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We address the problem of estimating the drift parameter in a system of $N$ interacting particles driven by additive fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index \( H \geq 1/2 \). Considering continuous observation of the interacting particles…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Chiara Amorino , Ivan Nourdin , Radomyra Shevchenko

We combine Malliavin calculus with Stein's method to derive bounds for the Variance-Gamma approximation of functionals of isonormal Gaussian processes, in particular of random variables living inside a fixed Wiener chaos induced by such a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-22 Peter Eichelsbacher , Christoph Thäle

We study nonparametric Bayesian inference for the intensity function of a covariate-driven point process. We extend recent results from the literature, showing that a wide class of Gaussian priors, combined with flexible link functions,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

Starting from the notion of multivariate fractional Brownian Motion introduced in [F. Lavancier, A. Philippe, and D. Surgailis. Covariance function of vector self-similar processes. Statistics & Probability Letters, 2009] we define a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

A new nonparametric estimator of the local Hurst function of a multifractional Gaussian process based on the increment ratio (IR) statistic is defined. In a general frame, the point-wise and uniform weak and strong consistency and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-29 Jean-Marc Bardet , Donatas Surgailis

We study rates of convergence in central limit theorems for partial sum of functionals of general stationary and non-stationary Gaussian sequences, using optimal tools from analysis on Wiener space. We apply our result to study drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Frederi Viens

By means of the Malliavin calculus, integral representations for the likelihood function and for the derivative of the log-likelihood function are given for a model based on discrete time observations of the solution to equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-13 D. O. Ivanenko , A. M. Kulik

The Malliavin integration-by-parts formula is a key ingredient to develop stochastic analysis on the Wiener space. In this article we show that a suitable integration-by-parts formula also characterizes a wide class of Gaussian processes,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-08 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Tommi Sottinen , Ciprian A. Tudor , Lauri Viitasaari

The application of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) to the analysis of temporal data has attracted increasing attention, due to their ability to describe complex dynamics with physically interpretable equations. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-09 Constantino A. García , Abraham Otero , Paulo Félix , Jesús Presedo , David G. Márquez

We study the problem of drift estimation for two-scale continuous time series. We set ourselves in the framework of overdamped Langevin equations, for which a single-scale surrogate homogenized equation exists. In this setting, estimating…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Assyr Abdulle , Giacomo Garegnani , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrew M. Stuart , Andrea Zanoni

In this paper, we will construct the Malliavin derivative and the stochastic integral with respect to the Mixed fractional Brownian motion (mfbm) for H > 1/2. As an application, we try to estimate the drift parameter via Malliavin…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-09 Chunhao Cai , Yingzhong Huang

In this work we review the application of the theory of Gaussian processes to the modeling of noise in pulsar-timing data analysis, and we derive various useful and optimized representations for the likelihood expressions that are needed in…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2014-11-19 Rutger van Haasteren , Michele Vallisneri

By using Malliavin calculus, explicit derivative formulae are established for a class of semi-linear functional stochastic partial differential equations with additive or multiplicative noise. As applications, gradient estimates and Harnack…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-25 Jianhai Bao , Feng-Yu Wang , Chenggui Yuan

We study counterfactual stochastic optimization of conditional loss functionals under misspecified and noisy gradient information. The difficulty is that when the conditioning event has vanishing or zero probability, naive Monte Carlo…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Luke Snow

We compute explicit bounds in the Gaussian approximation of functionals of infinite Rademacher sequences. Our tools involve Stein's method, as well as the use of appropriate discrete Malliavin operators. Although our approach does not…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-21 Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati , Gesine Reinert

We study multi-dimensional normal approximations on the Poisson space by means of Malliavin calculus, Stein's method and probabilistic interpolations. Our results yield new multi-dimensional central limit theorems for multiple integrals…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-14 Giovanni Peccati , Cengbo Zheng

In this PhD thesis, we apply a combination of Malliavin calculus and Stein's method in the framework of probability approximations. The specific problems we tackle with these methods are motivated by probabilistic models in cosmology (Part…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-26 Giacomo Giorgio

We study the problem of parameter estimation for a non-ergodic Gaussian Vasicek-type model defined as $dX_t=(\mu+\theta X_t)dt+dG_t,\ t\geq0$ with unknown parameters $\theta>0$ and $\mu\in\mathbb{R}$, where $G$ is a Gaussian process. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Mohammed Es. Sebaiy

We introduce the notion of {\em covariance measure structure} for square integrable stochastic processes. We define Wiener integral, we develop a suitable formalism for stochastic calculus of variations and we make Gaussian assumptions only…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ida Kruk , Francesco Russo , Ciprian Tudor