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The problem of non-stationarity in financial markets is discussed and related to the dynamic nature of price volatility. A new measure is proposed for estimation of the current asset volatility. A simple and illustrative explanation is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-08 Sergey S. Stepanov

We introduce a class of stochastic volatility models $(X_t)_{t \geq 0}$ for which the absolute moments of the increments exhibit anomalous scaling: $\E\left(|X_{t+h} - X_t|^q \right)$ scales as $h^{q/2}$ for $q < q^*$, but as $h^{A(q)}$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-31 Paolo Dai Pra , Paolo Pigato

The dynamics of prices in financial markets has been studied intensively both experimentally (data analysis) and theoretically (models). Nevertheless, a complete stochastic characterization of volatility is still lacking. What it is well…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Michele Pasquini , Maurizio Serva

Factorial moments are convenient tools in nuclear physics to characterize the multiplicity distributions when phase-space resolution ($\Delta$) becomes small. For uncorrelated particle production within $\Delta$, Gaussian statistics holds…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-30 Laurent Schoeffel

Based on the mathematical arguments formulated within the Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MFDFA) approach it is shown that in the uncorrelated time series from the Gaussian basin of attraction the effects resembling…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-03-30 Jarosław Kwapień , Pawel Blasiak , Stanisław Drożdż , Paweł Oświęcimka

In this paper we consider several continuous-time multivariate non-Gaussian models applied to finance and proposed in the literature in the last years. We study the models focusing on the parsimony of the number of parameters, the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-14 Michele Leonardo Bianchi , Asmerilda Hitaj , Gian Luca Tassinari

This paper focuses on a dynamic multi-asset mean-variance portfolio selection problem under model uncertainty. We develop a continuous time framework for taking into account ambiguity aversion about both expected return rates and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-02 Huyen Pham , Xiaoli Wei , Chao Zhou

The use of factor stochastic volatility models requires choosing the number of latent factors used to describe the dynamics of the financial returns process; however, empirical evidence suggests that the number and makeup of pertinent…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-06 Taylor R. Brown

We study the volatility of the MIB30-stock-index high-frequency data from November 28, 1994 through September 15, 1995. Our aim is to empirically characterize the volatility random walk in the framework of continuous-time finance. To this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Marco Raberto , Enrico Scalas , Gianaurelio Cuniberti , Massimo Riani

We analyze, both analytically and numerically, the time-dependence of the return probability in closed systems of interacting particles. Main attention is paid to the interplay between two regimes, one of which is characterized by the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 F. M. Izrailev , A. Castaneda-Mendoza

The aim of our work is to propose a natural framework to account for all the empirically known properties of the multivariate distribution of stock returns. We define and study a "nested factor model", where the linear factors part is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-15 Rémy Chicheportiche , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

The $GARCH$ algorithm is the most renowned generalisation of Engle's original proposal for modelising {\it returns}, the $ARCH$ process. Both cases are characterised by presenting a time dependent and correlated variance or {\it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Silvio M. Duarte Queiros , Constantino Tsallis

The dynamical scaling for statistics of critical multifractal eigenstates proposed by Chalker is analytically verified for the critical random matrix ensemble in the limit of strong multifractality controlled by the small parameter $b\ll…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-10-27 V. E. Kravtsov , A. Ossipov , O. M. Yevtushenko , E. Cuevas

Based on the tick-by-tick stock prices from the German and American stock markets, we study the statistical properties of the distribution of the individual stocks and the index returns in highly collective and noisy intervals of trading,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-24 J. Kwapien , S. Drozdz , J. Speth

This study examines how housing sector volatilities affect real estate investment trust (REIT) equity return in the United States. I argue that unexpected changes in housing variables can be a source of aggregate housing risk, and the first…

General Economics · Economics 2021-07-23 Masud Alam

The statistical properties of the multipliers of the absolute returns are investigated using one-minute high-frequency data of financial time series. The multiplier distribution is found to be independent of the box size $s$ when $s$ is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou

Intertrade duration of equities is an important financial measure characterizing the trading activities, which is defined as the waiting time between successive trades of an equity. Using the ultrahigh-frequency data of a liquid Chinese…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-04-01 Yong-Ping Ruan , Wei-Xing Zhou

There are various metrics for financial risk, such as value at risk (VaR), expected shortfall, expected/unexpected loss, etc. When estimating these metrics, it was very common to assume Gaussian distribution for the asset returns, which may…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-17 Shuguang Zhang , Minjing Tao , Xu-Feng Niu , Fred Huffer

When an amorphous material is strained beyond the point of yielding it enters a state of continual reconfiguration via dissipative, avalanche-like slip events that relieve built-up local stress. However, how the statistics of such events…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2019-01-30 Kieran A. Murphy , Karin A. Dahmen , Heinrich M. Jaeger

Contagion arising from clustering of multiple time series like those in the stock market indicators can further complicate the nature of volatility, rendering a parametric test (relying on asymptotic distribution) to suffer from issues on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-05 Erniel B. Barrios , Paolo Victor T. Redondo