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In this paper an efficient and reliable method for stochastic yield estimation is presented. Since one main challenge of uncertainty quantification is the computational feasibility, we propose a hybrid approach where most of the Monte Carlo…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Mona Fuhrländer , Sebastian Schöps

This work aims to estimate the drift and diffusion functions in stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by a particular class of L\'evy processes with finite jump intensity, using neural networks. We propose a framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-10 Jose-Hermenegildo Ramirez-Gonzalez , Ying Sun

The problem of estimating a mean matrix of a multivariate complex normal distribution with an unknown covariance matrix is considered under an invariant loss function. By using complex versions of the Stein identity, the Stein-Haff…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-11 Yoshihiko Konno

From a wavelet analysis, one derives a nonparametrical estimator for the spectral density of a Gaussian process with stationary increments. First, the idealistic case of a continuous time path of the process is considered. A punctual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-07-03 Jean-Marc Bardet , Pierre Bertrand , Véronique Billat

Posterior distributions often feature intractable normalizing constants, called marginal likelihoods or evidence, that are useful for model comparison via Bayes factors. This has motivated a number of methods for estimating ratios of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-03 Maxime Rischard , Pierre E. Jacob , Natesh Pillai

In this paper, we construct a Malliavin derivative for functionals of square-integrable L\'evy processes and derive a Clark-Ocone formula. The Malliavin derivative is defined via chaos expansions involving stochastic integrals with respect…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-26 Jean-François Renaud , Bruno Rémillard

We show how it is possible to assess the rate of convergence in the Gaussian approximation of triangular arrays of $U$-statistics, built from wavelets coefficients evaluated on a homogeneous spherical Poisson field of arbitrary dimension.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-20 Solesne Bourguin , Claudio Durastanti , Domenico Marinucci , Giovanni Peccati

A fully Bayesian treatment of complicated predictive models (such as deep neural networks) would enable rigorous uncertainty quantification and the automation of higher-level tasks including model selection. However, the intractability of…

Under certain mild conditions, some limit theorems for functionals of two independent Gaussian processes are obtained. The results apply to general Gaussian processes including fractional Brownian motion, sub-fractional Brownian motion and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-30 Jian Song , Fangjun Xu , Qian Yu

We present a novel methodology based on filtered data and moving averages for estimating effective dynamics from observations of multiscale systems. We show in a semi-parametric framework of the Langevin type that our approach is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Giacomo Garegnani , Andrea Zanoni

Gaussian process regression is a frequently used statistical method for flexible yet fully probabilistic non-linear regression modeling. A common obstacle is its computational complexity which scales poorly with the number of observations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Adam Gorm Hoffmann , Claus Thorn Ekstrøm , Andreas Kryger Jensen

We consider the problem of the estimation of the invariant distribution function of an ergodic diffusion process when the drift coefficient is unknown. The empirical distribution function is a natural estimator which is unbiased, uniformly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ilia Negri

We study the adapted solution, numerical methods, and related convergence analysis for a unified backward stochastic partial differential equation (B-SPDE). The equation is vector-valued, whose drift and diffusion coefficients may involve…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-21 Wanyang Dai

The nonparametric estimation of the volatility and the drift coefficient of a scalar diffusion is studied when the process is observed at random time points. The constructed estimator generalizes the spectral method by Gobet, Hoffmann and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-12 Jakub Chorowski , Mathias Trabs

We investigate Stein-Malliavin approximations for nonlinear functionals of geometric interest of Gaussian random eigenfunctions on the unit $d$ -dimensional sphere ${\mathbb{S}}^{d},$ $d\geq 2.$ All our results are established in the high…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-29 Domenico Marinucci , Maurizia Rossi

We propose classical interferometry with low-intensity thermal radiation for the estimation of nonclassical independent Gaussian processes in material samples. We generally determine the mean square error of the phase-independent parameters…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-02-14 László Ruppert , Radim Filip

We propose an explicit drift-randomised Milstein scheme for both McKean--Vlasov stochastic differential equations and associated high-dimensional interacting particle systems with common noise. By using a drift-randomisation step in space…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-19 Sani Biswas , Chaman Kumar , Neelima , Gonçalo dos Reis , Christoph Reisinger

Given a random variable $F$ regular enough in the sense of the Malliavin calculus, we are able to measure the distance between its law and almost any continuous probability law on the real line. The bounds are given in terms of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-02 Seiichiro Kusuoka , Ciprian A. Tudor

We derive consistent and asymptotically normal estimators for the drift and volatility parameters of the stochastic heat equation driven by an additive space-only white noise when the solution is sampled discretely in the physical domain.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-15 Igor Cialenco , Hyun-Jung Kim

Nonstationary Gaussian process models can capture complex spatially varying dependence structures in spatial datasets. However, the large number of observations in modern datasets makes fitting such models computationally intractable with…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-13 Paul G. Beckman , Christopher J. Geoga , Michael L. Stein , Mihai Anitescu