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This paper developed an inference problem for Vasicek model driven by a general Gaussian process. We construct a least squares estimator and a moment estimator for the drift parameters of the Vasicek model, and we prove the consistency and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-25 Xingzhi Pei

State-space models are successfully used in many areas of science, engineering and economics to model time series and dynamical systems. We present a fully Bayesian approach to inference \emph{and learning} (i.e. state estimation and system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

If $\mathbb{Y}$ is a random vector in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$, we denote by $P_{\mathbb{Y}}$ its probability distribution. Consider a random variable $X$ and a $d$-dimensional random vector $\mathbb{Y}$. Inspired by \cite{Pi}, we develop a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Ciprian A Tudor

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

We develop a general approach to Stein's method for approximating a random process in the path space $D([0,T]\to R^d)$ by a real continuous Gaussian process. We then use the approach in the context of processes that have a representation as…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-24 A. D. Barbour , Nathan Ross , Guangqu Zheng

In this paper, we derive an explicit upper bound for the Wasserstein distance between a functional of point processes and a Gaussian distribution. Using Stein's method in conjunction with Malliavin's calculus and the Poisson embedding…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Laure Coutin , Benjamin Massat , Anthony Réveillac

Stein's method has been widely used for probability approximations. However, in the multi-dimensional setting, most of the results are for multivariate normal approximation or for test functions with bounded second- or higher-order…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-16 Xiao Fang , Qi-Man Shao , Lihu Xu

We give new and explicitly computable examples of Gibbs-non-Gibbs transitions of mean-field type, using the large deviation approach introduced in [4]. These examples include Brownian motion with small variance and related diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-05 Frank Redig , Feijia Wang

The Lamperti transform offers a powerful bridge between self-similar processes and stationary dynamics, making it especially useful for analyzing anomalous diffusion models that lack stationary increments. In this paper we examine the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Foad Shokrollahi , Saeed Vahdati

We consider nonparametric invariant density and drift estimation for a class of multidimensional degenerate resp. hypoelliptic diffusion processes, so-called stochastic damping Hamiltonian systems or kinetic diffusions, under anisotropic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch

This paper deals with a copies-based continuously differentiable and strictly decreasing estimator of the drift function for stochastic differential equations defining recurrent diffusion processes. The first part of our paper deals with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Nicolas Marie

In Bayesian nonparametric models, Gaussian processes provide a popular prior choice for regression function estimation. Existing literature on the theoretical investigation of the resulting posterior distribution almost exclusively assume a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-06 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Guang Cheng

For a class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes we introduce a stochastic calculus which is a certain non-Gaussian counterpart to the classical Malliavin calculus. As an application we investigate the regularity of densities of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Jörg-Uwe Löbus

We introduce a new path integral Monte Carlo method for investigating nonadiabatic systems in thermal equilibrium and demonstrate an approach to reducing stochastic error. We derive a general path integral expression for the partition…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-07-11 Neil Raymond , Dmitri Iouchtchenko , Pierre-Nicholas Roy , Marcel Nooijen

We consider a pure-jump stable Cox-Ingersoll-Ross ($\alpha$-stable CIR) process driven by a non-symmetric stable L{\'e}vy process with jump activity $\alpha$ $\in$ (1, 2) and we address the joint estimation of drift, scaling and jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Elise Bayraktar , Emmanuelle Clément

The use of multicomponent images has become widespread with the improvement of multisensor systems having increased spatial and spectral resolutions. However, the observed images are often corrupted by an additive Gaussian noise. In this…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-01-19 Caroline Chaux , Laurent Duval , Amel Benazza-Benyahia , Jean-Christophe Pesquet

We consider the graphon mean-field system introduced in the work of Bayraktar, Chakraborty, and Wu. It is the large-population limit of a heterogeneously interacting diffusive particle system, where the interaction is of mean-field type…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Erhan Bayraktar , Hongyi Zhou

The computation of integrals is a fundamental task in the analysis of functional data, which are typically considered as random elements in a space of squared integrable functions. Borrowing ideas from recent advances in the Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-16 Valentin Patilea , Sunny G. W. Wang

Malliavin Calculus is about Sobolev-type regularity of functionals on Wiener space, the main example being the Ito map obtained by solving stochastic differential equations. Rough path analysis is about strong regularity of solution to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-12 Thomas Cass , Peter Friz , Nicolas Victoir

We consider a new method of the semiparametric statistical estimation for the continuous-time moving average L\'evy processes. We derive the convergence rates of the proposed estimators, and show that these rates are optimal in the minimax…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-10 Denis Belomestny , Tatiana Orlova , Vladimir Panov