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We study fluctuations of small noise multiscale diffusions around their homogenized deterministic limit. We derive quantitative rates of convergence of the fluctuation processes to their Gaussian limits in the appropriate Wasserstein metric…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Solesne Bourguin , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

A non-parametric diffusion model with an additive fractional Brownian motion noise is considered in this work. The drift is a non-parametric function that will be estimated by two methods. On one hand, we propose a locally linear estimator…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Bruno Saussereau

We obtain Stein approximation bounds for stochastic integrals with respect to a Poisson random measure over ${\Bbb R}^d$, $d\geq 2$. This approach relies on third cumulant Edgeworth-type expansions based on derivation operators defined by…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-04 Nicolas Privault

A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Alberto J. Coca

In this paper we study rough differential equations driven by Gaussian rough paths from the viewpoint of Malliavin calculus. Under mild assumptions on coefficient vector fields and underlying Gaussian processes, we prove that solutions at a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-09 Yuzuru Inahama

In this paper, we give an upper bound for a probabilistic distance between a Gaussian vector and a vector of U-statistics of Poisson point processes by applying Malliavin-Stein inequality on the Poisson space.

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Nguyen Tuan Minh

We develop a Malliavin calculus for nonlinear Hawkes processes in the sense of Carlen and Pardoux. This approach, based on perturbations of the jump times of the process, enables the construction of a local Dirichlet form. As an…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Alexandre Popier , Laurent Denis , Dorian Cacitti-Holland

We study stochastic differential equations driven by finite-order chaos processes on abstract Wiener spaces, with pathwise Riemann-Stieltjes integration. The driving noise is an $\mathbb{R}^m$-valued chaotic process given by multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Laurent Loosveldt , Yassine Nachit , Ivan Nourdin

We use Malliavin operators in order to prove quantitative stable limit theorems on the Wiener space, where the target distribution is given by a possibly multidimensional mixture of Gaussian distributions. Our findings refine and generalize…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Ivan Nourdin , David Nualart , Giovanni Peccati

In this paper, we present a theoretical and computational workflow for the non-parametric Bayesian inference of drift and diffusion functions of autonomous diffusion processes. We base the inference on the partial differential equations…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Maximilian Kruse , Sebastian Krumscheid

Brown-Resnick processes are max-stable processes that are associated to Gaussian processes. Their simulation is often based on the corresponding spectral representation which is not unique. We study to what extent simulation accuracy and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Marco Oesting , Kirstin Strokorb

The Stein's method is a popular method used to derive upper-bounds of distances between probability distributions. It can be viewed, in certain of its formulations, as an avatar of the semi-group or of the smart-path method used commonly in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-25 Laurent Decreusefond

In applications of Gaussian processes where quantification of uncertainty is of primary interest, it is necessary to accurately characterize the posterior distribution over covariance parameters. This paper proposes an adaptation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-04 Maurizio Filippone , Raphael Engler

In this paper, we study central and non-central limit theorems for partial sum of functionals of general stationary Gaussian fields. We apply our result to study drift parameter estimation problems for some stochastic differential equations…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-22 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Frederi G. Viens

We consider the problem of Hurst index estimation for solutions of stochastic differential equations driven by an additive fractional Brownian motion. Using techniques of the Malliavin calculus, we analyze the asymptotic behavior of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Jan Gairing , Peter Imkeller , Radomyra Shevchenko , Ciprian A. Tudor

Stochastic integration \textit{wrt} Gaussian processes has raised strong interest in recent years, motivated in particular by its applications in Internet traffic modeling, biomedicine and finance. The aim of this work is to define and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Joachim Lebovits

In this paper, we address the problem of estimating a covariance matrix of a multivariate Gaussian distribution, relative to a Stein loss function, from a decision theoretic point of view. We investigate the case where the covariance matrix…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-23 Anis M. Haddouche , Wei Lu

In this paper we propose a new, simple and explicit mechanism allowing to derive Stein operators for random variables whose characteristic function satisfies a simple ODE. We apply this to study random variables which can be represented as…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Benjamin Arras , Ehsan Azmoodeh , Guillaume Poly , Yvik Swan

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Via a special transform and by using the techniques of the Malliavin calculus, we analyze the density of the solution to a stochastic differential equation with unbounded drift.

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-18 C. Olivera , C. Tudor