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This study examines the relationship between GDP growth and Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) across developed economies (G7, EU-15, OECD) and emerging markets (BRICS). We integrate Random Forest machine learning (non-linear regression)…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-30 Alina Landowska , Robert A. Kłopotek , Dariusz Filip , Konrad Raczkowski

Optimization and expansion are two modes of staged evolution of complex systems where macroscopic observables change at a decreasing, respectively increasing, rate. A prime example of evolutionary expansion, Gross Domestic Product (GDP)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-30 Paolo Sibani , Steen Rasmussen , Per Lyngs Hansen

As huge complex systems consisting of geographic regions, natural resources, people and economic entities, countries follow the allometric scaling law which is ubiquitous in ecological, urban systems. We systematically investigated the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-01-07 Jiang Zhang , Tongkui Yu

Recent advances in the urban science make broad use of the notion of scaling. We focus here on the important scaling relationship between the gross metropolitan product (GMP) of a city and its population (pop). It has been demonstrated that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-28 Emanuele Strano , Vishal Sood

The goal of this research is to uncover the channels through which research and development (R&D) impacts economic growth in developing countries. The study employed nine variables from three broader categories in the World Economic Forum…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-25 Ayusha Fayyaz , Zoltan Bartha

The empirical literature provides mixed results on the relationship between inflation and unemployment, therefore, there is no consensus on validity and stability of the Phillips Curve. It also seems to be closely related with…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-01 Yhlas Sovbetov , Muhittin Kaplan

This paper presents a new way to account for downside and upside risks when producing density nowcasts of GDP growth. The approach relies on modelling location, scale and shape common factors in real-time macroeconomic data. While movements…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-29 Paul Labonne

Data for many nations show a long-run increase, over many decades, of income, indexed by GDP per capita, and population health, indexed by mortality or life expectancy at birth (LEB). However, the short-run and long-run relationships…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-24 José A. Tapia Granados , Edward L. Ionides

Analyzing real data on international trade covering the time interval 1950-2000, we show that in each year over the analyzed period the network is a typical representative of the ensemble of maximally random weighted networks, whose…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-27 Agata Fronczak , Piotr Fronczak

We analyze mathematical models of the global human population growth and compare them to actual dynamics of the world population and of the world surplus product. We consider a possibility that the so-called world's demographic transition…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-23 Michael Golosovsky

Recent years have seen many attempts to combine expenditure-side estimates of U.S. real output (GDE) growth with income-side estimates (GDI) to improve estimates of real GDP growth. We show how to incorporate information from multiple…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-08-16 Jan P. A. M. Jacobs , Samad Sarferaz , Jan-Egbert Sturm , Simon van Norden

This paper presents an analysis of Green Gross Domestic Product (GGDP) using the System of Environmental-Economic Accounting (SEEA) model to evaluate its impact on global climate mitigation and economic health. GGDP is proposed as a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-05 Mingpu Ma

The distribution of income and wealth in developed economies exhibits a robust two-class structure: an exponential (Boltzmann--Gibbs) bulk covering $\sim\!97\%$ of the population, and a power-law (Pareto) tail in the upper $\sim\!3\%$. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-28 Robert T. Nachtrieb

From the stock markets of six countries with high GDP, we study the stock indices, S&P 500 (NYSE, USA), SSE Composite (SSE, China), Nikkei (TSE, Japan), DAX (FSE, Germany), FTSE 100 (LSE, Britain) and NIFTY (NSE, India). The daily mean…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-25 Abhin Kakkad , Harsh Vasoya , Arnab K. Ray

One of the fundamental postulates of the Unified Growth Theory is the claimed existence of three distinctly different regimes of economic growth governed by three distinctly different mechanisms of growth. However, Galor also proposed that…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-01 Ron W Nielsen

We analyze the forces that explain inflation using a panel of 122 countries from 1997 to 2015 with 37 regressors. 98 models motivated by economic theory are compared to a gradient boosting algorithm, non-linearities and structural breaks…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-01 Philipp F. M. Baumann , Enzo Rossi , Alexander Volkmann

This work presents an empirical study of the evolution of the personal income distribution in Brazil. Yearly samples available from 1978 to 2005 were studied and evidence was found that the complementary cumulative distribution of personal…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-20 Newton J. Moura , Marcelo B. Ribeiro

Empirical growth analysis has three major problems --- variable selection, parameter heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence --- which are addressed independently from each other in most studies. The purpose of this study is to propose…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-03-20 Guohua Feng , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

There is, among the economist ecosystem, the idea of virtuous public spending as a form of promotion of economic growth. If we think on the way GDP is measured, it is not possible to get that conclusion because it becomes circular:…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-06 João P. da Cruz

Warning signs about the developing economic crisis in Greece were present in the growth rate of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and in the growth of the GDP well before the economic collapse. The growth rate was strongly unstable. On…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-24 Ron W Nielsen
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