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Intermittency in Quantitative Finance

Statistical Finance 2011-08-30 v1

Abstract

Factorial moments are convenient tools in nuclear physics to characterize the multiplicity distributions when phase-space resolution (Δ\Delta) becomes small. For uncorrelated particle production within Δ\Delta, Gaussian statistics holds and factorial moments FqF_q are equal to unity for all orders qq. Correlations between particles lead to a broadening of the multiplicity distribution and to dynamical fluctuations. In this case, the factorial moments increase above 1 with decreasing Δ\Delta. This corresponds to what can be called intermittency. In this letter, we show that a similar analysis can be developed on financial price series, with an adequate definition of factorial moments. An intermittent behavior can be extracted using moments of order 2 (F2F_2), illustrating a sensitivity to non-Gaussian fluctuations within time resolution below 4 hours. This confirms that correlations between price returns start to play a role when the time resolution is below this threshold.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1108.5596,
  title  = {Intermittency in Quantitative Finance},
  author = {Laurent Schoeffel},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1108.5596},
  year   = {2011}
}

Comments

8 pages, 4 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-21T18:56:13.843Z