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This paper presents a simple model to measure the relative economic growth of economic systems. The model considers S-Shaped patterns of economic growth that, represented with a linear model, measure how an economic system grows in…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-18 Mario Coccia

This study re-examines the impact of natural disasters on economic growth in the perspective of developed and developing countries. Based on panel data consisting of developing and developed countries over the period 1990-2019 and using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-25 Sharmistha Chakrabarti , Yuanmeng Yang , Shuman Zhang , Md Shah Naoaj , Xinru Chen

Understanding the statistical dynamics of growth and inequality is a fundamental challenge to ecology and society. Recent analyses of wealth and income dynamics in contemporary societies show that economic inequality is very dynamic and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-19 Jordan T. Kemp , Luis M. A. Bettencourt

For those concerned with the long-term value of their accounts, it can be a challenge to plan in the present for inflation-adjusted economic growth over coming decades. Here, I argue that there exists an economic constant that carries…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-14 Timothy J. Garrett

Bangladesh is the 2nd largest growing country in the world in 2016 with 7.1% GDP growth. This study undertakes an econometric analysis to examine the relationship between population growth and economic development. This result indicates…

General Economics · Economics 2019-01-08 Md Niaz Murshed Chowdhury , Md. Mobarak Hossain

The degree of convergence of the business cycles of the economies of the European Union is a key policy issue. In particular, a substantial degree of convergence is needed if the European Central Bank is to be capable of setting a monetary…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-24 P Ormerod , C Mounfield

Concerns about declining or ageing populations often centre on the fear that fewer people will translate to a weaker economy and lower living standards. But these fears are frequently based on oversimplified or misapplied interpretations of…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-26 Corey J. A. Bradshaw , Shana M. McDermott

GDP/capita correlations are investigated in various time windows (TW), for the time interval 1990-2005. The target group of countries is the set of 25 EU members, 15 till 2004 plus the 10 countries which joined EU later on. The TW-means of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-03-16 Mircea Gligor , Marcel Ausloos

We have considered the statistical distributions of the volumes of the different products exported by 148 countries. We have found that the form of these distributions is not unique but heavily depends on the level of development of the…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-23 Mario Alberto Annunziata , Alberto Petri , Giorgio Pontuale , Andrea Zaccaria

GDP of China is about 11 trillion dollars and GDP of the United States is about 18 trillion dollars. Suppose that we know for the coming years, economy of the US will experience a real growth rate equal to \%3 and economy of China will…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-01 Ali Hosseiny

The so-called great divergence in the income per capita is described in the Unified Growth Theory as the mind-boggling and unresolved mystery about the growth process. This mystery has now been solved: the great divergence never happened.…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-12 Ron W Nielsen

I examine global recessions as a cascade phenomenon. In other words, how recessions arising in one or more countries might percolate across a network of connected economies. A heterogeneous agent based model is set up in which the agents…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Paul Ormerod

Most of the analytical techniques used in the business cycle synchronisation literature rely upon the estimation of an empirical correlation matrix of time series data of macroeconomic aggregates, real GDP usually being the key variable.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Paul Ormerod

Ignoring the differences between countries, human reproductive and dispersal behaviors can be described by some standardized models, so whether there is a universal law of population growth hidden in the abundant and unstructured data from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-08 Jiajun Ma , Qinghua Chen , Xiaosong Chen , Jingfang Fan , Xiaomeng Li , Yi Shi

Economic growth is conventionally analyzed at the national level, yet cities generate the bulk of global output. Here we construct GDP trajectories for 8,808 functional urban areas (FUAs) across 165 countries over 1993-2019 using…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-18 Isaak Mengesha , Debraj Roy

We study the relationship between foreign debt and GDP growth using a panel dataset of 50 countries from 1997 to 2015. We find that economic growth correlates positively with foreign debt and that the relationship is causal in nature by…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-08 Tomoo Kikuchi , Satoshi Tobe

Today, the economy is greatly influenced by Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). The purpose of this paper is to determine the impact of the quantitative relations of AGI on the country's economic parameters. The authors use the analysis…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-05 Davit Gondauri

The average and median income dependence on work experience and time is analyzed and modeled for the USA. The original data set providing the mean and median income estimates in 10 year long intervals spans a long time period of almost 35…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Ivan O. Kitov

By borrowing methods from complex system analysis, in this paper we analyze the features of the complex relationship that links the development and the industrialization of a country to economic inequality. In order to do this, we identify…

General Economics · Economics 2019-09-10 Angelica Sbardella , Emanuele Pugliese , Luciano Pietronero

What predicts the evolution over time of subjective well-being? We correlate the trends of subjective well-being with the trends of social capital and/or GDP. We find that in the long and medium run social capital largely predicts the…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-11 Stefano Bartolini , Francesco Sarracino