langbort
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