Intermittency in Quantitative Finance
Abstract
Factorial moments are convenient tools in nuclear physics to characterize the multiplicity distributions when phase-space resolution () becomes small. For uncorrelated particle production within , Gaussian statistics holds and factorial moments are equal to unity for all orders . Correlations between particles lead to a broadening of the multiplicity distribution and to dynamical fluctuations. In this case, the factorial moments increase above 1 with decreasing . This corresponds to what can be called intermittency. In this letter, we show that a similar analysis can be developed on financial price series, with an adequate definition of factorial moments. An intermittent behavior can be extracted using moments of order 2 (), illustrating a sensitivity to non-Gaussian fluctuations within time resolution below 4 hours. This confirms that correlations between price returns start to play a role when the time resolution is below this threshold.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.1108.5596,
title = {Intermittency in Quantitative Finance},
author = {Laurent Schoeffel},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1108.5596},
year = {2011}
}
Comments
8 pages, 4 figures