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We develop a self contained stochastic perturbation theory for discrete generation and multivariate Ensemble Kalman filters. Unlike their continuous-time counterparts, discrete EnKF algorithms are defined through a two steps prediction…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Pierre Del Moral , Bouchra Nasri , Bruno Rémillard

The iterative ensemble Kalman filter (IEnKF) is widely used in inverse problems to estimate system parameters from limited observations. However, the IEnKF, when applied to nonlinear systems, can be plagued by poor convergence. Here we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-11 Jiacheng Wu , Jian-Xun Wang , Shawn C. Shadden

The filtering distribution is a time-evolving probability distribution on the state of a dynamical system, given noisy observations. We study the large-time asymptotics of this probability distribution for discrete-time, randomly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-11-25 D. Sanz-Alonso , A. M. Stuart

State estimation in the presence of uncertain or data-driven noise distributions remains a critical challenge in control and robotics. Although the Kalman filter is the most popular choice, its performance degrades significantly when…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-01 Minhyuk Jang , Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

The paper deals with a new class of random walks strictly connected with the Pareto distribution. We consider stochastic processes in the sense of generalized convolution or weak generalized convolution following the idea given in [1]. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-02 Barbara H. Jasiulis-Gołdyn

Weak Feller property of controlled and control-free Markov chains lead to many desirable properties. In control-free setups this leads to the existence of invariant probability measures for compact spaces and applicability of numerical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-07 Ali Devran Kara , Naci Saldi , Serdar Yüksel

Ergodic properties and asymptotic stationarity are investigated in this paper for the pseudo-covariance matrix (PCM) of a recursive state estimator which is robust against parametric uncertainties and is based on plant output measurements…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-10-12 Tong Zhou

We study small perturbations of diffusion processes in $\mathbb{R}^d$ that leave invariant a finite collection of hypersurfaces. Each surface is assumed to be repelling for the unperturbed process, and the unperturbed motion on each of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Leonid Koralov , Chenglin Liu

State estimation that combines observational data with mathematical models is central to many applications and is commonly addressed through filtering methods, such as ensemble Kalman filters. In this article, we examine the signal-tracking…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Nazanin Abedini , Jana de Wiljes , Svetlana Dubinkina

The stationary asymptotic properties of the diffusion limit of a multi-type branching process with neutral mutations are studied. For the critical and subcritical processes the interesting limits are those of quasi-stationary distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-08 Conrad J. Burden , Robert C. Griffiths

Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EnKI) and Ensemble Square Root Filter (EnSRF) are popular sampling methods for obtaining a target posterior distribution. They can be seem as one step (the analysis step) in the data assimilation method Ensemble…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Zhiyan Ding , Qin Li , Jianfeng Lu

We consider a robust state space filtering problem in the case that the transition probability density is unknown and possibly degenerate. The resulting robust filter has a Kalman-like structure and solves a minimax game: the nature selects…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-26 Shenglun Yi , Mattia Zorzi

The Recursive KalmanNet, recently introduced by the authors, is a recurrent neural network guided by a Kalman filter, capable of estimating the state variables and error covariance of stochastic dynamic systems from noisy measurements,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-26 Cyril Falcon , Hassan Mortada , Mathéo Clavaud , Jean-Philippe Michel

We consider a recurrent random walk (RW) in random environment (RE) on a strip. We prove that if the RE is i. i. d. and its distribution is not supported by an algebraic subsurface in the space of parameters defining the RE then the RW…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Erwin Bolthausen , Ilya Goldsheid

In this work we employ importance sampling (IS) techniques to track a small over-threshold probability of a running maximum associated with the solution of a stochastic differential equation (SDE) within the framework of ensemble Kalman…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-30 Nadhir Ben Rached , Erik von Schwerin , Gaukhar Shaimerdenova , Raul Tempone

We propose a method for inference on moderately high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, partially observed Markov process models for which the transition density is not analytically tractable. Markov processes with intractable transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Joonha Park , Edward L. Ionides

The discrete-time algebraic Riccati equation (DARE) have extensive applications in optimal control problems. We provide new theoretical supports to the stability properties of solutions to the DARE and reduce the convergence conditions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-25 Chun-Yueh Chiang

We consider Kalman filtering problems when the observations are intermittently erased or lost. It was known that the estimates are mean-square unstable when the erasure probability is larger than a certain critical value, and stable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-08-29 Se Yong Park , Anant Sahai

We study state estimation for discrete-time linear stochastic systems under distributional ambiguity in the initial state, process noise, and measurement noise. We propose a noise-centric distributionally robust Kalman filter (DRKF) based…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-19 Minhyuk Jang , Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

The purpose of this article is to study some asymptotic properties of the \Lambda-Wright-Fisher process with selection. This process represents the frequency of a disadvantaged allele. The resampling mechanism is governed by a finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Clement Foucart