English

Estimating drift parameters in a non-ergodic Gaussian Vasicek-type model

Probability 2020-05-12 v3 Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

We study the problem of parameter estimation for a non-ergodic Gaussian Vasicek-type model defined as dXt=(μ+θXt)dt+dGt, t0dX_t=(\mu+\theta X_t)dt+dG_t,\ t\geq0 with unknown parameters θ>0\theta>0 and μR\mu\in\mathbb{R}, where GG is a Gaussian process. We provide least square-type estimators θ~T\widetilde{\theta}_T and μ~T\widetilde{\mu}_T respectively for the drift parameters θ\theta and μ\mu based on continuous-time observations {Xt, t[0,T]}\{X_t,\ t\in[0,T]\} as TT\rightarrow\infty. Our aim is to derive some sufficient conditions on the driving Gaussian process GG in order to ensure that θ~T\widetilde{\theta}_T and μ~T\widetilde{\mu}_T are strongly consistent, the limit distribution of θ~T\widetilde{\theta}_T is a Cauchy-type distribution and μ~T\widetilde{\mu}_T is asymptotically normal. We apply our result to fractional Vasicek, subfractional Vasicek and bifractional Vasicek processes. In addition, this work extends the result of \cite{EEO} studied in the case where μ=0\mu=0.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1909.06155,
  title  = {Estimating drift parameters in a non-ergodic Gaussian Vasicek-type model},
  author = {Khalifa Es-Sebaiy and Mohammed Es. Sebaiy},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1909.06155},
  year   = {2020}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-23T11:14:26.443Z