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Gross Domestic Product(GDP) is a widely used measurement of economic growth representing the market value of all final goods and services produced by a country within a given time. In this paper we question the assumption that GDP measures…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-06 Jacky Mallett , Charles Keen

Is a causal description of human wealth history conceivable? To investigate the matter we introduce a simple causal albeit strongly aggregated model, assuming that the observed wealth growth is mainly driven by human collaborative efforts…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-07-23 Paolo Sibani , Steen Rasmussen

Analysis of the urban population fraction data for sixteen populous countries over the last fifty years reveals a universal increase in urbanization, exhibiting four qualitatively distinct temporal patterns: (i) continuously accelerating…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-06 Neeraj Pandey , Abhineet Agarwal , Raju Roychowdhury , Karmeshu , Parth Pratim Pandey

The twentieth century was a period of outstanding economic growth together with an unequal income distribution. This paper analyses the international distribution of growth rates and its dynamics during the twentieth century. We show that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-24 Mercedes Campi , Marco Dueñas

Growth in the global human population this century will have momentous consequences for societies and the environment. Population growth has come with higher aggregate human welfare, but also climate change and biodiversity loss. Based on…

General Economics · Economics 2021-09-30 Barry W. Brook , Jessie C. Buettel , Sanghyun Hong

We consider the sectoral composition of a country's GDP, i.e. the partitioning into agrarian, industrial, and service sectors. Exploring a simple system of differential equations we characterize the transfer of GDP shares between the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-15 Raphael Lutz , Michael Spies , Dominik E. Reusser , Jürgen P. Kropp , Diego Rybski

The aim here is to address the origins of sustainability for the real growth rate in the United States. For over a century of observations on the real GDP per capita of the United States a sustainable two percent growth rate has been…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-08 Ali Hosseiny

In economic literature, economic complexity is typically approximated on the basis of an economy's gross export structure. However, in times of ever increasingly integrated global value chains, gross exports may convey an inaccurate image…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-11 Philipp Koch

The concepts of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), GDP per capita, and population are central to the study of political science and economics. However, a growing literature suggests that existing measures of these concepts contain considerable…

Most models that try to explain economic growth indicate exponential growth paths. In recent years, however, a lively discussion has emerged considering the validity of this notion. In the empirical literature dealing with drivers of…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-06 Steffen Lange , Peter Pütz , Thomas Kopp

An information entropy statistical methodology was used to evaluate the growth of the UK economy over the period 2000 to 2019, with an emphasis on the impact of labour productivity on gross domestic product (GDP) per capita and the average…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-09 Laurence Francis Lacey

The evolution of personal income distribution (PID) in four countries: Canada, New Zealand, the UK, and the USA follows a unique trajectory. We have revealed precise match in the shape of two age-dependent features of the PID: mean income…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-12 Ivan Kitov , Oleg Kitov

A new model that combines economic growth rate fluctuations at the microscopic and macroscopic level is presented. At the microscopic level, firms are growing at different rates while also being exposed to idiosyncratic shocks at the firm…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-07 Sandro Claudio Lera , Didier Sornette

The expression "wage transition" refers to the fact that over the past two or three decades in all developed economies wage increases have levelled off. There has been a widening divergence and decoupling between wages on the one hand and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-01 Belal Baaquie , Bertrand M. Roehner , Qinghai Wang

This paper investigates the statistical properties of within-country GDP and industrial production (IP) growth rate distributions. Many empirical contributions have recently pointed out that cross-section growth rates of firms, industries…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Giorgio Fagiolo , Mauro Napoletano , Andrea Roventini

Several studies have established the predictive power of the yield curve in terms of real economic activity. In this paper we use data for a variety of E.U. countries: both EMU (Germany, France, Italy) and non-EMU members (Sweden and the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-05-11 Periklis Gogas , Ioannis Pragidis

Pareto's law states that the distribution of personal income obeys a power-law in the high-income range, and has been supported by international observations. Researchers have proposed models over a century since its discovery. However, the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Yoshi Fujiwara , Wataru Souma , Hideaki Aoyama , Taisei Kaizoji , Masanao Aoki

This paper introduces a new event-based measure of bilateral geopolitical alignment and provides evidence that it shapes economic growth. The measure is built from 373,020 geopolitical events across 193 countries over 1960--2024, compiled…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-10 Tianyu Fan

The gross domestic product (GDP) is the most widely used indicator in macroeconomics and the main tool for measuring a country's economic output. Due to the diversity and complexity of the world economy, a wide range of models have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Tianyi Wang , Rodney Beard , John Hawkins , Rohitash Chandra

Data describing historical growth of income per capita [Gross Domestic Product per capita (GDP/cap)] for the world economic growth and for the growth in Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Asia, former USSR, Africa and Latin America are…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-03 Ron W Nielsen