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We perform a scaling analysis on NYSE daily returns. We show that volatility correlations are power-laws on a time range from one day to one year and, more important, that they exhibit a multiscale behaviour.

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Michele Pasquini , Maurizio Serva

A stochastic analysis of financial data is presented. In particular we investigate how the statistics of log returns change with different time delays $\tau$. The scale dependent behaviour of financial data can be divided into two regions.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Andreas P. Nawroth , Joachim Peinke

The dynamics of a stock market with heterogeneous agents is discussed in the framework of a recently proposed spin model for the emergence of bubbles and crashes. We relate the log returns of stock prices to magnetization in the model and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Taisei Kaizoji , Stefan Bornholdt , Yoshi Fujiwara

We analyze the sequence of time intervals between consecutive stock trades of thirty companies representing eight sectors of the U. S. economy over a period of four years. For all companies we find that: (i) the probability density function…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Plamen Ch. Ivanov , Ainslie Yuen , Boris Podobnik , Youngki Lee

Multifractal systems usually have singularity spectra defined on bounded sets of H\"older exponents. As a consequence, their associated multifractal scaling exponents are expected to depend linearly upon statistical moment orders at high…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-06-30 L. Moriconi

It is widely believed that fluctuations in transaction volume, as reflected in the number of transactions and to a lesser extent their size, are the main cause of clustered volatility. Under this view bursts of rapid or slow price diffusion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Laszlo Gillemot , J. Doyne Farmer , Fabrizio Lillo

We show how to reduce the problem of computing VaR and CVaR with Student T return distributions to evaluation of analytical functions of the moments. This allows an analysis of the risk properties of systems to be carefully attributed…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-01 William T. Shaw

The analysis of logarithmic return distributions defined over large time scales is crucial for understanding the long-term dynamics of asset price movements. For large time scales of the order of two trading years, the anticipated Gaussian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-16 Stijn De Backer , Luis E. C. Rocha , Jan Ryckebusch , Koen Schoors

We quantitatively investigate the ideas behind the often-expressed adage `it takes volume to move stock prices', and study the statistical properties of the number of shares traded $Q_{\Delta t}$ for a given stock in a fixed time interval…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Parameswaran Gopikrishnan , Vasiliki Plerou , Xavier Gabaix , H. Eugene Stanley

Maximum likelihood estimation applied to high-frequency data allows us to quantify intermittency in the fluctu- ations of asset prices. From time records as short as one month these methods permit extraction of a meaningful intermittency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Martin Rypdal , Espen Sirnes , Ola Løvsletten , Kristoffer Rypdal

The cross correlation matrix between equities comprises multiple interactions between traders with varying strategies and time horizons. In this paper, we use the Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform to calculate correlation matrices…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-05 Thomas Conlon , Heather J. Ruskin , Martin Crane

Stock markets can become inefficient due to calendar anomalies known as day-of-the-week effect. Calendar anomalies are well-known in financial literature, but the phenomena remain to be explored in econophysics. In this paper we use…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-04 Darko Stosic , Dusan Stosic , Irena Vodenska , H. Eugene Stanley , Tatijana Stosic

Volatility clustering is a common phenomenon in financial time series. Typically, linear models can be used to describe the temporal autocorrelation of the (logarithmic) variance of returns. Considering the difficulty in estimating this…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-21 Di Zhang , Qiang Niu , Youzhou Zhou

Portfolio allocation with gross-exposure constraint is an effective method to increase the efficiency and stability of selected portfolios among a vast pool of assets, as demonstrated in Fan et al (2008). The required high-dimensional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-29 Jianqing Fan , Yingying Li , Ke Yu

For the statistical multifragmentation model the critical indices $\alpha^\prime, \beta, \gamma^\prime, \delta$ are calculated as functions of the Fisher parameter $\tau$. It is found that these indices have different values than in…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-11-07 P. T. Reuter , K. A. Bugaev

We introduce a faithful representation of the heavy tail multivariate distribution of asset returns, as parsimonous as the Gaussian framework. Using calculation techniques of functional integration and Feynman diagrams borrowed from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 D. Sornette , J. V. Andersen , P. Simonetti

Volatilities, in high-dimensional panels of economic time series with a dynamic factor structure on the levels or returns, typically also admit a dynamic factor decomposition. We consider a two-stage dynamic factor model method recovering…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-03 Matteo Barigozzi , Marc Hallin

In financial markets, greater volatility is usually considered synonym of greater risk and instability. However, large market downturns and upturns are often preceded by long periods where price returns exhibit only small fluctuations. To…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-13 Davide Valenti , Giorgio Fazio , Bernardo Spagnolo

The fundamental theorem behind financial markets is that stock prices are intrinsically complex and stochastic. One of the complexities is the volatility associated with stock prices. Volatility is a tendency for prices to change…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Leonard Mushunje , Maxwell Mashasha , Edina Chandiwana

We address a recent conjecture according to which the relaxation time $\tau$ of a viscous liquid obeys density scaling ($\tau=F(\rho^\gamma/T)$ where $\rho$ is density) if the liquid is ``strongly correlating,'' i.e., has almost 100%…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2012-03-27 Thomas B. Schrøder , Ulf R. Pedersen , Jeppe C. Dyre
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